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Forum > North American Pro League > Canada Conference > Predictions & Projections for Week 9
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FLGator
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Eastern Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Manitoba Matadors……………………..16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,403 . . ...190
..2 . . Texas Death Dealers……………………14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . ...777 . . ...249
..3 . . Queen City Black Cats…………………..13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,031 . . ...255
..4 . . Yellowknife Rented Mules………………13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,038 . . ...263
..5 . . Cobden Muskrats………..………………12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...747 . . ...330
..6 . . Kingston Poopsters………..……………11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...640 . . ...317
..7 . . Magnificent B-Tards……………………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...785 . . ...328
..8 . . Saskatoon Spitfires……………………....7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...688 . . ...469
..9 . . The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie………...7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...642 . . ...450
..10 . . Village Dogs………..…………………....6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...541 . . ...409
..11 . . Newfoundland Owls……………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,336 . . ...409
..12 . . Medicine Hat Witch Doctors…………...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...576 . . ...574
..13 . . Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons…....3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...492 . . ...564
..14 . . Bayou Warfare………..…………………..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...416 . . ...596
..15 . . Providence Radicals………..…………..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...499 . . ...725
..16 . . Adriana Lima Beans…………………....0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 5,209

Newfoundland Owls vs Providence Radicals (55-20) Spread: 35
Manitoba Matadors vs Saskatoon Spitfires (49-17) Spread: 32
The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie vs Medicine Hat Witch Doctors (38-24) Spread: 14
Texas Death Dealers vs Bayou Warfare (51-8) Spread: 43
Kingston Poopsters vs Magnificent B-Tards (22-20) Spread: 2
Cobden Muskrats vs Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons (51-12) Spread: 39
Queen City Black Cats vs Adriana Lima Beans (473-0) Spread: 473
Yellowknife Rented Mules vs Village Dogs (35-12) Spread: 23

Week 8 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3206631&page=1#27741917
Week 7 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3200077&page=1#27673069
Week 6 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3191189&page=1#27592670
Week 5 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3186658&page=1#27547408
 
FLGator
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Western Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Thunder Bay Bloodhounds…………..16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,329 . . ...193
..2 . . Durham Ice Odyssey………………….15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 1,664 . . ...250
..3 . . Kansas City Rams…………………….14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 1,461 . . ...269
..4 . . Tradewest Battletoads………………..12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,506 . . ...384
..5 . . Manitoba Aftershocks…………………11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 1,585 . . ...258
..6 . . Thunder Bay Mules……………………10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...971 . . ...351
..7 . . Kansas City Gorillas…………………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 1,569 . . ...511
..8 . . Victoria Crush…………………………...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 1,294 . . ...466
..9 . . Oregon Octopi…………………………...6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,322 . . ...528
..10 . . To the first point………………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,209 . . ...889
..11 . . Labrador Retrievers…………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,035 . . ...712
..12 . . Grand Prarie Muskies………………...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...863 . . ...703
..13 . . St. John's Salty Dogs………………....5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...642 . . ...738
..14 . . Moose Jaw Dragoons………………..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...645 . . ...618
..15 . . Indy Horse!!…………………………...1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...242 . . 1,677
..16 . . Maracaibo Stingrays………………....0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 9,061

Durham Ice Odyssey vs Indy Horse!! (221-3) Spread: 218
Grand Prarie Muskies vs Maracaibo Stingrays (501-0) Spread: 501
Thunder Bay Mules vs Moose Jaw Dragoons (27-12) Spread: 15
Victoria Crush vs Labrador Retrievers (41-25) Spread: 16
Manitoba Aftershocks vs St. John's Salty Dogs (51-9) Spread: 42
Kansas City Rams vs Oregon Octopi (59-29) Spread: 30
Thunder Bay Bloodhounds vs Kansas City Gorillas (51-21) Spread: 30
Tradewest Battletoads vs To the first point… (109-30) Spread: 79

Week 8 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3206631&page=1#27741929
Week 7 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3200077&page=1#27673078
Week 6 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3191189&page=1#27592676
Week 5 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3186658&page=1#27547419
 
FLGator
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As expected, the projector was pretty accurate again this week. It called the outcome for all eight of the Eastern Conference games correctly...but the spreads were still off by quite a bit (just ask Queen City). In the Western Conference, the outcome was predicted correctly in seven out of eight contests...though, again, the spreads weren't quite on point.

Eastern Conference_________________________________________________________________________________________________

Magnificent B-Tards vs Medicine Hat Witch Doctors (30-21) Spread: 9 Actual Score, 40-10, B-Tards
Manitoba Matadors vs Kingston Poopsters (32-16) Spread: 16 Actual Score, 37-13, Matadors
Texas Death Dealers vs The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie (33-22) Spread: 11 Actual Score, 48-0, Death Dealers
Saskatoon Spitfires vs Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons (49-15) Spread: 34 Actual Score, 37-30, Spitfires
Cobden Muskrats vs Newfoundland Owls (34-29) Spread: 5 Actual Score, 24-13, Muskrats
Providence Radicals vs Adriana Lima Beans (136-0) Spread: 136 Actual Score, 257-0, Radicals
Queen City Black Cats vs Village Dogs (44-12) Spread: 32 Actual Score, 16-12, Black Cats
Yellowknife Rented Mules vs Bayou Warfare (48-8) Spread: 40 Actual Score, 71-17, Rented Mules


Western Conference_________________________________________________________________________________________________

Oregon Octopi vs Indy Horse!! (118-7) Spread: 111 Actual Score, 203-0, Octopi
Durham Ice Odyssey vs Maracaibo Stingrays (1281-0) Spread: 1281 Actual Score, 601-0, Ice Odyssey
Thunder Bay Mules vs Labrador Retrievers (29-23) Spread: 6 Actual Score, 45-16, Mules
Victoria Crush vs St. John's Salty Dogs (51-13) Spread: 38 Actual Score, 30-17, Salty Dogs
Manitoba Aftershocks vs Grand Prarie Muskies (47-15) Spread: 32 Actual Score, 44-6, Aftershocks
Kansas City Rams vs Kansas City Gorillas (64-38) Spread: 26 Actual Score, 53-20, Rams
Thunder Bay Bloodhounds vs Tradewest Battletoads (30-22) Spread: 8 Actual Score, 51-7, Bloodhounds
To the first point... vs Moose Jaw Dragoons (72-29) Spread: 43 Actual Score, 35-24, To the first point...
 
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Most stickying this cause my team name is right.
 
TrevJo
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That's funny, our expected PF decreased by almost 500, but our expected wins increased by 2!
 
TCR
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Originally posted by whotookmybowtie
Most stickying this cause my team name is right.


Damn you read it?
 
CONN CHRIS
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Originally posted by TrevJo
That's funny, our expected PF decreased by almost 500, but our expected wins increased by 2!


Fickle AP pollsters
 
FLGator
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Originally posted by TrevJo
That's funny, our expected PF decreased by almost 500, but our expected wins increased by 2!


Sit tight, this is going to be a lot of math for some to handle...

Addressing the first point (pun intended)...in the Week 8 posting you were expected to amass 2,141 points on the season in large part due to this:

Originally posted by FLGator

Durham Ice Odyssey vs Maracaibo Stingrays (1281-0) Spread: 1281


However, your actual score came in at (just) 601-0...some 680 points below the expected tally. According to the latest posting your new anticipated point total for the season is 1,664. That's a drop of 477 points from last week's post (2,141 - 1,664 = 477).

Why did your expected wins increase? Simple. In the Week 8 post it calculated you would score 472 points over your final eight games. In today's revision...it anticipates you'll score 675 points over the final eight games...an increase of 203 points. The close losses it predicted against the Kansas City Rams and Tradewest Battletoads are now both anticipated victories. Your lone loss is expected by a single point (24-25) against the Thunder Bay Bloodhounds in Week 11. Circle your calendar...Western Conference game of the year.
 
TrevJo
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Originally posted by FLGator
In the Week 8 post it calculated you would score 472 points over your final eight games. In today's revision...it anticipates you'll score 675 points over the final eight games...an increase of 203 points.


This is the part that I think is wacky. Where is this projected scoring increase coming from?

A further part that's funny... our projected PA for the season went up in today's revision too.
 
FLGator
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Originally posted by TrevJo

Originally posted by FLGator

In the Week 8 post it calculated you would score 472 points over your final eight games. In today's revision...it anticipates you'll score 675 points over the final eight games...an increase of 203 points.


This is the part that I think is wacky. Where is this projected scoring increase coming from?

A further part that's funny... our projected PA for the season went up in today's revision too.


Part of your expected increase is due to your next opponent. Indy Horse!! threw in the towel and each subsequent week, more points are being scored against them. Tradewest has surrendered 56 & 51 points in successive weeks...that factors into the equation.

As far as points against, the same applies. You're expected to surrender three to Indy in your next game. If you shut them down, the points your expected to give up the rest of the way will also drop. Yet, if they manage a touchdown...you'll be expected to give up even more.

 
CONN CHRIS
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Picking the right winner is tough enough and it has that down well at least.
 
Joe Buck
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Somehow we gotta get FLGator's system working in Vegas. It's like what 75-5 predicting 80 games?
 
HydrOshocK
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Man I would kill for a 14-2 record at the end of the season. If we even get close to that we'll have far exceeded expectations.
 
TrevJo
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Originally posted by HydrOshocK
Man I would kill for a 14-2 record at the end of the season. If we even get close to that we'll have far exceeded expectations.


Who would you kill? Are you taking requests?
 
HydrOshocK
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Originally posted by TrevJo
Who would you kill? Are you taking requests?


Duke Nuke'em

 
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