Originally posted by Novus
I'm aware most people shoot for 40 to get OTK... been doing that myself for a while.
Catch-22 was building dots with low Confidence at a time when MOST top dot-builders were building dots with low or low-ish Confidence, so his low-Confidence dots could get away with it because they were playing in a low-Confidence environment.
I've seen people explore the effects of Confidence over the years, but your post made me think of something: haven't those tests generally been focused on regular season games and scrims? If Confidence has a larger impact in the playoffs, the only way to test that is by running experiments with playoff games -- which owners don't generally don't want to do because they understandably want to win playoff games. And playoff games are, by their nature, difficult to experiment with -- there's no reliable way to select particular opponents or matchups short of full-on manipulatioin of the standings. And when two teams play each other in the playoffs once, that's it -- there's no way to repeat the experiment, unless you can keep two Plateau'd rosters completely unchanged for a second season in a row, get both teams to meet in the playoffs again, and have them use the same gameplans from the season before.
If Confidence actually does have a larger impact in the playoffs than it does in the regular season, you won't see that impact in regular season games. A squad of otherwise very well built dots with low Confidence could go 16-0 every regular season, and people can point to that and say, "See? There's proof you don't need Confidence." But it's actually just proof that you don't need Confidence in the regular season. And we've all seen teams that regularly dominate in the regular season and regularly fall flat on their face in the playoffs. It's easy to assume it's because they're bad at gameplanning when it matters, and there's something to that, of course -- but what if it's not the only factor?
but catch22 also had insight as to how the SIM worked, which may be why he ignored confidence
I'm aware most people shoot for 40 to get OTK... been doing that myself for a while.
Catch-22 was building dots with low Confidence at a time when MOST top dot-builders were building dots with low or low-ish Confidence, so his low-Confidence dots could get away with it because they were playing in a low-Confidence environment.
I've seen people explore the effects of Confidence over the years, but your post made me think of something: haven't those tests generally been focused on regular season games and scrims? If Confidence has a larger impact in the playoffs, the only way to test that is by running experiments with playoff games -- which owners don't generally don't want to do because they understandably want to win playoff games. And playoff games are, by their nature, difficult to experiment with -- there's no reliable way to select particular opponents or matchups short of full-on manipulatioin of the standings. And when two teams play each other in the playoffs once, that's it -- there's no way to repeat the experiment, unless you can keep two Plateau'd rosters completely unchanged for a second season in a row, get both teams to meet in the playoffs again, and have them use the same gameplans from the season before.
If Confidence actually does have a larger impact in the playoffs than it does in the regular season, you won't see that impact in regular season games. A squad of otherwise very well built dots with low Confidence could go 16-0 every regular season, and people can point to that and say, "See? There's proof you don't need Confidence." But it's actually just proof that you don't need Confidence in the regular season. And we've all seen teams that regularly dominate in the regular season and regularly fall flat on their face in the playoffs. It's easy to assume it's because they're bad at gameplanning when it matters, and there's something to that, of course -- but what if it's not the only factor?
but catch22 also had insight as to how the SIM worked, which may be why he ignored confidence