Warrior General Games

Since I have a spreadsheet that does all this nifty maths I figured I see how good it was at predicting. I wrote out some new stuff that will be implemented when figuring the week 2 power rankings and that stuff was used to help make the week 2 picks. I will use how well it does predicting to help tune the simulation formula and also just to have fun.

For the picks you will see first the matchup. Then below will be the percentage that the spreadsheet thinks each team has at winning, out of 100%. The game with the closest percentages is deemed to be the game of the week.

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Week 1 - No picks
Week 2 - 69% (Not bad for only one week of data)
Week 3 - 75% (better, but not as good as I thought it would do)
Week 4 - 75% (we'll see how it does with the new formula next week)
Week 5 - 81% (consistent and improving)
Week 6 - 75% (Darn upsets )

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Week 6

Uganda vs Nile River CORRECT
93/7

Tuscaloosa vs StingTalk CORRECT
76/24

Bombali vs Madagascar CORRECT
90/10

Gambia vs Pretoria CORRECT
96/4

Syechelles vs Kalahari CORRECT
54/46

Equatorial Guinea vs Gabon CORRECT
46/54

Kenya vs Ivory Coast CORRECT
51/49

West Nile vs Eritrea INCORRECT
53/47


Central Africa vs Transatlantic INCORRECT
69/31

Kibwezi vs Sahara CORRECT
83/17

Chicago vs Kilimanjaro INCORRECT
63/37

Tanzanain vs Ghana CORRECT
72/28

Krakow vs Swaziland CORRECT
81/18

Tunis vs Casablanca INCORRECT
62/38

Lacashire vs North Afrika CORRECT
77/23

Namibia vs Gotham City CORRECT
72/28

Bout to chop you up!

I don't !!!

65-35 against the terror? I think this has upset of the week all over it if terror win....

Originally posted by GarrettFoster
Casablanca vs North Africa 80%/20%

I like those odds

Originally posted by lancashire_colts
65-35 against the terror? I think this has upset of the week all over it if terror win....

I do too, but with only one week of data I'd be thrilled if it was hitting on 75% of these games.

Last years lose to Namibia was a fluke and look for the Choppaholix to prove it to everyone

Bombali picked to loose. Need to check that spread sheet again.

Kenya vs Seychelles
65%/35%

damn, i know we didnt show up for our 1st game, but i didnt think we would be this big of underdogs. time to go pull the upset...good luck kenya

It's not just Zak -- Even the computer will not pick the Frogs.

Time for the upset.

Great game terror. First half was really tight then it all went down hill for us after the fumble on special teams. Ah well, you win some, you lose some...

another blowout by gambia

Well, it hit better than .500 which is all I could ask it to do with very little data. I will be interested to see how it does now that it has another data point to actually be able to tell which teams may just be really bad or really good.

Originally posted by dubduece22
Last years lose to Namibia was a fluke and look for the Choppaholix to prove it to everyone

Solid prediction duecey

Originally posted by lancashire_colts
Great game terror. First half was really tight then it all went down hill for us after the fumble on special teams. Ah well, you win some, you lose some...

That LB was mine, I must take credit for my defense
great game guys.