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Forum > Pacific Pro League > Oceania Conference > Lukin's Week 4 Point Spreads
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lukin83
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Spreads

Hollywood Decepticons +60 @ Canberra Strike
The U Canes -51 @ Outback Astronauts
Bermuda Pirates +39 @ Las Vegas Outlaws
Great Barrier Reef Sharks +30 @ Rawle Tech Titans
Newcastle Bearcats -29 @ Emerald City Flying Monkeys
Wagga Wagga Fighting Squirrels -25 @ Auckland Flames
West Scranton Invaders +24 @ Aussie Cardinals
Saipan Fighters -20 @ Buen Retiro Longhorns
IC Incinerators +18 @ FFLW Caninites
New England Burning Pride -14 @ Speightstown Rum Runners
Nauru Tigers Sharks -13 @ FFLivewire Cans
Tongan Crimson Auha -12 @ Big Island Growas
Tasmania Devils +12 @ Perth Scorpions
Brantford Mustangs -7 @ Fiji Sea Turtles
Brisbane Bandits -5 @ Dogdandy Enforcers
Kiribati Blitz -1 @ Brisbane Gods

Over/Under

HOL @ CAN: 62
TUC @ OUT: 53
BER @ LV: 69
GBR @ RT: 34
NEW @ EC: 65
WW @ AUC: 35
WS @ AUS: 44
SAI @ BR: 20
IC @ FFN: 48
NE @ SPE: 26
NAU @ FFC: 39
TON @ BI: 24
TAS @ PER: 34
BRA @ FIJ: 21
BRB @ DOG: 29
KIR @ BRG: 25


Place your bets!





Edit: The Las Vegas/Bermuda game had the wrong team favored. Las Vegas is actually favored by 39 points.
Last edited Jun 18, 2008 10:25:04
 
MC_Hammer
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My picks in bold...

Hollywood Decepticons +60 @ Canberra Strike
The U Canes -51 @ Outback Astronauts
Bermuda Pirates -39 @ Las Vegas Outlaws
Great Barrier Reef Sharks +30 @ Rawle Tech Titans
Newcastle Bearcats -29 @ Emerald City Flying Monkeys
Wagga Wagga Fighting Squirrels -25 @ Auckland Flames
West Scranton Invaders +24 @ Aussie Cardinals
Saipan Fighters -20 @ Buen Retiro Longhorns
IC Incinerators +18 @ FFLW Caninites
New England Burning Pride -14 @ Speightstown Rum Runners
Nauru Tigers Sharks -13 @ FFLivewire Cans
Tongan Crimson Auha -12 @ Big Island Growas
Tasmania Devils +12 @ Perth Scorpions
Brantford Mustangs -7 @ Fiji Sea Turtles
Brisbane Bandits -5 @ Dogdandy Enforcers
Kiribati Blitz -1 @ Brisbane Gods

Yes, I am picking some upsets (my game would be one of them ) and I am also picking the ever so humble Bandits to win their first game. Ahem!
 
juicepod
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Hollywood Decepticons +60 @ Canberra Strike: Canberra Strike
The U Canes -51 @ Outback Astronauts: The U Canes
Bermuda Pirates +39 @ Las Vegas Outlaws: Las Vegas Outlaws
Great Barrier Reef Sharks +30 @ Rawle Tech Titans: Rawle Tech Titans
Newcastle Bearcats -29 @ Emerald City Flying Monkeys: Newcastle Bearcats
Wagga Wagga Fighting Squirrels -25 @ Auckland Flames: Auckland Flames
West Scranton Invaders +24 @ Aussie Cardinals: West Scranton Invaders
Saipan Fighters -20 @ Buen Retiro Longhorns: Saipan Fighters
IC Incinerators +18 @ FFLW Caninites: FFLW Caninites
New England Burning Pride -14 @ Speightstown Rum Runners: New England Burning Pride
Nauru Tigers Sharks -13 @ FFLivewire Cans: Nauru Tiger Sharks
Tongan Crimson Auha -12 @ Big Island Growas: Tongan Crimson Auha
Tasmania Devils +12 @ Perth Scorpions: Tasmania Devils
Brantford Mustangs -7 @ Fiji Sea Turtles: Fiji Sea Turtles
Brisbane Bandits -5 @ Dogdandy Enforcers: Brisbane Bandits
Kiribati Blitz -1 @ Brisbane Gods: Brisbane Gods

HOL @ CAN: 62 - Over
TUC @ OUT: 53 - Over
BER @ LV: 69 - Under
GBR @ RT: 34 - Over
NEW @ EC: 65 - Under
WW @ AUC: 35 - Over
WS @ AUS: 44 - Under
SAI @ BR: 20 - Over
IC @ FFN: 48 - Over
NE @ SPE: 26 - Over
NAU @ FFC: 39 - Under
TON @ BI: 24 - Over
TAS @ PER: 34 - Over
BRA @ FIJ: 21 - Under
BRB @ DOG: 29 - Over
KIR @ BRG: 25 - Over
Last edited Jun 18, 2008 11:57:10
 
wombat killer
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You have RT as a 30 point favorite and the under at 34. Ouch.
 
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Originally posted by wombat killer
You have RT as a 30 point favorite and the under at 34. Ouch.


The formula is just **that** precise. I'm not gonna question it.
 
lerriuqs
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We're 25 point favorites???!! What?! Where are these spreads coming from??
 
lukin83
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I messed up one of the spreads.
 
lukin83
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Originally posted by lerriuqs
We're 25 point favorites???!! What?! Where are these spreads coming from??


Too high? Too low? Right on?
 
lerriuqs
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IMO - definitely too high - I'd put it at closer to 7 - though I'm not sure I consider us the favorites either. Last game I would have put us at 7 point underdogs as well (and been dead on...)
 
HaplosDog
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I'll copy MC_Hammer's format of bolding my picks.


Hollywood Decepticons +60 @ Canberra Strike
The U Canes -51 @ Outback Astronauts
Bermuda Pirates +39 @ Las Vegas Outlaws
Great Barrier Reef Sharks +30 @ Rawle Tech Titans
Newcastle Bearcats -29 @ Emerald City Flying Monkeys
Wagga Wagga Fighting Squirrels -25 @ Auckland Flames
West Scranton Invaders +24 @ Aussie Cardinals
Saipan Fighters -20 @ Buen Retiro Longhorns
IC Incinerators +18 @ FFLW Caninites
New England Burning Pride -14 @ Speightstown Rum Runners
Nauru Tigers Sharks -13 @ FFLivewire Cans
Tongan Crimson Auha -12 @ Big Island Growas
Tasmania Devils +12 @ Perth Scorpions
Brantford Mustangs -7 @ Fiji Sea Turtles
Brisbane Bandits -5 @ Dogdandy Enforcers (not gonna bet on my team's game this time)
Kiribati Blitz -1 @ Brisbane Gods
Last edited Jun 18, 2008 11:19:22
 
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More people sleeping on the Turtles. Any chance we could funnel some of the proceeds from those betting against us into stadium renovations?
 
GForce107
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Think that there isn't enough datapoints out there for making a good spread. I'd suspect that the stats are biased towards the teams that have played the decepticons. I really couldn't place a bet on us Flying Monkeys when were giving 26 points to the Bearcats.
 
brianw
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The Newcastle/EC game is going to be a close, hard fought battle. As a Bearcat, I would put all of my money on EC to cover, and take the under. It would be a bet worth losing.
 
Ballbright
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Originally posted by JuniorMcSpiffy
Originally posted by wombat killer

You have RT as a 30 point favorite and the under at 34. Ouch.


The formula is just **that** precise. I'm not gonna question it.


Yeah, I know we suck and all...but umm....
 
BradyFTW
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Originally posted by JuniorMcSpiffy
More people sleeping on the Turtles. Any chance we could funnel some of the proceeds from those betting against us into stadium renovations?


Normally I'd agree. With Fiji, I figure that whoever wins, nobody's winning by more than a touchdown. Brantford is damn good, though.
 
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