Warrior General Games

Dinwiddie beat Copenhagen, increasing their chances dramatically, and the London Monarchs Shut out the Shadow Rattlers, making the race for #1 a two team race. Positioning became much clearer as we now have just three games to go

Methodology:
- Assume a win against any CPU run team
- Assume a win against any team behind you by more than 3 games (so a 7-4 team assumes a victory against a 3-8 team, but a 4-7 team still has a shot).

Tiebreakers, in case it matters:
2-Team: Head to Head winner
3 or more: Wins in games between the teams, then points scored, then points allowed

No additional teams clinched this round, so we still have three:

Helsinki
- 13-0 record
- 2 Assumed safe wins (London A, Koln)
- Questionable Games: Shadow (15)
- Projected final record: 15.5-0.5
- Worst Case: 15-1
- Best case: 16-0

Reykjavik
- 12-1 Record
- 3 Assumed safe wins (Montana, Dinwiddie, Henry)
- 0 Questionable games
- Projected Final Record 15-1
- Worst Case: 15-1
- Best Case: 15-1

(HEad to Head Tiebreaker advantage: Helsinki won in week 8)

Shadow
- 11-2 record
- 2 Assumed Safe Wins (Oslo, Buffalo)
- 1 Questionable Games: Helsniki (15)
- Projected Final Record: 13.5-2.5
- Best case: 14-2
- Worst Case: 13-3

One more teams joined the mathematically eliminated list:
London Apes: 5-8 and CPU control means no chance

Joining the five already out
Ukraine A (4-9)
Iberville (3-10)
Buffalo (0-13)
Montana (1-12)
Manchester (1-12)
brings us to 6 teams eliminated


1 teams is still mathematically alive, but need to run the board to make it, which looks unlikely

Henry Patriots - 8 losses and a game against Reykjavik to go leaves them on the ragged edge...but a sweep would get them to 8-8, which would leap them ahead of Copenhagen and get them the 8 spot, no matter what Copenhagen does the rest of the way.

That leaves 6 teams fighting for 5 spots, here they are, ordered by decreasing probability of making it:

London Marlins:
Record: 10-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Manchester)
Questionable Games: 2 Koln(14), Oslo (16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 12-4
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 11-6
Odds of making playoffs: 95% - One more win or a loss by any of South Yorkshire, Oslo, or Copenhagen clinches it

Koln Prowlers
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 3 London M (14), Oslo (15)
Assumed Losses: Helsinki (16)
Projected Final Record: 10-6
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 80% - One more win gets them pretty darned close

South Yorkshire Scorpions
Record: 7-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Manchester, Montana)
Questionable Games: 1 (Dinwiddie 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 9.5-6.5
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 75%

Dinwiddie Dustdevils
Record: 8-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Ukraine)
Questionable Games: 2 (South Y)
Assumed Losses: 1 (Reykjavik)
Projected Final Record: 9.5-6.5
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 75%

(The winner of the Dinwidde/South Yorkshire game in week 16 clinches, by virtue of owning the head-to-head tiebreaker over the loser. The loser could still get in, with help)

Oslo
Record: 8-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 2 (Koln 15, London M 16)
Assumed Losses: 1 (Shadow)
Projected Final Record: 9-7
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 8-8
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

(They're in, if they win both of their questionable games...but that's questionable)

Copenhagen Vikings
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Iberville, London A)
Questionable Games: 1 (Henry)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8.5-7.5
Best Case: 9-7
Worst Case: 8-8
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

(The loss to DInwiddie hurt, they need to win out to make it in, most likely.)

Games to watch:

Week 14:
London Marlins vs Koln Prowlers: Winner clinches a berth, and the driver's seat for the #4 seed and home field in round 1.

Henry Patriots vs Copenhagen Vikings: An elimination game for Henry, and all but one for Copenhagen.

Week 15:
Helsinki Coyotes vs Shadow Rattlers: A Helsinki win pretty much wraps up the #1 seed. A Rattlers win could keep them in the hunt.

Week 16:
London Marlins vs. Oslo Lions: London may have clinched by now, Oslo could be watching the scoreboard of...

Dinwiddie Dustdevils vs South Yorkshire Scorpions: The winner pretty much wraps up a spot, so long as they didn't choke before now.

thanks

South Yorkshire NT is gonna get it up the anus from me =)

Originally posted by iMan
South Yorkshire NT is gonna get it up the anus from me =)


Your a dumbass... And your player sucks so please shut up.... Thanks

Originally posted by OSshane
Originally posted by iMan

South Yorkshire NT is gonna get it up the anus from me =)


Your a dumbass... And your player sucks so please shut up.... Thanks

my Guard sucks? alright then
i didnt expect this to come from a former teammate (dallas terror if you dont remember)

btw, building an OT so he can get pancake is very stupid
you are asking to get butt raped by speed de

Thanks for this I hope rattlers lose to helsinki so we can get the number 3 seed assuming we win

Originally posted by iMan
btw, building an OT so he can get pancake is very stupid
you are asking to get butt raped by speed de

I never get but raped... and I was just effin with ya crazy Mo FO

Originally posted by OSshane
Originally posted by iMan

btw, building an OT so he can get pancake is very stupid
you are asking to get butt raped by speed de

I never get but raped... and I was just effin with ya crazy Mo FO

how do you know?
butt rapping is very subtle

Originally posted by iMan
Originally posted by OSshane

Originally posted by iMan


btw, building an OT so he can get pancake is very stupid
you are asking to get butt raped by speed de

I never get but raped... and I was just effin with ya crazy Mo FO

how do you know?
butt rapping is very subtle

What does butt rapping sound like....like mouth rapping with flatulence?

lol

Originally posted by iMan
South Yorkshire NT is gonna get it up the anus from me =)


Both my NT's said they're going to hit you so hard your next two kids will be born with concussions....

Originally posted by Shoe 44
Originally posted by iMan

South Yorkshire NT is gonna get it up the anus from me =)


Both my NT's said they're going to hit you so hard your next two kids will be born with concussions....


Ill let my open build do the talking

Originally posted by iMan
Originally posted by Shoe 44

Originally posted by iMan


South Yorkshire NT is gonna get it up the anus from me =)


Both my NT's said they're going to hit you so hard your next two kids will be born with concussions....


Ill let my open build do the talking


In your next game your player won't even be the best guard on the field:

http://goallineblitz.com/game/player.pl?player_id=827634