With a lot of typing, no proof-reading and work getting in the way... I'm apologizing now for any typos.
Week 1: 14-1 (7-1 Alpha, 7-0 Zeta [1 tie])
Week 2: 15-1 (7-1 Alpha, 8-0 Zeta)
Week 3: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 4: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 5: 13-3 (8-0 Alpha, 5-3 Zeta)
Week 6: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 7: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 8: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 9: 13-3 (6-2 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 10: 12-4 (6-2 Alpha, 6-2 Zeta)
Week 11: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 12: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 13: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 14: 13-3 (7-1 Alpha, 6-2 Zeta)
Week 15: 15-1 (7-1 Alpha, 8-0 Zeta)
Alpha vs Zeta week
------------------
84.51 (76.69) - Everett Wildcats over Green Bay Cheese Heads
-Everett's playoff hopes took at hit last week, with a tough loss to Odessa. River City's tie is holding them in the #8 spot and Athens holds a tie-breaker over the Wildcats. Even with this guaranteed win, the Wildcats need both River City and Athens to lose. It could happen, since Athens has an even matchup and River City has been erratic as of late.
-The Cheese Heads complete their quest for a no win season.
78.54 (70.85) - Texas City Storm over Macedonian Phalanx
-Texas City breaks their 8 game losing streak. Alpha got a lucky draw here to get an easy win.
-The Phalanx lose again. Could they get another FG? If not, River City will be the only team to give up points to them this season.
76.04 (71.97) - Warsaw Sabotage over Grodno Pirates
-Warsaw gets an easy Alpha draw that should stop their losing streak and keep them out of the bottom group of Zeta. With a few upgrades, they could be a playoff contender next season.
-Grodno is still asleep. Maybe they will wake up next season and assign all of those SP.
74.81 (71.18) - Whiskey River Wranglers over Bergen Storm
-The Wranglers should get to practice a few new plays in this one. A blowout win for Alpha.
-Bergen shouldn't give up 200 again this week, but 100 is almost a guarantee.
67.47 (61.60) - Boston Piggers over Moscow Red Army
-Boston should win pretty easily and hold on to the #7 Zeta seed.
-Moscow should lose and remain in the bottom tier of Alpha. Moscow is simply outleveled and will need to get major upgrades to compete next season.
64.44 (53.97) - Romania Roadhouse Rowdies over Justice League
-The Rowdies do what they need to do and get an easy win. If Krakow wins, then Romania takes the #2 Alpha seed into the playoffs. If Krakow loses, then the Rowdies will also need East Berlin to lose or they will drop to the #3 seed. According to my predictions, looks like Romania will indeed get the #3.
-Justice League's 2 wins keep them just above the zombies at the bottom of Zeta. This is another lower level team that will need a major overhaul to become a playoff contender next season.
56.79 (56.01) - Chernobyl Disaster over Belgrade Bears
-The Disaster doesn't draw a Zeta cupcake. Belgrade has gotten a couple of good wins in Zeta, but Chernobyl will get the win to complete the only Perfect Season in EEA#5.
-With losses to the other 2 teams in the 3-way 4,5,6 tie, Belgrade can't move up on their own. They will need to win and hope that the Impalers & Pipers both lose to get the #4 seed. Not a very good chance of that happening, so I'm saying Belgrade sticks at the #6 Zeta seed.
56.18 (57.46) - River City Ransom over Liverpool Poison
-River City redeemed themselves just in time to grab that #8 Zeta seed. They'll need to keep it together and get a win against a Liverpool team that has gotten a few wins lately. If River City slips up, then Athens may be able to take take the #8 spot.
-With an upset, Liverpool could create a tie for the #8 Alpha seed. Only problem is, any team they might tie with has the tie-breaker against them. The Poison could be a playoff contender next season with minimum upgrades.
55.96 (53.72) - Barcelona Chupacabras over Diaper Vipers
-Barcelona can seal the #3 Zeta seed with a win over the Vipers. It won't be easy, but they should get it done. If the Chups get a loss, a member of the 4-5-6 gang will be looking to take the #3 seed.
-With back-to-back losses to the Bulldogs and CHUDS, the Vipers are now on the outside looking in. Diaper should be back in contention next season.
54.47 (50.90) - Spanish Inquisition over Rotterdam Rampage
-The Inquisition has locked the #2 Zeta seed and will only be playing for Zeta bragging rights this week.
-Rotterdam got back on the winning track after some mid-season losses. A Week 14 loss to a weaker Liverpool team leads me to believe they still aren't ready to compete with the top teams. With a loss here and a Knights win, they will drop to the #6 Alpha seed.
53.57 (53.15) - Minsk Fire over Crete Minotaurs
-Even with the late season surge, Minsk wasn't able to make a big enough turn around to make the playoffs. With a few upgrades they should be a playoff contender next season.
-Crete is another team that seems to be out leveled. Unless there a big upgrades, Crete will still be a middle tier team next season.
The next 5 games should be very good matchups and will decide the Alpha/Zeta win ratio. Up to this point (in case you didn't notice) I have Zeta with a 1 game edge.
52.33 (49.73) - East Berlin Blitzkrieg over Odessa Pipers
Matchup Breakdown - East Berlin has been dominate all year with a high power offense and stingy defense. Odessa's offensive stats got a little padding with a couple of 180+ games against gutted opponents. This is a pretty close matchup, but I don't this Odess will be able to score enough to win it.
-With a win, East Berlin will at least stay at the #3 Alpha seed. If they can get some help from Brown Bay (and they should), they will move to the #2 Alpha seed for the playoffs.
-If Odessa can pull off the upset, then they will need the Impalers to lose to improve their playoff seed.
52.25 (52.54) - The Dark Knights over Targoviste Impalers
Matchup Breakdown - Both the Knights and Impalers keep all of their games close. This should be another tight game and will likely be decided in the 4th quarter. The winner may be the team that makes the least mistakes.
-With a likely loss for the Rampage, the Knights will be able to move into the #5 Alpha seed if they can squeeze out a win over Targiviste.
-The Impalers should be in positions to keep the #4 Zeta seed. Both Odessa and Belgrade have tough matchups this week. If one of them wins, the Impalers won't slip farther than #5 with tie-breakers over both teams. With a win and a unlikely Chups loss, Targoviste has an outside chance of moving to the #3 seed.
51.72 (50.45) - Brown Bay Packers over Krakow Krakodiles
Matchup Breakdown - Brown Bay has dominated everyone, but they proved to be mortal in their loss to the Impalers. Krakow soundly beats most of its opponents, but won't be able to score as easily against the Packers defense. This looks to be a good matchup, but Brown Bay should be able to get the win.
-No matter what happens, Brown Bay will take the #1 Zeta seed into the playoffs, with their possible tie-breaking win over the Inquistion.
-Krakow needs a win and a Rowdies or Blitzkrieg loss to move anywhere. I doubt happens, so the Kraks stay at #4.
51.49 (55.42) - Rammstein Rampage over Chernobyl CHUDS
Matchup Breakdown - Looking at records, this doesn't look like much of a game. But according to the numbers, Rammstein are better than their record indicates. Will they be able to put everything together and get a win over an Alpha playoff team? My formula says yes (I say no).
-Rammstein seems to be outleveled in this league, but the matchup screen says otherwise. Once their levels catchup, they could be a contender.
-The CHUDS shouldn't look past this matchup. If they can get a win and the Bulldogs get a lose, then they could move to the #7 Alpha seed.
50.55 (50.11) - Athens Gods over Nizhny Novgorod Bulldogs
Matchup Breakdown - This is about as even as it gets. Athens' defense has shown that it is vulnerable the past few weeks. Almost all of the Bulldog's wins happen when they score 49 or more points. They won't be getting to that number this week, but if they can figure out how to get some points from Athens, they may be able to win. If Athens can hold out for the win, they could give the edge to Zeta for the week.
-Athens is in a must win game. But a win alone won't work. They need River City to lose to get their playoff spot back. With River City, you never know. So don't count Athens out yet.
-The Bulldogs are in the playoffs, with tie breakers over the 3 teams below them. If they lose and the CHUDS win, they could easily slip to #8 though.
Predicted Conference winner: Zeta 9-7
Alpha Playoff Seed Prediction:
#1 - Disaster
#2 - Blitzkrieg
#3 - Rowdies
#4 - Krakodiles
#5 - Knights
#6 - Rampage
#7 - Bulldogs
#8 - CHUDS
Zeta Playoff Seed Prediction:
#1 - Packers
#2 - Inquisition
#3 - Chupacabras
#4 - Impalers
#5 - Pipers
#6 - Bears
#7 - Piggers
#8 - River City
Week 1: 14-1 (7-1 Alpha, 7-0 Zeta [1 tie])
Week 2: 15-1 (7-1 Alpha, 8-0 Zeta)
Week 3: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 4: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 5: 13-3 (8-0 Alpha, 5-3 Zeta)
Week 6: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 7: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 8: 14-2 (7-1 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 9: 13-3 (6-2 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 10: 12-4 (6-2 Alpha, 6-2 Zeta)
Week 11: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 12: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 13: 15-1 (8-0 Alpha, 7-1 Zeta)
Week 14: 13-3 (7-1 Alpha, 6-2 Zeta)
Week 15: 15-1 (7-1 Alpha, 8-0 Zeta)
Alpha vs Zeta week
------------------
84.51 (76.69) - Everett Wildcats over Green Bay Cheese Heads
-Everett's playoff hopes took at hit last week, with a tough loss to Odessa. River City's tie is holding them in the #8 spot and Athens holds a tie-breaker over the Wildcats. Even with this guaranteed win, the Wildcats need both River City and Athens to lose. It could happen, since Athens has an even matchup and River City has been erratic as of late.
-The Cheese Heads complete their quest for a no win season.
78.54 (70.85) - Texas City Storm over Macedonian Phalanx
-Texas City breaks their 8 game losing streak. Alpha got a lucky draw here to get an easy win.
-The Phalanx lose again. Could they get another FG? If not, River City will be the only team to give up points to them this season.
76.04 (71.97) - Warsaw Sabotage over Grodno Pirates
-Warsaw gets an easy Alpha draw that should stop their losing streak and keep them out of the bottom group of Zeta. With a few upgrades, they could be a playoff contender next season.
-Grodno is still asleep. Maybe they will wake up next season and assign all of those SP.
74.81 (71.18) - Whiskey River Wranglers over Bergen Storm
-The Wranglers should get to practice a few new plays in this one. A blowout win for Alpha.
-Bergen shouldn't give up 200 again this week, but 100 is almost a guarantee.
67.47 (61.60) - Boston Piggers over Moscow Red Army
-Boston should win pretty easily and hold on to the #7 Zeta seed.
-Moscow should lose and remain in the bottom tier of Alpha. Moscow is simply outleveled and will need to get major upgrades to compete next season.
64.44 (53.97) - Romania Roadhouse Rowdies over Justice League
-The Rowdies do what they need to do and get an easy win. If Krakow wins, then Romania takes the #2 Alpha seed into the playoffs. If Krakow loses, then the Rowdies will also need East Berlin to lose or they will drop to the #3 seed. According to my predictions, looks like Romania will indeed get the #3.
-Justice League's 2 wins keep them just above the zombies at the bottom of Zeta. This is another lower level team that will need a major overhaul to become a playoff contender next season.
56.79 (56.01) - Chernobyl Disaster over Belgrade Bears
-The Disaster doesn't draw a Zeta cupcake. Belgrade has gotten a couple of good wins in Zeta, but Chernobyl will get the win to complete the only Perfect Season in EEA#5.
-With losses to the other 2 teams in the 3-way 4,5,6 tie, Belgrade can't move up on their own. They will need to win and hope that the Impalers & Pipers both lose to get the #4 seed. Not a very good chance of that happening, so I'm saying Belgrade sticks at the #6 Zeta seed.
56.18 (57.46) - River City Ransom over Liverpool Poison
-River City redeemed themselves just in time to grab that #8 Zeta seed. They'll need to keep it together and get a win against a Liverpool team that has gotten a few wins lately. If River City slips up, then Athens may be able to take take the #8 spot.
-With an upset, Liverpool could create a tie for the #8 Alpha seed. Only problem is, any team they might tie with has the tie-breaker against them. The Poison could be a playoff contender next season with minimum upgrades.
55.96 (53.72) - Barcelona Chupacabras over Diaper Vipers
-Barcelona can seal the #3 Zeta seed with a win over the Vipers. It won't be easy, but they should get it done. If the Chups get a loss, a member of the 4-5-6 gang will be looking to take the #3 seed.
-With back-to-back losses to the Bulldogs and CHUDS, the Vipers are now on the outside looking in. Diaper should be back in contention next season.
54.47 (50.90) - Spanish Inquisition over Rotterdam Rampage
-The Inquisition has locked the #2 Zeta seed and will only be playing for Zeta bragging rights this week.
-Rotterdam got back on the winning track after some mid-season losses. A Week 14 loss to a weaker Liverpool team leads me to believe they still aren't ready to compete with the top teams. With a loss here and a Knights win, they will drop to the #6 Alpha seed.
53.57 (53.15) - Minsk Fire over Crete Minotaurs
-Even with the late season surge, Minsk wasn't able to make a big enough turn around to make the playoffs. With a few upgrades they should be a playoff contender next season.
-Crete is another team that seems to be out leveled. Unless there a big upgrades, Crete will still be a middle tier team next season.
The next 5 games should be very good matchups and will decide the Alpha/Zeta win ratio. Up to this point (in case you didn't notice) I have Zeta with a 1 game edge.
52.33 (49.73) - East Berlin Blitzkrieg over Odessa Pipers
Matchup Breakdown - East Berlin has been dominate all year with a high power offense and stingy defense. Odessa's offensive stats got a little padding with a couple of 180+ games against gutted opponents. This is a pretty close matchup, but I don't this Odess will be able to score enough to win it.
-With a win, East Berlin will at least stay at the #3 Alpha seed. If they can get some help from Brown Bay (and they should), they will move to the #2 Alpha seed for the playoffs.
-If Odessa can pull off the upset, then they will need the Impalers to lose to improve their playoff seed.
52.25 (52.54) - The Dark Knights over Targoviste Impalers
Matchup Breakdown - Both the Knights and Impalers keep all of their games close. This should be another tight game and will likely be decided in the 4th quarter. The winner may be the team that makes the least mistakes.
-With a likely loss for the Rampage, the Knights will be able to move into the #5 Alpha seed if they can squeeze out a win over Targiviste.
-The Impalers should be in positions to keep the #4 Zeta seed. Both Odessa and Belgrade have tough matchups this week. If one of them wins, the Impalers won't slip farther than #5 with tie-breakers over both teams. With a win and a unlikely Chups loss, Targoviste has an outside chance of moving to the #3 seed.
51.72 (50.45) - Brown Bay Packers over Krakow Krakodiles
Matchup Breakdown - Brown Bay has dominated everyone, but they proved to be mortal in their loss to the Impalers. Krakow soundly beats most of its opponents, but won't be able to score as easily against the Packers defense. This looks to be a good matchup, but Brown Bay should be able to get the win.
-No matter what happens, Brown Bay will take the #1 Zeta seed into the playoffs, with their possible tie-breaking win over the Inquistion.
-Krakow needs a win and a Rowdies or Blitzkrieg loss to move anywhere. I doubt happens, so the Kraks stay at #4.
51.49 (55.42) - Rammstein Rampage over Chernobyl CHUDS
Matchup Breakdown - Looking at records, this doesn't look like much of a game. But according to the numbers, Rammstein are better than their record indicates. Will they be able to put everything together and get a win over an Alpha playoff team? My formula says yes (I say no).
-Rammstein seems to be outleveled in this league, but the matchup screen says otherwise. Once their levels catchup, they could be a contender.
-The CHUDS shouldn't look past this matchup. If they can get a win and the Bulldogs get a lose, then they could move to the #7 Alpha seed.
50.55 (50.11) - Athens Gods over Nizhny Novgorod Bulldogs
Matchup Breakdown - This is about as even as it gets. Athens' defense has shown that it is vulnerable the past few weeks. Almost all of the Bulldog's wins happen when they score 49 or more points. They won't be getting to that number this week, but if they can figure out how to get some points from Athens, they may be able to win. If Athens can hold out for the win, they could give the edge to Zeta for the week.
-Athens is in a must win game. But a win alone won't work. They need River City to lose to get their playoff spot back. With River City, you never know. So don't count Athens out yet.
-The Bulldogs are in the playoffs, with tie breakers over the 3 teams below them. If they lose and the CHUDS win, they could easily slip to #8 though.
Predicted Conference winner: Zeta 9-7
Alpha Playoff Seed Prediction:
#1 - Disaster
#2 - Blitzkrieg
#3 - Rowdies
#4 - Krakodiles
#5 - Knights
#6 - Rampage
#7 - Bulldogs
#8 - CHUDS
Zeta Playoff Seed Prediction:
#1 - Packers
#2 - Inquisition
#3 - Chupacabras
#4 - Impalers
#5 - Pipers
#6 - Bears
#7 - Piggers
#8 - River City
