Warrior General Games

3/4 of the finalists correct by formula....

...of course the math had Rawle in the finals, but still, the formula seems to be generating 75% correct per round.

9/12 isn't what I was shooting for, but I think any bettor out there would take it.

woot go Gods

6/8 in the first round, 3/4 in the second round, right now = 75% accuracy.
Best you can do is 1/2 in the next round, and your champ is still alive.

So, currently, the most accurate your picks will be is 73%.
The least accurate your picks will be is 60%.

I wish someone else made picks without a "formula" so we could compare. Oh well.

Just for comparison, someone who picked the top seed to win every match, (i.e. picking all the favorites, like my girlfriend does for March Madness) would also be 75% accurate until this point, but would have a better chance at a higher accuracy.

Originally posted by atm490

I wish someone else made picks without a "formula" so we could compare. Oh well.


Average single bettor (NFL) gets about 42-48% correct yearly.

Average Vegas final line is about 58% correct.

Just to throw some numbers out there...

NFL players aren't based on a numbered ability point system.

Just to throw that out there.

Originally posted by billyvassi
NFL players aren't based on a numbered ability point system.

Just to throw that out there.

Yeah but if the numbers could tell you who was going to win, they wouldn't need to sim the games.

Originally posted by billyvassi
NFL players aren't based on a numbered ability point system.

Just to throw that out there.

They are in Madden

Originally posted by Ballbright
Originally posted by atm490


I wish someone else made picks without a "formula" so we could compare. Oh well.


Average single bettor (NFL) gets about 42-48% correct yearly.

Average Vegas final line is about 58% correct.

Just to throw some numbers out there...



Where are those stats from? And is the Vegas final line number in relation to the spread or not?

Originally posted by billyvassi
NFL players aren't based on a numbered ability point system.

Just to throw that out there.

Neither is my formula, that's why the numbers here will never be as accurate

Originally posted by atm490
Originally posted by Ballbright

Originally posted by atm490



I wish someone else made picks without a "formula" so we could compare. Oh well.


Average single bettor (NFL) gets about 42-48% correct yearly.

Average Vegas final line is about 58% correct.

Just to throw some numbers out there...



Where are those stats from? And is the Vegas final line number in relation to the spread or not?

They're published industry numbers, and yes that's against the spread

Originally posted by Ballbright
Originally posted by atm490

Originally posted by Ballbright


Originally posted by atm490




I wish someone else made picks without a "formula" so we could compare. Oh well.


Average single bettor (NFL) gets about 42-48% correct yearly.

Average Vegas final line is about 58% correct.

Just to throw some numbers out there...



Where are those stats from? And is the Vegas final line number in relation to the spread or not?

They're published industry numbers, and yes that's against the spread

I'm sure that without the spread, like your picks, that number would be really, really, really high.

Also, where can I find the published industry numbers? Link me?

LOL, hes right on for Alpha so far....

hopefully right on with the pride

Originally posted by Ballbright
3/4 of the finalists correct by formula....

...of course the math had Rawle in the finals,
It's not your fault on that one. All of us on the Tongan team flunked math so you can't expect to be right predicting our scores based on math. I mean a sweathog, Juan Epstein, scored a TD today, and he's terrible at math.

whats your prediction for the Zeta Championship now? by the numbers and/or opinion, doesnt matter

Originally posted by bigpimpin123
whats your prediction for the Zeta Championship now? by the numbers and/or opinion, doesnt matter

I like both teams, but based solely off opinion I'd take the Gods. Tongan has proved to be an excellent team tactically over the course of the season, beating teams that were rated higher, and teams that had a lot more depth, but I just don't think they can overcome the Gods (also great tacticians) depth.

IN the interest of full disclosure, I will secretly be pulling for the formula to fail on the alpha side, as I have players on the Canberra Strike.