Calculated Elo Ratings for the Alpha conference after wk10 games...
Brisbane Bandits 103.4
New England Burning Pride 84.0
Canberra Strike 80.1
Newcastle Bearcats 58.2
Auckland Flames 34.4
Fiji Sea Turtles 29.4
Carabao Buffalos 18.6
Emerald City Flying Monkeys 17.7
Sydney Seahawks 0.1
Aussie Cardinals -7.7
Perth Scorpions -40.0
Wagga Wagga Fighting Squirrels -48.2
Sparta Spartans -65.5
Tasmania Devils -77.9
Hollywood Decepticons -81.7
Midd-West Mustangs -105.0
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Predicted Win Probabilities for wk11 based on Elo data...
Fiji Sea Turtles 0.684
Newcastle Bearcats 0.649
Emerald City Flying Monkeys 0.639
New England Burning Pride 0.629
Brisbane Bandits 0.598
Canberra Strike 0.588
Sydney Seahawks 0.557
Sparta Spartans 0.518
Tasmania Devils 0.482
Perth Scorpions 0.443
Carabao Buffalos 0.412
Auckland Flames 0.402
Aussie Cardinals 0.371
Hollywood Decepticons 0.361
Wagga Wagga Fighting Squirrels 0.352
Midd-West Mustangs 0.316
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Upcoming Game of the Week (top combined Elo ratings)
Auckland Flames (7-3-0) at Brisbane Bandits (10-0-0)
Upcoming Game of the Week (closest Elo rating difference)
Sparta Spartans (2-8-0) at Tasmania Devils (1-9-0)
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caveats: This data is based on a limited data set of only 10 points(games). I prefer data sets above 30 points are recommended for reliable trend/regression analysis. Additionally, since no cross-conference/cross-league games have been played, the only way to compare different conferences/leagues at present would be to largely assume that all conferences/leagues have similar overall team strength.
notes: Elo "K value"=24, starting Elo rating of zero for all teams starting at season's start. "Actual results" - Win=1, Tie=0.5, Loss=0
Additionally, factors such as home field advantage, score margin, and team chemistry changes are ignored.