Warrior General Games

Calculated Elo Ratings for the Oceania Pro League after 1st round playoff wk17 games (and final rating for those who are out of the playoffs)...

Brisbane Bandits Alpha 137.7
New England Burning Pride Alpha 131.4
Canberra Strike Alpha 121.1
Rawle Tech Titans Zeta 108.1
Brisbane Gods Zeta 102.7
Tongan Crimson Auha Zeta 98.8
Newcastle Bearcats Alpha 98.3
Vincennes Vampires Zeta 85.9
The U Canes Zeta 80.3
Fiji Sea Turtles Alpha 76.5
Nauru Tiger Sharks Zeta 64.2
Emerald City Flying Monkeys Alpha 61.0
Las Vegas Outlaws Zeta 50.0
IC Incinerators Zeta 13.4
Carabao Buffalos Alpha 9.1
Auckland Flames Alpha 2.9

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Predicted Win Probabilities for upcoming wk18, 2nd round playoff games based on Elo data...

Canberra Strike Alpha 0.564
Brisbane Gods Zeta 0.524
Rawle Tech Titans Zeta 0.513
Brisbane Bandits Alpha 0.509
New England Burning Pride Alpha 0.491
Tongan Crimson Auha Zeta 0.487
Vincennes Vampires Zeta 0.476
Fiji Sea Turtles Alpha 0.436

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Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (top combined Elo ratings):
New England Burning Pride (15-2-0) at Brisbane Bandits (16-1-0)

Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (closest Elo rating difference):
also New England Burning Pride (15-2-0) at Brisbane Bandits (16-1-0)

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caveats: This data is based on a data set of 17 points/team (games). Larger data sets are recommended for reliable trend/regression analysis.

Additionally, the different conferences were combined assuming that both conferences had identical overall conference strength.

notes: Elo "K value"=24, starting Elo rating of zero for all teams starting at season's start. "Actual results" - Win=1, Tie=0.5, Loss=0

Additionally, factors such as home field advantage, score margin, and team chemistry changes are ignored.

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Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (top combined Elo ratings):
New England Burning Pride (15-2-0) at Brisbane Bandits (16-1-0)

Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (closest Elo rating difference):
also New England Burning Pride (15-2-0) at Brisbane Bandits (16-1-0)
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Hahaha, here we go again...

we have the 2nd highest win probability vs. the Vampires? wow that must mean there is some great competition

I gotta say I'm as excited for this rematch as I am for the championship. As far as non-Bandit teams go, NE is certainly the most enchanting and attractive. Even with that said, I can't say that any team really matches the physical grace or overall sassiness of the Bandits.

I hope the Bandits make up their loss, but if they don't, I'll cheer New England on to the finals.

Originally posted by BradyFTW
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Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (top combined Elo ratings):
New England Burning Pride (15-2-0) at Brisbane Bandits (16-1-0)

Upcoming Playoff Game of the Week (closest Elo rating difference):
also New England Burning Pride (15-2-0) at Brisbane Bandits (16-1-0)
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Hahaha, here we go again...

I see a rivalry in the making...

Originally posted by billyvassi
I gotta say I'm as excited for this rematch as I am for the championship. As far as non-Bandit teams go, NE is certainly the most enchanting and attractive. Even with that said, I can't say that any team really matches the physical grace or overall sassiness of the Bandits.

I hope the Bandits make up their loss, but if they don't, I'll cheer New England on to the finals.

Yeah, they'll have my vote as well.

Originally posted by bigpimpin123
we have the 2nd highest win probability vs. the Vampires? wow that must mean there is some great competition

It's all a coin flip from here on out bro. Good luck.

Go Pride. (again!)

We shutout the Bearcats, the only shutout in the playoffs, and no respect. Okay.

Go Fiji Sea Turtles!!

Can we stop being the goddamn game of the week. I am running out of weeks.

I think we are the only team to hold New England to 6 points of offense.

Originally posted by shortstack
I think we are the only team to hold New England to 6 points of offense.

You are. The next best was Emerald City, which held us to 13 in week 2.

Originally posted by tobias funke
Can we stop being the goddamn game of the week. I am running out of weeks.

Hahaha, I know. I think this is the 5th straight week that we've been one or both of the games of the week.

hah, Fiji still the underdog... we love it!!! :-)