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Primate
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Originally posted by Primate
Teams to beat:
Smutrag
Pounders
Steel
Black Hand

Should be safe:
Barossa- Has 2, maybe 3 tough games left (depends on whether the punishers have given up, or want to try to cockblock teams the last few weeks.) I think they will finish about 11-5.

Scranton- Has 1 tough game left. (Maybe 2...blah blah blah punishers) I think they go 9-7 or 10-6

The clusterfuck:
We have Stockholm, craptopica, Razorbags, and caustic all fighting for 2 PO spots.

It is also remotely possible that Geelong and the Punishers could be back in the picture if

Craptopica- They have 2 tough games left and sit at 6-6. Unless BH tanks on purpose, they definitely lose that one. The Stockholm game will be the key for them, and I think that depends on where stockholm is sitting when they play. 8-8 or 9-7

Razorbags- I think they may have the best shot here. All of their games are winnable. Barossa will be the key. 9-7

Stockholm- Far an away the toughest remaining schedule. I see losses to steel and smutrag putting them in the 7 loss pack, then they get to play offtop and caustic to close it out. 8-8 or 9-7

Caustic- We have stockholm and the aforementioned punishers left. Have to win out to get in. Could end up 7-9, 8-8, or 9-7



 
7steeladonis
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SCM too high
 
Primate
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Razorbag- drop to 8 losses. They may still get in, but no longer control their own destiny.

West Scrotum is going to finish 9-7 without trying.

Craptopica- has to get past black death and they are 9-7. I think they do it based on the way BD layed down for smutrag.

Black derp- Got reamed by smutrag. They have to beat caustic and yello's team to get to 9-7 The way they played steel, I thought they might be in, but then they layed an egg against sumatra, so???

Caustic- Has to beat black derp and they finish 9-7

9-7 guarantees a PO spot. but Black death is the key for everyone. If they win one of those 2 games, we are back to all the weird tie breaker rules.

My guess:
Caustic
WSI
Offtop

If offtop loses against stockholm, it gets interesting. If Caustic and offtop lose to stockholm, It'll be a huge mess.
Edited by Primate on Mar 4, 2013 10:31:58
Edited by Primate on Mar 4, 2013 10:02:51
Edited by Primate on Mar 4, 2013 09:59:26
 
jlrock
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The way I see it Primate and I could be wrong.

Offtrop is in as the 8th seed at worst

You have to beat the death and your gimmie and you are in.

If death beats you, then Nation will get in.

Maybe I am wrong.

Edited by jlrock on Mar 4, 2013 10:18:44
 
jlrock
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The way I see it as there are going to be some teams going to reg pro that if had played in some other conferences would not be sweating bullets.
 
Primate
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Originally posted by jlrock
The way I see it Primate and I could be wrong.

Offtrop is in as the 8th seed at worst

You have to beat the death and your gimmie and you are in.

If death beats you, then Nation will get in.

Maybe I am wrong.



No because offtopica has to play BH. I don't think they win that one.
 
jlrock
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Gotcha, though if death loses to O trop, then beats you guys, I think Nation would go over you 2, based on head to head. If O trop loses 2 which I think they will get the black death. They could fall out all the way also?

One messed up situation for sure.
 
Primate
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If yello loses both, they have the HTH over Razorback, but if caustic loses to death, Caustic has the HTH over Offtop, but not razorback. I think it goes to points against if that happens, so caustic has to beat death to get in.
 
Primate
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Originally posted by jlrock
Gotcha, though if death loses to O trop, then beats you guys, I think Nation would go over you 2, based on head to head. If O trop loses 2 which I think they will get the black death. They could fall out all the way also?

One messed up situation for sure.


yeah. Makes it kinda fun.
 
7steeladonis
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You could ways win more games to prevent being at the bottom

js
 
Primate
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Originally posted by 7steeladonis
You could ways win more games to prevent being at the bottom

js


Sounds boring, tbh.
 
scanmode
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Originally posted by 7steeladonis
You could ways win more games to prevent being at the bottom

js


That's always the plan, but we had major chem issues at the start of the season.....I think we were like in the 20's.....Not a good formula for success.
 
dss02
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Originally posted by Primate
Sounds boring, tbh.


and surprisingly difficult if your DC is kidnapped by a GLB hating wife
 
Primate
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Originally posted by dss02
and surprisingly difficult if your DC is kidnapped by a GLB hating wife


true
 
Tigroklaws
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with today's games, here's my breakdown using projections of win/loss for last 2 games. obviously things can change:
Seeds
1-4 = could shift but don't matter, they are in
5 = maybe the only locked position. goes to Barossa

6-8 is of course where the fun lies. Razorback is hanging on. I than have the following projections
Razorback Nation = 2 projected wins to finish @ 8-8
West Scranton = 2 easy wins and makes it in. no worse than 7. Projected #6 seed @ 9-7
Caustic = 1 easy win, matchup with Stock (projected loss)
Stockholm = Match with OffTopica and Caustic. (I have them losing to OM, but Mini-helmet could save them. and beating Caustic) finishing @ 8-8
OffTopica = Match with Black Hand (loss) and Stock (projected win but Mini-helmet may cost them) finishing @ 9-7

6 = West Scranton = 2 easy wins and has the h2h vs OffTopica
7 = Offtopica = loses tie break to WS

3 way tie at 8-8 (Razorback,Caustic,Stockholm)
8 = Razorback Nation sneaks in holding the Tie-breaker beating both it's contenders.
 
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