Warrior General Games

Sorry this one's late, busy few days.

Projections
Originally posted by

Alpha Conference
Reykjavik Vikings vs Roman Revolution (66-9) Spread: 57
Denmark Dragons vs Barcelona Cheetahs (15-61) Spread: 46
Jellystone Park Bruins vs Maranello Enzos (20-61) Spread: 41
Maranello Enzos vs Jellystone Park Bruins (61-20) Spread: 41
Roman Revolution vs Reykjavik Vikings (9-66) Spread: 57
Soft Fluffy Pancake Bunnies vs Western Europe Wildcats (67-11) Spread: 56
Minot Defenders vs Cork Rebels (25-46) Spread: 21
Sinsheim MC Airs vs Dublin Irishmen (25-31) Spread: 6
Dresden Warlords vs Sicilian Mob (13-30) Spread: 17
]Dublin Irishmenvs Sinsheim MC Airs (31-25) Spread: 6
Cork Rebels vs Minot Defenders (46-25) Spread: 21
Chocolate City P-Funk All-Stars vs Birmingham Beavers (19-54) Spread: 35
Birmingham Beavers vs Chocolate City P-Funk All-Stars (54-19) Spread: 35
Sicilian Mob vs Dresden Warlords (30-13) Spread: 17
Western Europe Wildcats vs Soft Fluffy Pancake Bunnies (11-67) Spread: 56
Barcelona Cheetahs vs Denmark Dragons (61-15) Spread: 46

Originally posted by

Zeta Conference
Cannes Porn Producers vs Trojan Magnums (36-34) Spread: 2
Edinburgh Knights vs Middelburg Mighty Dutchmen (35-36) Spread: 1
Berlin Blitzkrieg vs Brasilia Rockets (37-16) Spread: 21
Brasilia Rockets vs Berlin Blitzkrieg (16-37) Spread: 21
Mannheim Jaguars vs Denmark Destruction (4-648) Spread: 644
EASTWICK SAVAGES vs Monte Carlo Maniacs (303-9) Spread: 294
Trojan Magnums vs Cannes Porn Producers (34-36) Spread: 2
Siena IL PALIO vs Zurich Scorpions (80-34) Spread: 46
Monte Carlo Maniacs vs EASTWICK SAVAGES (9-303) Spread: 294
London Pounds vs Bjelasnica Red Star (67-34) Spread: 33
Denmark Destruction vs Mannheim Jaguars (648-4) Spread: 644
Chernobyl Neutrons vs Portuguese Men-of-War (34-31) Spread: 3
Portuguese Men-of-War vs Chernobyl Neutrons (31-34) Spread: 3
Bjelasnica Red Star vs London Pounds (34-67) Spread: 33
Zurich Scorpions vs Siena IL PALIO (34-80) Spread: 46
Middelburg Mighty Dutchmen vs Edinburgh Knights (36-35) Spread: 1


Expected Finishing Records
Originally posted by Alpha

1 Soft Fluffy Pancake Bunnies 16 0
2 Sicilian Mob 15 1
3 Birmingham Beavers 14 2
4 Dresden Warlords 12 4
5 Reykjavik Vikings 11 5
6 Maranello Enzos 10 6
7 Cork Rebels 9 7
8 Barcelona Cheetahs 8 8
9 Dublin Irishmen 8 8
10 Chocolate City P-Funk All-Stars 6 10
11 Western Europe Wildcats 5 11
12 Sinsheim MC Airs 5 11
13 Minot Defenders 3 13
14 Jellystone Park Bruins 3 13
15 Roman Revolution 1 15
16 Denmark Dragons 0 16

Originally posted by Zeta

1 Chernobyl Neutrons 15 1
2 London Pounds 15 1
3 Portuguese Men-of-War 14 2
4 Middelburg Mighty Dutchmen 12 4
5 Siena IL PALIO 12 4
6 Edinburgh Knights 12 4
7 Denmark Destruction 10 6
8 EASTWICK SAVAGES 10 6
9 Bjelasnica Red Star 8 8
10 Zurich Scorpions 6 10
11 Cannes Porn Producers 5 11
12 Trojan Magnums 4 12
13 Berlin Blitzkrieg 4 12
14 Brasilia Rockets 2 14
15 Monte Carlo Maniacs 1 15
16 Mannheim Jaguars 0 16


The data is looking much better each game, and it's at least getting better on predicting the W/L of a game, the spread may still be off a bit but even that is getting closer.

man we will never cover yer spread

Originally posted by judnnc
man we will never cover yer spread

Lets hope so! I also cant see us only winning 3 games the rest of the way but other than that its all good

jaspegs.. you guys will make the playoffs Im sure.. Im very impressed at your game vs the Mob.. dont worry about anyones opinion.. you guys will be fine.

The bunnies had the 1st game at almost 200 points, and the avg of 55+ per game throw off your #'s.

I'd say it's more about 1/2 the spread that the grid shows.


As for Western E. Wildcats...
You guys played 3 tough teams early on, and didn't have any blow-out games, where some of us like my team have a 100+ game on our stats making us look like offensive powerhouses.

I really understand the issues of how the gutted/slow build teams kill the stats and tweak things around now that I've run this spreadsheet.

like seeing these good work.

I'll have to ask Iguazu how his rankings worked...I think there was some allowance for the blowouts that dulled their effect on the rankings.

Overall, these still look good (other than the fact that you have the Men-of-War losing!)

Thanks Rhys!

Some of the games had under a td spread, it looks pretty good to me.

jaspegs is banned from the forums FYI

Originally posted by judnnc
jaspegs is banned from the forums FYI

How did that happen?

PM him

ehhh I'm not that concerned

At least Siena covered the spread for my bet...er... So that the betters would get a lil money today

Siena -46 = mortal lock

GOOOOOOOOOOO Pounds!!!!!!!