User Pass
Home Sign Up Contact Log In
Forum > Europe East A Leagues > Europe East A #3 > EEA3 Projected Standings - Post Week 12
mw54finest
offline
Link
 
Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Warsaw Wrath. . . . . . . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . 88% . . 746 . . ...166
..2 . . Helsinki Demons. . . . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . 88% . . 888 . . ...245
..3 . . Chernobyl Toxic Avengers. . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . 88% . . 582 . . ...134
..4 . . Greece Lightning. . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 674 . . ...248
..5 . . The Sons of Liberty . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 647 . . ...200
..6 . . Business Time. . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 595 . . ...272
..7 . . Texas Red Dragons. . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . 56% . . 418 . . ...382
..8 . . Helsinki Hellrazors . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 489 . . ...448
..9 . . Stary Oskol Black Belts. . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 526 . . ...308
10 . . Gotland Islanders . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . 386 . . ...361
11 . . Prague Warriors . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . 294 . . ...411
12 . . Prague Beersteins. . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 414 . . ...593
13 . . Krakow Hares . . . . . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . 19% . . 345 . . ...681
14 . . New Brunswick Davidsons . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . 19% . . 334 . . ...911
15 . . Budapest Bullets. . . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ..6% . . 171 . . 1,169
16 . . SPANDAU BULLDOGS . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ..0% . . 152 . . 1,034



Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Minoan Minotaurs. . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 789 . . 153
..2 . . Vilnius Iron Wolves . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 565 . . 185
..3 . . Morgantown Biscuits. . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . 88% . . 499 . . 152
..4 . . Belarus Death Machine. . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 502 . . 205
..5 . . Tallinn Tigers. . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . 75% . . 438 . . 212
..6 . . WhatsaMatta U Fighting Elk 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . 69% . . 536 . . 333
..7 . . Chester Romans . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 456 . . 391
..8 . . Katowice Legion . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 413 . . 424
..9 . . Ostrava IRONMEN. . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 324 . . 264
10 . . Maribor Triforce. . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . 231 . . 395
11 . . Bratislava Stachstachers . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 372 . . 556
12 . . Booty Bay Blue Rogues. . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 335 . . 498
13 . . Kharkiv Lo Pans. . . . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 321 . . 466
14 . . Jefferson City Bucks. . . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . 13% . . 206 . . 610
15 . . Saratov Slashers . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ..6% . . 202 . . 824
16 . . Mombasa Wombats. . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ..0% . . 132 . . 606
 
mw54finest
offline
Link
 
So anyone care to do the math for playoff picture at this point?
 
Jabber40
offline
Link
 
I won't do math, but I will do analysis....

Alpha Conference - Currently no one team has locked up a playoff berth, that will change next week. Of the 6 teams logjammed at the top with 10-2 records, the Helsinki Demons have the easiest remaining schedule(they face no team ranked higher than #18 in the conference) and should have no trouble maintaining that top spot. The Greece Lightning and Warsaw Wrath each have 2 games against playoff-caliber opponents. Business Time and Sons of Liberty each have 3 games against playoff-caliber opponents and all of the Chernobyl Toxic Avengers remaining games are against playoff-caliber opponents. Obviously the tougher your opponents, the more likely you will slip-up and lose. As for the remaining 2 playoff spots, there are 4 other teams that have the potential to finish above .500. The Gotland Islanders are the lowest of those teams with a 5-7 record and 3 opponents that rank in the Top 10 in the conference. They won't see .500 this year. The Helsinki Hellrazors are 7-5 and have 2 games against teams ranked higher than them and 2 games against people ranked lower than them. I think the HH take the #7 spot. The Texas Red Dragons and the Stary Oskol Black Belts are tied at 6-6 and both have 2 easy games and 2 tough games. The fact that the Texas Red Dragons already have the edge in Points Scored and a slightly easier schedule means that they edge SOBB for the #8 berth.

Zeta Conference - Minoan, Vilnius, Belarus, and Morgantown have already locked-up playoff berths and with 3 games seperating them from the rest of the conference, it would take a complete collapse by one of these teams to lose homefield advantage. Vilnius and Belarus have the easiest remaining schedule with their only remaining playoff-caliber opponent being each other. Minoan faces 2 playoff-caliber opponents and Morgantown faces 3 with 1 of those games being each other. The winners of those internal games will be 1/2 with the losers being 3/4. My money says #1 Vilnius, #2 Morgantown, #3 Minoan, and #4 Belarus (but I may be biased slightly). The WhatsaMatta U Fighting Elk and the Tallinn Tigers are both at 8-4 with fairly easy schedules and it's probably their Week 15 clash that will determine which team finishes 5th and 6th. There are 4 teams vying for the last 2 spots. The Bratislava Stachstachers are at the bottom of those 4 with a 5-7 record and 3 games against playoff-caliber opponents. Odds are they finish 6-10 and are home for the playoffs. The Chester Romans are 7-5 with 3 games remaining against playoff-caliber teams. The Katowice Legion are 6-6 with 3 games remaining against playoff-caliber opponents. The Ostrava IRONMEN are 5-7 with 1 game against playoff-caliber opposition. In addition Chester and Katowice play each other. Ostrava should end up 8-8. If Chester wins the match-up with Katowice, they can finish 9-7 and have the #7 spot. Katowice would finish 7-9 and Ostrava would get the #8 spot. If Katowice wins the match-up with Chester, all 3 teams would finish 8-8 with playoff position being determined by Points Scored. Chester currently has 351, Katowice currently has 304, and Ostrava currently has 249. If I was Ostrava, I'd start rooting for Katowice.
 
mw54finest
offline
Link
 
Well said, Jabber. Thank you! Exactly what I was looking for.
You should do the weekly review for all of us.
 
bushidobard
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Jabber40
I won't do math, but I will do analysis....

Alpha Conference - Currently no one team has locked up a playoff berth, that will change next week. Of the 6 teams logjammed at the top with 10-2 records, the Helsinki Demons have the easiest remaining schedule(they face no team ranked higher than #18 in the conference) and should have no trouble maintaining that top spot. The Greece Lightning and Warsaw Wrath each have 2 games against playoff-caliber opponents. Business Time and Sons of Liberty each have 3 games against playoff-caliber opponents and all of the Chernobyl Toxic Avengers remaining games are against playoff-caliber opponents. Obviously the tougher your opponents, the more likely you will slip-up and lose. As for the remaining 2 playoff spots, there are 4 other teams that have the potential to finish above .500. The Gotland Islanders are the lowest of those teams with a 5-7 record and 3 opponents that rank in the Top 10 in the conference. They won't see .500 this year. The Helsinki Hellrazors are 7-5 and have 2 games against teams ranked higher than them and 2 games against people ranked lower than them. I think the HH take the #7 spot. The Texas Red Dragons and the Stary Oskol Black Belts are tied at 6-6 and both have 2 easy games and 2 tough games. The fact that the Texas Red Dragons already have the edge in Points Scored and a slightly easier schedule means that they edge SOBB for the #8 berth.


Awesome work.

Wouldn't mind if you worked in some predictions for seeding at the top

 
Jabber40
offline
Link
 
I'll try to do something like that after tomorrow's games. It's going to get a little crazy around here as teams that are on the edge of making/missing the playoffs start boosting to try and solidify their position.
 
slappdogg
offline
Link
 
nice work Jabber
 


You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.