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Forum > Europe West AA League > Europe West AA #4 > Neoliminal Rankings Week 14
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neoliminal
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1 Trondheim Wolves 14-0-0 Alpha
2 Belfast Brawlers 13-1-0 Alpha
3 Baden Bandits 12-2-0 Beta
4 Birmingham Beavers 12-2-0 Alpha
5 Ukraine Valkyries 12-2-0 Alpha
6 Glasgow Kitties 12-2-0 Beta
7 Lisbon Eagles 11-3-0 Beta
8 Rome Arcani 11-3-0 Beta
9 Kilkenny Sidhe 11-3-0 Beta
10 Thunder Bay Aggies 10-4-0 Alpha
11 Charlottetown Matadors 10-4-0 Alpha
12 London Crusaders 10-4-0 Beta
13 Taranto Tarantula 9-5-0 Alpha
14 Stirling Schiltron 7-7-0 Alpha
15 Chesapeake Sea Serpents 8-6-0 Beta
16 Lords of Chaos 7-7-0 Alpha
17 Bannockburn Warrior Scots 6-8-0 Alpha
18 Langenfeld Longhorns 7-7-0 Beta
19 Hartford Knights 6-8-0 Beta
20 Bonn Villains 6-8-0 Beta
21 Bretten Barbarian Bears 6-8-0 Beta
22 Madrid Red Bulls 4-10-0 Beta
23 Reykjavik Polar Bears 4-10-0 Alpha
24 Cologne Firestarters 4-10-0 Alpha
25 Dubuque River Raiders 4-10-0 Beta
26 Bonn Jovi 3-11-0 Beta
27 Bow Street Runners 2-12-0 Alpha
28 PaPa Dong's Dragon Farm 1-13-0 Beta
29 Barcelona Toros Grandes 1-13-0 Alpha
30 Stockholm Lions CPU 1-13-0 Alpha
31 Sao Paulo Blaze 0-14-0 Alpha
32 Dinwiddie Dustdevils CPU 0-14-0 Beta
Edited by neoliminal on Nov 9, 2009 08:48:33
 
neoliminal
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Alpha
1 Trondheim Wolves 14-0-0 Alpha
2 Belfast Brawlers 13-1-0 Alpha
4 Birmingham Beavers 12-2-0 Alpha
5 Ukraine Valkyries 12-2-0 Alpha
10 Thunder Bay Aggies 10-4-0 Alpha
11 Charlottetown Matadors 10-4-0 Alpha
13 Taranto Tarantula 9-5-0 Alpha
14 Stirling Schiltron 7-7-0 Alpha
16 Lords of Chaos 7-7-0 Alpha
17 Bannockburn Warrior Scots 6-8-0 Alpha
23 Reykjavik Polar Bears 4-10-0 Alpha
24 Cologne Firestarters 4-10-0 Alpha
27 Bow Street Runners 2-12-0 Alpha
29 Barcelona Toros Grandes 1-13-0 Alpha
30 Stockholm Lions CPU 1-13-0 Alpha
31 Sao Paulo Blaze 0-14-0 Alpha

Beta
3 Baden Bandits 12-2-0 Beta
6 Glasgow Kitties 12-2-0 Beta
7 Lisbon Eagles 11-3-0 Beta
8 Rome Arcani 11-3-0 Beta
9 Kilkenny Sidhe 11-3-0 Beta
12 London Crusaders 10-4-0 Beta
15 Chesapeake Sea Serpents 8-6-0 Beta
18 Langenfeld Longhorns 7-7-0 Beta
19 Hartford Knights 6-8-0 Beta
20 Bonn Villains 6-8-0 Beta
21 Bretten Barbarian Bears 6-8-0 Beta
22 Madrid Red Bulls 4-10-0 Beta
25 Dubuque River Raiders 4-10-0 Beta
26 Bonn Jovi 3-11-0 Beta
28 PaPa Dong's Dragon Farm 1-13-0 Beta
32 Dinwiddie Dustdevils CPU 0-14-0 Beta

Edited by neoliminal on Nov 9, 2009 10:07:42
Edited by neoliminal on Nov 9, 2009 08:50:10
Edited by neoliminal on Nov 9, 2009 08:43:29
 
neoliminal
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Clearly need to tweak this script. LOL Something that adds +3 to any team that starts with the letter G.
Edited by neoliminal on Nov 9, 2009 08:51:21
 
DasKlee
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I knew why I was nervous about the Eagles game.

Congratulations to Glasgow - I guess you just clinched 1st place and homefield advantage all the way through the conference playoffs.

Strange to see you guys ranked below us after beating us and having the same number of wins
 
TechGuy07
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How the hell are we below a team of equal record that we beat head-to-head?
 
neoliminal
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Originally posted by DasKlee

Congratulations to Glasgow - I guess you just clinched 1st place and homefield advantage all the way through the conference playoffs.


We still have one tough game next. I'm not going to even think about how complicated things get if we lose the next game.

Originally posted by TechGuy07
ow the hell are we below a team of equal record that we beat head-to-head?


Because my script isn't that complex. It's based purely on stats. Maybe next season I can write something in javascript that will actually figure out head to head AND make predictions for the next games. Not enough time in the day to do it now.
 
willinsky
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Rnk ... Off ... Def ... SoS ... Team
1 ........ 1 ........ 1 ........ 0.480 ........ Trondheim Wolves
2 ........ 7 ........ 3 ........ 0.531 ........ Ukraine Valkyries
3 ........ 2 ........ 2 ........ 0.444 ........ Belfast Brawlers
4 ........ 4 ........ 11 ........ 0.526 ........ Baden Bandits
5 ........ 9 ........ 8 ........ 0.495 ........ Glasgow Kitties
6 ........ 3 ........ 5 ........ 0.495 ........ Birmingham Beavers
7 ........ 8 ........ 10 ........ 0.546 ........ Rome Arcani
8 ........ 16 ........ 9 ........ 0.500 ........ Lisbon Eagles
9 ........ 10 ........ 4 ........ 0.500 ........ Charlottetown Matadors
10 ........ 13 ........ 12 ........ 0.398 ........ Kilkenny Sidhe
11 ........ 14 ........ 13 ........ 0.469 ........ London Crusaders
12 ........ 5 ........ 6 ........ 0.454 ........ Thunder Bay Aggies
13 ........ 18 ........ 15 ........ 0.531 ........ Chesapeake Sea Serpents
14 ........ 6 ........ 7 ........ 0.439 ........ Taranto Tarantula
15 ........ 20 ........ 14 ........ 0.536 ........ Langenfeld Longhorns
16 ........ 11 ........ 16 ........ 0.515 ........ Lords of Chaos
17 ........ 12 ........ 19 ........ 0.520 ........ Stirling Schiltron
18 ........ 24 ........ 21 ........ 0.510 ........ Bonn Villains
19 ........ 17 ........ 24 ........ 0.469 ........ Hartford Knights
20 ........ 25 ........ 22 ........ 0.464 ........ Bretten Barbarian Bears
21 ........ 15 ........ 17 ........ 0.439 ........ Bannockburn Warrior Scots
22 ........ 21 ........ 18 ........ 0.536 ........ Madrid Red Bulls
23 ........ 22 ........ 23 ........ 0.510 ........ Reykjavik Polar Bears
24 ........ 19 ........ 20 ........ 0.485 ........ Dubuque River Raiders
25 ........ 26 ........ 26 ........ 0.495 ........ Cologne Firestarters
26 ........ 23 ........ 25 ........ 0.495 ........ Bonn Jovi
27 ........ 30 ........ 28 ........ 0.541 ........ Bow Street Runners
28 ........ 28 ........ 29 ........ 0.551 ........ Barcelona Toros Grandes
29 ........ 27 ........ 27 ........ 0.515 ........ PaPa Dong's Dragon Farm
30 ........ 29 ........ 30 ........ 0.520 ........ Stockholm Lions
31 ........ 31 ........ 31 ........ 0.566 ........ Sao Paulo Blaze
32 ........ 32 ........ 32 ........ 0.526 ........ Dinwiddie Dustdevils
 
neoliminal
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Originally posted by
4 ........ 4 ........ 11 ........ 0.526 ........ Baden Bandits
5 ........ 9 ........ 8 ........ 0.495 ........ Glasgow Kitties


Same problem as my script.
 
rutgar
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The Greasemonkey script is purely predictive.

There are two basic types of computer ratings/rankings, the first is predictive, the second is "retro-dictive".

Predictive, easily enough, says who will win when team X plays team Y and ranking based on those results.
Retro-dictive would be ranking teams based on actual game results.

The Greasemonkey script uses game data and determines the relative offensive and defensive strength of each team. Using that information it simulates games and the output of the script is effectively the standings from those simulations. According to the script, if Glasgow and Baden were to play tomorrow, Baden would be expected to win.
 
neoliminal
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Neat.

Mine is "retro-dictive" and uses the stats from the stats page to rank teams based on their previous performance and has a tendency to make mistakes based on blow outs to CPU teams and such. I have dampeners on that now (/^2) to keep things closer. There are have a dozen or more inputs. It does a good job ranking around the third week and it also makes for good complaining about the rankings sucking... which is probably more important than being accurate.
 
Thorhammer
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Ok; I'll bite...Chesapeake would like to complain...we should be 32; that way we sneak up on teams
 
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And the MAdrid Red Bulls should be number one. I can personally verify that each one of our losses was either a fluke or part of our brilliant masterplan of getting into the playoffs unnoticed.
 
neoliminal
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Both are noted and I'll add some variables into the script for you.
 
JD_Stejskal
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Originally posted by willinsky
Rnk ... Off ... Def ... SoS ... Team
1 ........ 1 ........ 1 ........ 0.480 ........ Trondheim Wolves
2 ........ 7 ........ 3 ........ 0.531 ........ Ukraine Valkyries
3 ........ 2 ........ 2 ........ 0.444 ........ Belfast Brawlers


How can Valkyres number 2, when we rank above them in offence and defence and not the least we beat them ?

JD

Edited by JD_Stejskal on Nov 11, 2009 02:34:23
 
neoliminal
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See, it would take a little script to actually go through all this stuff to figure it out.
 
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