We are having a healthy discussion on our team regarding the % bias in the packages..
We kinda disagree on how it works. Here is the scenario: Say you have a package with 5 plays.
A says)
These should all together be 100%. Meaning they could look like this:
play 1: 20%
play 2: 30%
play 3: 20%
play 4: 15%
play 5: 15%
Play 1 would then have a 20% chance of being chosen. Play 2 30% etc.
B says)
That the percentage is the chance of the play being chosen. If not move on to roll the dice on the next. They don't have to add up to a 100%. Plays could look like this:
play 1: 50%
play 2: 40%
play 3: 60%
play 4: 10%
play 5: 80%
Play 1 would then have 50 percent chance of being chosen. If not move to the next play. This would have 40% of being chosen etc. This mean the first play in the package would have a better chance of being taken than the last, since it would have to 'survive' all the other plays not being chosen..
Which way is the correct one..?
Thanks
We kinda disagree on how it works. Here is the scenario: Say you have a package with 5 plays.
A says)
These should all together be 100%. Meaning they could look like this:
play 1: 20%
play 2: 30%
play 3: 20%
play 4: 15%
play 5: 15%
Play 1 would then have a 20% chance of being chosen. Play 2 30% etc.
B says)
That the percentage is the chance of the play being chosen. If not move on to roll the dice on the next. They don't have to add up to a 100%. Plays could look like this:
play 1: 50%
play 2: 40%
play 3: 60%
play 4: 10%
play 5: 80%
Play 1 would then have 50 percent chance of being chosen. If not move to the next play. This would have 40% of being chosen etc. This mean the first play in the package would have a better chance of being taken than the last, since it would have to 'survive' all the other plays not being chosen..
Which way is the correct one..?
Thanks