Warrior General Games

Calculated Elo Ratings for the Zeta conference after wk14 games...

Brisbane Gods 119.5
Tongan Crimson Auha 86.1
Rawle Tech Titans 81.4
Vincennes Vampires 75.0
The U Canes 72.4
Nauru Tiger Sharks 54.2
Las Vegas Outlaws 47.2
IC Incinerators 24.6
FFLivewire Cans 6.9
Bermuda Pirates -24.8
Big Island Growas -40.3
Saipan Fighters -61.3
Outback Astronauts -78.2
Kiribati Blitz -111.2
Great Barrier Reef Sharks -115.5
Leverkusen Tornados -136.1

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Predicted Win Probabilities for upcoming wk15 games based on Elo data...

IC Incinerators 0.691
Las Vegas Outlaws 0.673
Rawle Tech Titans 0.668
Vincennes Vampires 0.597
Brisbane Gods 0.593
Bermuda Pirates 0.552
Kiribati Blitz 0.536
Tongan Crimson Auha 0.520
The U Canes 0.480
Leverkusen Tornados 0.464
Saipan Fighters 0.448
Nauru Tiger Sharks 0.407
FFLivewire Cans 0.403
Big Island Growas 0.332
Outback Astronauts 0.327
Great Barrier Reef Sharks 0.309

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Upcoming Game of the Week (top combined Elo ratings)
Brisbane Gods (13-1-0) at Nauru Tiger Sharks (10-4-0)

Upcoming Game of the Week (closest Elo rating difference)
The U Canes (11-3-0) at Tongan Crimson Auha (12-2-0)

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caveats: This data is based on a limited data set of 14 points(games). Data sets above 30 points are recommended for reliable trend/regression analysis. Additionally, since no cross-conference/cross-league games have been played, the only way to compare different conferences/leagues at present would be to largely assume that all conferences/leagues have similar overall team strength.

notes: Elo "K value"=24, starting Elo rating of zero for all teams starting at season's start. "Actual results" - Win=1, Tie=0.5, Loss=0

Additionally, factors such as home field advantage, score margin, and team chemistry changes are ignored.

thanks for doing this for us zeta teams!

Originally posted by civarian
thanks for doing this for us zeta teams!
Seconded!! Much appreciated!!

Good rankings, thanks for the effort.

sweet thanks. cant wait to see week 16, you can do those right?

So how many beers do I owe you

While I agree with most of the list, the Bermuda Pirates have been gutted and are probably more realistically between the Reef Sharks and Tornados in the Zeta conference rankings. They were a playoff contender before the gutting.

Originally posted by MC_Hammer
While I agree with most of the list, the Bermuda Pirates have been gutted and are probably more realistically between the Reef Sharks and Tornados in the Zeta conference rankings. They were a playoff contender before the gutting.

Holy crap. The owner of the Pirates has TONS of players, thats crazy.

Yeah, and he has the chance to bring some of them to the Pirates on S3 D1 if he gets enough money from any stadium expansion.
I have been keeping an eye on that as the Pirates won enough games not to be relegated and then got gutted.