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Doc_Nilla
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Cape Verde, Lake Opeta, and Sierra Leone all make big moves up while Windhoek drops six places back to where they were two weeks ago. DD drops out of the top five while Sierra Leone moves into the top 10.

--- Power Rankings ---

Rank ... Strength of Record ... Quality of Play ... Team (+/- from last week)
1 ............... 33 ........................... -7.52468713 .................... Angola Dream (0)
2 ............... 26 ........................... -16.60347142 .................... The Last Gunfighters of Texas (0)
3 ............... 20 ........................... -61.8074837 .................... Cape Verde Kings (+4)
4 ............... 20 ........................... -305.6921402 .................... Lake Opeta Legionnaires (+5)
5 ............... 19 ........................... 34.95947178 .................... Somalia Pirates (-1)
6 ............... 19 ........................... -3.597963151 .................... Doinitin Djibouti (-3)
7 ............... 17 ........................... 53.70903606 .................... Angola Spider Monkeez (-2)
8 ............... 17 ........................... 16.28073926 .................... UN Peacekeepers (-2)
9 ............... 14 ........................... -31.80967845 .................... Rwanda Royal Knights (+1)
10 ............... 12 ........................... 26.49183825 .................... Sierra Leone Stallions (+4)
11 ............... 12 ........................... -8.680562171 .................... Dar es Salaam Warrior Kings (+1)
12 ............... 9 ........................... -6.481260955 .................... Botswana Bugeaters (-1)
13 ............... 8 ........................... -182.8087137 .................... Ghana Buffalos (+3)
14 ............... 6 ........................... -26.33619483 .................... Windhoek White Rhinos (-6)
15 ............... 5 ........................... -12.35893527 .................... Cairo Emperors (0)
16 ............... 4 ........................... 12.19206534 .................... Zambia Lions (-3)
17 ............... 1 ........................... -13.86166189 .................... South African Ridgebacks (+2)
18 ............... -2 ........................... 19.15486333 .................... Congo Cripplers (+2)
19 ............... -4 ........................... 88.75274836 .................... Angola Blood Diamonds (-2)
20 ............... -5 ........................... 50.71661123 .................... Tuscaloosa Bulls (+3)
21 ............... -5 ........................... 28.18888711 .................... Kalahari Night Riders (-3)
22 ............... -9 ........................... 42.92419764 .................... Cleveland Bombers (+2)
23 ............... -11 ........................... -23.47813932 .................... Wolfenstein Werewolves (-1)
24 ............... -12 ........................... 41.25184237 .................... Babylon Bombshells (-3)
25 ............... -13 ........................... 67.00365573 .................... Nigeria Nightmares (0)
26 ............... -22 ........................... 77.04589885 .................... Ghana Rhea Infection (+1)
27 ............... -22 ........................... 73.63296378 .................... Durban Donkeys (-1)
28 ............... -24 ........................... -66.27605491 .................... Cameroon Outlaws (+2)
29 ............... -26 ........................... 46.34047366 .................... Gold Coast Corsairs (0)
30 ............... -28 ........................... 48.52448001 .................... Djibouti Jackals CPU (-2)
31 ............... -29 ........................... -10.56528196 .................... Buckeye Nation (0)
32 ............... -30 ........................... 50.71245628 .................... Charlie Don't Surf CPU (0)

--- Projected Standings ---

Lion Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Angola Dream........................................ 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,488 . . ...293
..2 . . Cape Verde Kings................................. 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,418 . . ...367
..3 . . Rwanda Royal Knights......................... 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,161 . . ...342
..4 . . Dar es Salaam Warrior Kings............. 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,159 . . ...447
..5 . . Zambia Lions......................................... 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...973 . . ...427
..6 . . Botswana Bugeaters............................ 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 1,162 . . ...558
..7 . . Angola Spider Monkeez....................... ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...806 . . ...433
..8 . . Windhoek White Rhinos....................... ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...876 . . ...502
..9 . . Kalahari Night Riders........................... ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 1,152 . . ...817
..10 . . South African Ridgebacks.................. ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 1,177 . . ...957
..11 . . Tuscaloosa Bulls................................. ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...824 . . ...559
..12 . . Nigeria Nightmares............................. ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...857 . . ...630
..13 . . Wolfenstein Werewolves.................... ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . ...792 . . ...642
..14 . . Cameroon Outlaws............................. ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...424 . . 1,906
..15 . . Charlie Don't Surf CPU....................... ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...149 . . 2,743
..16 . . Djibouti Jackals CPU.......................... ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .....53 . . 3,023

The top three teams remain the same. Botswana gains a couple of wins but otherwise there are very few changes.

Elephant Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . The Last Gunfighters of Texas............. 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,535 . . ...276
..2 . . Lake Opeta Legionnaires..................... 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 1,615 . . ...370
..3 . . Doinitin Djibouti....................................... 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,337 . . ...428
..4 . . Somalia Pirates...................................... 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,022 . . ...305
..5 . . Ghana Buffalos....................................... 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,379 . . ...428
..6 . . Sierra Leone Stallions........................... 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...841 . . ...388
..7 . . UN Peacekeepers.................................. 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...994 . . ...642
..8 . . Cairo Emperors...................................... 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 1,113 . . ...602
..9 . . Babylon Bombshells............................. ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...827 . . ...564
..10 . . Congo Cripplers..................................... ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...813 . . ...630
..11 . . Angola Blood Diamonds....................... ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...840 . . ...735
..12 . . Cleveland Bombers............................... ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...628 . . ...646
..13 . . Gold Coast Corsairs.............................. ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...557 . . ...831
..14 . . Buckeye Nation....................................... ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...666 . . ...884
..15 . . Ghana Rhea Infection............................ ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...240 . . 3,088
..16 . . Durban Donkeys..................................... ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 3,410

The top five teams remain the same. Sierra Leone gains a win while DD loses one after today's game, but like the Lion conference, the standings are mostly stable at this point.
 
dlee1019
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NICE! Spreadsheet or not, I love these!!
 
MattyP
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Originally posted by dlee1019
NICE! Spreadsheet or not, I love these!!


 
billbates
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Jedi mind trick..."Don't worry about the Knights, no reason to game plan for them."
Last edited Jan 15, 2009 19:12:05
 
Wyndex
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Rwanda and Zambia woo yeah!!
 
Lensar
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Thanks for posting these, Doc.
 
rathernot
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I find it interesting that the Ridgebacks are rated 5 and 6 spots below the Bugeaters and the Warrior Kings following victories over each. Hard to have much faith in a system that gets it that wrong.
 
Doc_Nilla
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Originally posted by rathernot
Hard to have much faith in a system that gets it that wrong.


There's nothing to have faith in. It's as simple as this:

Originally posted by Garrettfoster

Strength of Record

Equation

Strength of Record = (Total number of wins of opponents you have defeated) - (Total number of losses of opponents that have beaten you)

Definition

This is measure of how good a team is. It rewards beating good teams and punishes for losing to bad teams.

Quality of Play

Equation

Quality of Play = (Actual total point differential) - (Predicted total point differential)

Definition

It is essentially how many points (total) that team has beaten (or not beaten) the spread by. I feel it is a good indicator of whether a team is playing better or worse than expected.


The only questionable part of the formula is that it includes the preseason scrimmages in the calculations. The Bugeaters beat UN in the preseason while the Ridgebacks lost to ABD and that affects the results quite a bit right now. The Bugeaters have lost more games but to teams with a combined 4 losses, while the Ridgebacks have lost to teams with a combined 11 losses.

Give it a couple more weeks and the preseason will hold less weight.
 
g-bay-be
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SO if I am readin this right.... KNR has played teams with 5 more losses than wins which gives us the "-5" in sterength of record.... I don't think I get the quality of play one though because I haven't seen what the predicted spread would have been
 
Doc_Nilla
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KNR has beaten teams with a combined 14 wins while losing to teams with a combined 19 losses for the -5 strength of record. The preseason is included in those totals.

The 28.18888711 quality of play loses some meaning without seeing the predictions but it still indicates that your margin of victory has been larger than the spreadsheet predicted and/or your margin of defeat has been smaller. The larger this number is, the better.
 


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