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Forum > Europe West AA League > Europe West AA #1 > Playoff Observations: Round 1
mcgovern10
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Just wanted to show a comparison of regular season scores vs. playoff scores for all the teams who made it to the post-season.

Heidelberg Hitmen vs. Cardinal Redbirds
Regular Season: 19-13
Playoffs: 45-13

Kobenhavn Huhnerfalken vs. Berlin Wall Crushers
Regular Season: 53-16
Playoffs: 34-12

Windsor Nobles vs. West Country Wyverns
Regular Season: 48-27
Playoffs: 83-9

Parma Panthers vs. East Cairo Argonauts
Regular Season: 44-30
Playoffs: 64-28

As you can see, in every single playoff matchup the winning team from the regular season won the post-season game and scored more points in doing so. All losing teams scored roughly the same amount of points in the playoffs as they did in the regular season.

Winning Teams' Post-Season Average Points For: 61.25
Winning Teams' Regular Season Average Points For: 36.25

Losing Teams' Post-Season Average Points For: 20.5
Losing Teams' Regular Season Average Points For: 20.5

Summary

From a statistical point-of-view the Top 4 (Home Field Advantage) teams increased their offensive output by 168% in the playoffs, while the visiting teams exactly equaled (sp?) their regular season production.

Question

Do you feel that confidence, home field advantage, or both factor into the obvious post-season differential?

ROUND 2 PREDICTIONS

Hitmen (Home) vs. Huhnerfalken (Away)

No question about this one--Heidelberg wins easily at home, probably by 17+.

Nobles (Home) vs. Panthers (Away)

On paper this looks like an even matchup, but the Nobles by far the biggest momentum swing in their favor of any of the home teams in round one. They almost doubled their offensive production compared to their regular season matchup with the Wyverns while drastically improving their defensive performance. It is my opinion that this score swing isn't all the result of home field advantage, however, as I know for a fact the Nobles do their homework when scouting their opponents and the Wyverns...well, yeah. Parma has a tough team, but on the road in the playoffs I don't think they're strong enough to pull this off. Nobles by 10 in a game that will probably come down to the wire and be decided in the last 8:00 of play.
Edited by mcgovern10 on Jul 22, 2009 19:15:44
Edited by mcgovern10 on Jul 22, 2009 19:10:41
 
beaverrick
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Originally posted by mcgovern10
J
ROUND 2 PREDICTIONS

Hitmen (Home) vs. Huhnerfalken (Away)

No question about this one--Heidelberg wins easily at home, probably by 17+.



Call me crazy but I think it will be closer than that either way it goes.
 
EagleOtto
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I think the underdogs are throwing everything they can throw at the big dogs in these playoff games, including a lot of going for it on 4th downs, and playing aggressive, this backfires vs a good team many times....causing even worse scores then the regular season games
 
drakeborn
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Nice write-up, mcgovern.
 
mcgovern10
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Originally posted by EagleOtto
I think the underdogs are throwing everything they can throw at the big dogs in these playoff games, including a lot of going for it on 4th downs, and playing aggressive, this backfires vs a good team many times....causing even worse scores then the regular season games


I can't vouch for the other 3 road team underdogs, but we didn't do that vs. Parma. I'd have to go look at the play-by-play for those other games and see what gives.

The only thing I know that was a little off with our game was that because we got so far behind so early in the game we started throwing the ball like mad. Advanced and Basic Offensive AI inputs actually had us running about 55% of the time and the AI went ahead and did whatever it wanted anyways.
Edited by mcgovern10 on Jul 23, 2009 10:54:10
 
Whipsnard
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Originally posted by beaverrick
Originally posted by mcgovern10

J
ROUND 2 PREDICTIONS

Hitmen (Home) vs. Huhnerfalken (Away)

No question about this one--Heidelberg wins easily at home, probably by 17+.



Call me crazy but I think it will be closer than that either way it goes.


Ward! Something is wrong with the Beav!
 
tunski
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Originally posted by Whipsnard
Originally posted by beaverrick

Originally posted by mcgovern10


J
ROUND 2 PREDICTIONS

Hitmen (Home) vs. Huhnerfalken (Away)

No question about this one--Heidelberg wins easily at home, probably by 17+.



Call me crazy but I think it will be closer than that either way it goes.


Ward! Something is wrong with the Beav!


Maybe, The Beav needs a good spanking Whips !
 
beaverrick
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Originally posted by tunski
Originally posted by Whipsnard

Originally posted by beaverrick


Originally posted by mcgovern10



J
ROUND 2 PREDICTIONS

Hitmen (Home) vs. Huhnerfalken (Away)

No question about this one--Heidelberg wins easily at home, probably by 17+.



Call me crazy but I think it will be closer than that either way it goes.


Ward! Something is wrong with the Beav!


Maybe, The Beav needs a good spanking Whips !


This Beaver has got some teeth and a foul odor.
 
faedie
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sup
 
Flame
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Originally posted by faedie
sup


ohai
 
mcgovern10
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Hitmen win by 15. Great performance by Kobenhavn, though...
 


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