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Forum > Canadian A Leagues > Canadian A #5 > Preseason Predictions: West
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razor9
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I thought I would chime in with my own scientific method here for a west preview. Sorry east, but this was a hassle just to get this far, so I'm only doing the conference that I am in.

There is a number next to each team, which is a composite that I came with based on various criteria. That is what decided the order of each team. I'll do this maybe at the midway point and then again near the playoffs, just to update it. I'm sure this will change as some teams add more players, boost, disband, or just plain blow it.

1. Edmonton Thunderchiefs...202.2
2. Grove City Bucks...189.3
3. Manitoba Lions...187.5
4. Fort McMurray Mounted Police...181.4
5. Canada Dragons...180.7
6. Montreal Pub Crawlers...177.8
7. Tadoussac Whalers...176.1
8. British Columbia Biscuits...173.9
9. Arroz Con Pollo...169.8
10. Victoria Fish...167.9
11. Victoria Falcons...164.0
12. Buffalo Bison...158.3
13. Moose Jaw Rough Riders...147.3
14. Rancho Panasquerito Thunderbolts...141.8
15. Saskatoon Lizards...102.8
16. Alberta Irukandji...Not Rated (because they suck)

Okay, so I have to apologize to Moose Jaw and Rancho because I think my formula was slightly flawed in the chemistry department. The next one will fix it, and I think those two have the most to gain from that, so we'll see the mid season review.

Also, I think Arroz is underrated for the same reason, though their team is pretty solid so it didn't hurt as much. Senor Chicken has the best O line in the league, so that's got to count for something.

Anyway, fire away. I already fired at Baldy for his rankings, which are obviously quite different than mine, so I'm ready to accept criticism. Again, this is pure math and has nothing to do with game planning.
 
jloescher3
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http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=371213
 
SenorChicken
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Thanks for stepping up Razor, I'm thinking we will have a rough start and a strong finish. Hopefully better than last season however

-Senor
 
razor9
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Originally posted by jloescher3
http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=371213


That really doesn't matter here. I'll give you an A for game planning and call it a day.
 
SenorChicken
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Originally posted by razor9
Originally posted by jloescher3

http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=371213


That really doesn't matter here. I'll give you an A for game planning and call it a day.


So true. A is typically an entirely different monster, but the whalers and the bucks both seem to have what it takes to be here.

-Senor
 
insaneclown
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you forgot to give the Whalers the 5000 points they get for having Jack on their squad.
 
jloescher3
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well..... i was just giving you some criticism...... you dont have it posted how you do your rankings for us to critique your formula, and no one can approximate how the BBB teams will do against the A teams, so any preseason ranking based on numbers kinda bogus.

i just posted that b/c it was in the playoffs (so no token boosts and everyone is boosted at that point - not accusing bucks of either just saying that it was possible during wk 15). and the only team that we can really be compared to at this point are the Bucks. And the fact that you have them 13.2 pts (w/e that means) ahead of us is kinda bunk.

Just a criticism.

i know that any true power ranking takes about 5-6 weeks into the season to become fairly accurate.
 
SenorChicken
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Originally posted by jloescher3
well..... i was just giving you some criticism...... you dont have it posted how you do your rankings for us to critique your formula, and no one can approximate how the BBB teams will do against the A teams, so any preseason ranking based on numbers kinda bogus.

i just posted that b/c it was in the playoffs (so no token boosts and everyone is boosted at that point - not accusing bucks of either just saying that it was possible during wk 15). and the only team that we can really be compared to at this point are the Bucks. And the fact that you have them 13.2 pts (w/e that means) ahead of us is kinda bunk.

Just a criticism.

i know that any true power ranking takes about 5-6 weeks into the season to become fairly accurate.


No worries, most of us don't take criticism personal.



 
robsalvador
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im sure, i enjoy finding people to criticize me.

Thanks for the effort razor.

Hopefully Bender will hook us up during the season.
 
razor9
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Originally posted by jloescher3
well..... i was just giving you some criticism...... you dont have it posted how you do your rankings for us to critique your formula, and no one can approximate how the BBB teams will do against the A teams, so any preseason ranking based on numbers kinda bogus.

i just posted that b/c it was in the playoffs (so no token boosts and everyone is boosted at that point - not accusing bucks of either just saying that it was possible during wk 15). and the only team that we can really be compared to at this point are the Bucks. And the fact that you have them 13.2 pts (w/e that means) ahead of us is kinda bunk.

Just a criticism.

i know that any true power ranking takes about 5-6 weeks into the season to become fairly accurate.


Nope, that's perfectly fine. I'm asking for it by telling people where they might finish.

I do have a formula, but it is based off my home made scouting calculator that I am very protective of and would rather not reveal to my competition. It has proven pretty accurate. I started out with it on one team as a scout GM and just from that gig, I've now help 8 other teams as a scout based off of that formula. We'll see if it works in pre season rankings and like I said, I used an older chemistry variable than my most current sheet that may have thrown this off.

So I'll go +/- 3 spots on everyone.
 
FiniteSD
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#14???? I think your calculator thingy might be broken.......Hopefully you can find a certified repairman and get it fixed before your mid-season rankings. Thanks for the effort though, these are always fun to look at.

Jeff
 
jloescher3
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Originally posted by razor9
Originally posted by jloescher3

well..... i was just giving you some criticism...... you dont have it posted how you do your rankings for us to critique your formula, and no one can approximate how the BBB teams will do against the A teams, so any preseason ranking based on numbers kinda bogus.

i just posted that b/c it was in the playoffs (so no token boosts and everyone is boosted at that point - not accusing bucks of either just saying that it was possible during wk 15). and the only team that we can really be compared to at this point are the Bucks. And the fact that you have them 13.2 pts (w/e that means) ahead of us is kinda bunk.

Just a criticism.

i know that any true power ranking takes about 5-6 weeks into the season to become fairly accurate.


Nope, that's perfectly fine. I'm asking for it by telling people where they might finish.

I do have a formula, but it is based off my home made scouting calculator that I am very protective of and would rather not reveal to my competition. It has proven pretty accurate. I started out with it on one team as a scout GM and just from that gig, I've now help 8 other teams as a scout based off of that formula. We'll see if it works in pre season rankings and like I said, I used an older chemistry variable than my most current sheet that may have thrown this off.

So I'll go +/- 3 spots on everyone.


i am fine w/ you not posting your formula (i would be interested for another league if you want to pm me about the gist of it), i was just trying to imply that its hard to criticize your sheet w/o some of the old teams playing the new ones first....... but to compare old v old, and new v new (from the same league) seems to be the only true way to compare teams at this point.......

because as you said, no one knows how well a team GPs.
 
jloescher3
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we're coming from the same place, just taking different angles.
 
robsalvador
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thats what she said...ftw
 
razor9
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Originally posted by FiniteSD
#14???? I think your calculator thingy might be broken.......Hopefully you can find a certified repairman and get it fixed before your mid-season rankings. Thanks for the effort though, these are always fun to look at.

Jeff


That's what I said when my team was #14 in the other poll.

This is purely scientific, so take it for what it is worth. But I also said that you guys will probably bounce up from that because the chemistry value is a little screwy.
 
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