Warrior General Games

Calculated Elo Ratings for the Oceania Pro League after 2nd round playoff wk18 games (and final rating for those who are out of the playoffs)...

New England Burning Pride Alpha 143.6
Canberra Strike Alpha 131.6
Brisbane Bandits Alpha 125.5
Brisbane Gods Zeta 114.1
Tongan Crimson Auha Zeta 111.1
Rawle Tech Titans Zeta 95.8
Vincennes Vampires Zeta 74.5
Fiji Sea Turtles Alpha 66.0

-----------------------------------------------------------

Predicted Win Probabilities for upcoming wk19, 3rd round playoff games based on Elo data...

New England Burning Pride Alpha 0.517
Brisbane Gods Zeta 0.504
Tongan Crimson Auha Zeta 0.496
Canberra Strike Alpha 0.483

-----------------------------------------------------------

Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (top combined Elo ratings):
New England Burning Pride (16-2-0) at Canberra Strike (16-2-0)

Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (closest Elo rating difference):
Tongan Crimson Auha (15-3-0) at Brisbane Gods (15-3-0)

-----------------------------------------------------------

caveats: This data is based on a data set of 18 points/team (games). Larger data sets are recommended for reliable trend/regression analysis.

Additionally, the different conferences were combined assuming that both conferences had identical overall conference strength.

notes: Elo "K value"=24, starting Elo rating of zero for all teams starting at season's start. "Actual results" - Win=1, Tie=0.5, Loss=0

Additionally, factors such as home field advantage, score margin, and team chemistry changes are ignored.

Bad rankings. I think even without "winning" and "making it" to the "conference championships" the Bandits should be listed in the final 4 teams.

nice job as usual. get over the loss billy, your "elo rating" is still #3

Why do people constantly complain about these as if people are saying they're the only rankings? They are /ELO/ rankings done in a specific formula. Every single thread there are several people moaning and groaning without knowing what Elo rankings happen to be. -.-

Errr, so I'm curious about that myself. WHAT DOES 'Elo' stand for?

Elo is short for eloquent

'Elo' isn't an abbreviation. It's a rating system named after Arpad Elo.

Oh, and I am super pumped for the Alpha finals. Pride/Strike should be awesome.

Originally posted by Klaerth
Why do people constantly complain about these as if people are saying they're the only rankings? They are /ELO/ rankings done in a specific formula. Every single thread there are several people moaning and groaning without knowing what Elo rankings happen to be. -.-

It's because people get pissed when numbers disrespect them.

"New England Burning Pride Alpha 0.517
Brisbane Gods Zeta 0.504
Tongan Crimson Auha Zeta 0.496
Canberra Strike Alpha 0.483"

So... I take it we're in for a couple of close games.

Originally posted by RTJakarta
Oh, and I am super pumped for the Alpha finals. Pride/Strike should be awesome.

We figure since we let Pride win the last one, they'll let us win this one

Sounds like a deal.

only fair... go ahead start the second sting Srike

Originally posted by Klaerth
Why do people constantly complain about these as if people are saying they're the only rankings? They are /ELO/ rankings done in a specific formula. Every single thread there are several people moaning and groaning without knowing what Elo rankings happen to be. -.-

I was joking. Thought that would've been made apparent by demanding we are ranked as conference champions even though we lost.

Originally posted by BradyFTW
Originally posted by Klaerth

Why do people constantly complain about these as if people are saying they're the only rankings? They are /ELO/ rankings done in a specific formula. Every single thread there are several people moaning and groaning without knowing what Elo rankings happen to be. -.-

It's because people get pissed when numbers disrespect them.

"New England Burning Pride Alpha 0.517
Brisbane Gods Zeta 0.504
Tongan Crimson Auha Zeta 0.496
Canberra Strike Alpha 0.483"

So... I take it we're in for a couple of close games.

I'm going to quote funke here:

RESPECT MY DOTS!

Originally posted by Vilita
Originally posted by RTJakarta

Oh, and I am super pumped for the Alpha finals. Pride/Strike should be awesome.

We figure since we let Pride win the last one, they'll let us win this one

Naturally.