Warrior General Games

ZETA Playoff Projection time....same methodology as Alpha projections, although no CPU owned teams means much more chaos...

Only one team has mathematically clinched at this time:
Biloxi Voodoo
Record: 10-1
Assumed Safe Wins: 4 (Turin, Cleethorpes, Milan, Madrid)
Questionable Games: 1 (Westminster 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 14.5-1.5
Best Case: 15-1
Worst Case: 14-2
Odds of making playoffs: 100%

Likewise, only one team is mathematically eliminated:
Metalshop Axes - best possible record of 6-10 has no shot

However, 5 teams are on major life support:

Cleethorpes Dock Wallopers - 7 losses and a game against Biloxi to go...need to run the rest and hope 8-8 makes it...

Barcelona Badasses - 7 losses already and games against Chutaba and Taranto...need an upset, clean wins in the rest, and some help

Milan Shock - 7 losses already, games against Taranto and Biloxi...an upset, clean wins, and help needed.

Turin Dogs - 8 losses already, would need to upset Biloxi, win the rest clean, and get a lot of help

Essen Verivalta - No "Sure loss" games left, but 8 losses already...need to run the board, but doing so might just make it, but probably not.

So...there are 9 teams realistically in the hunt for 7 playoff births. In decreasing order of making it:

Taranto Tarantula:
Record: 8-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Milan, Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 3 (Madrid 13, Chutaba 14, Rotterdam 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11.5-4.5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 90%

The Chutaba Clan:
Record: 8-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam 12, Taranto 14, Rome 15, Berlin J 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11-5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 85%

Westminster Patriots:
Record: 8-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 4 (Rome 12, Berlin J 13, Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11-5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 85%

Rome Bucks:
Record: 7-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 5 (Westminster, Milan, Madrid, Chutaba, Rotterdam)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 9.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 7-9
Odds of making playoffs: 70%

Berlin Eagles:
Record: 6-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam, Essen, Barcelona, Turin)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 9-7
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 7-9
Odds of making playoffs: 60%

Berlin Jelly Donuts
Record: 6-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 5 (Cleethorpes, Westminster, Milan, Madrid, Chutaba)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8.5-7.5
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

Rotterdam Marauders
Record: 6-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 5 (Chutaba, Berlin E, Barcelona, Taranto, Rome)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8.5-7.5
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

Zamora Tizonas
Record: 6-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 5 (Essen, Turin, Cleethorpes, Westminster, Milan)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8.5-7.5
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

Madrid Bulls
Record: 5-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Barcelona, Taranto, Rome, BErlin J
Assumed Losses: 1 (Biloxi 16)
Projected Final Record: 7-9
Best Case: 9-7
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30%

With all that chaos, it's impossible to narrow the "games to watch" down to a manageable number as of yet. After the next round of games, I believe we'll see some clarity.

Thanks for putting this together Gorm.

Thanks for the post man!

Thanks!

Guess we get to play the spoiler.....