Key Week 15 Matchups ----- Predictions: 2-1 ----- Score Differential: +2 ----- (-21) + (32) + (-9)
#1 - Gods vs. 'Nites (The Nites have dropped two in a row now, but I can't expect this trend to continue. I think it will be a tight game and this is the best chance the Gods have for an upset.)
BOLD PREDICTION: Nites 24, Gods 10
ACTUAL RESULT: Nites 24, Gods 31 (Honestly, this isn't the first time I've chosen the Nites to win and basically nailed their score, but their opponent blows the result out of the water...maybe I should stop predicting them to win?)
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#2 - Crimson Auha vs. Titans (The Titans are riding high after a big upset over the Nites, but the Crimson Auha really need a win here as they lose the tiebreaker to Fiji.)
BOLD PREDICTION: Titans 37, Crimson Auha 34
ACTUAL RESULT: Titans 45, Crimson Auha 10 (RTT is on cruise control with a whooping of the Tongan crew.)
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#3 - Growas vs. Heat (The Heat are scoring the most and allowing the least in Zeta. The Growas are playing better and fighting for their playoff lives, but its too little, too late)
BOLD PREDICTION: Heat 56, Growas 16
ACTUAL RESULT: Heat 51, Growas 20 (Well, at least I got one score pretty much right )
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Toughest Remaining Schedules
Brisbane Gods (14-1)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 TIT's
Melbourne Thorny Devils (13-2)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Invaders
Big Island Growas (10-5)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Mustangs
Tongan Crimson Auha (10-5)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Burning Pride
Fiji Stingers (9-6)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Fighting Squirrels
Vanuatu Kava Sharks (8-7)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Sea Turtles
Easiest Remaining Schedules
Brisbane Heat (0-15)
- Key Matchups: None
Banzai Pipeline 'Nites (3-12)
- Key Matchups: None
Rawle Tech Titans (6-9)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Strike
IC Incinerators (7-8)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Pioneers
Eliminated
- Big Island Growas (Heat win officially ends their slim hopes in week 15)
- Co-op City Blitz (loss in week 14 officially sends them to the links)
- Nauru Tiger Sharks (loss in week 13 officially sends them down the pipe)
- Saipan Fighters (1-5 vs. the teams they can catch with a 4-0 finish. With only 1 meaningful conference game left, they can't even play the role of spoiler this season)
- Jakarta Men O'War (Can't catch any current playoff teams, looking to next season)
- Cleveland Dawg Pound (Can't catch any current playoff teams, looking to next season)
- Great Barrier Reef Sharks (Relegation pending to AAA)
Key Week 16 Matchups
#1 - Stingers vs. Fighting Squirrels (While there are some matches that could affect position (discussed below), the only two matchups I'm listing affect who will get the final seed for Zeta. The Stingers have their hands full with Wagga Wagga)
BOLD PREDICTION: Fighting Squirrels 30, Stingers 24
#2 - Crimson Auha vs. Burning Pride (The other match that will decide Zeta's 8th seed should be another good one. The Crimson Auha have their hands full with New Zealand, and I'm actually happy both teams have a tough match and noone is getting a "bye".)
BOLD PREDICTION: Burning Pride 41, Crimson Auha 23
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BOLDER PREDICTION:
Zeta Conference Final Regular Season Standings
1. *Brisbane Heat (15-1)
2. *Vanuatu Kava Sharks (15-1)
3. *IC Incinerators (13-3)
4. *Banzai Pipeline 'Nites (12-4)
5. *Brisbane Gods (11-5)
6. *Rawle Tech Titans (11-5)
7. *Melbourne Thorny Devils (10-6)
8. Fiji Stingers (8-8)
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9. Tongan Crimson Auha (8-8)
10. Big Island Growas (6-10)
11. Saipan Fighters (6-10)
12. Co-op City Blitz (5-11)
13. Nauru Tiger Sharks (3-13)
14. Jakarta Men O' War (3-13)
15. Cleveland Dawg Pound (1-15)
16. Great Barrier Reef Sharks (0-16)
*clinched playoff spot
Eliminated
What teams need to get in
Fiji Stingers - A win over Wagga Wagga, and Fiji is in without worry due to the tiebreaker over the Crimson Auha. A loss, and they have to hope New Zealand takes out the Tongan men.
Tongan Crimson Auha - Its simple: Win. Anything less, and these guys are on the outside looking in. The sad thing is, even a win doesn't guarantee anything due to a loss to Fiji earlier in the season. Only a win + Fiji loss gets these guys to the big postseason show.
Position battles to watch
1st place: Brisbane drew the 0-15 Warriors. 1st place is all but assured.
2nd place: Regardless of the outcome, the Kava Sharks have locked up 2nd place.
3rd place: Regardless of the outcome, the Incinerators have locked up 3rd place.
4th place: If the Gods win, 4th place is theirs. If they lose, it goes to the Nites who should have no issue beating Perth.
5th place: If the Gods and Nites win, 5th place goes to the Nites. If the Gods lose, the take 5th place. Regardless, this is a 1st round matchup for Zeta.
6th place: If Melbourne can upset the Invaders, 6th place is theirs along with a matchup vs. the Incinerators. If they lose and Rawle Tech wins, the Titans get 6th place and the aforementioned matchup. If both teams lose, Melbourne gets 6th place.
7th place: As mentioned above, this will go to either Melbourne or Rawle Tech. Not taking matchups into account, Rawle Tech has a 67% chance to finish here and Melbourne has a 33% chance. Yes, there is always the possibility of a tie, but I'm not doing that math tonight!
8th place: As mentioned in the key matchups, a Fiji win or a Tongan loss and the Stingers make the playoffs. A Fiji loss and a Tongan win, and the Crimson Auha sneak into the last spot.
Projected 1st Round Matchups
Brisbane Heat hosting Fiji Stingers
Banzai Pipeline 'Nites hosting Brisbane Gods
IC Incinerators hosting Rawle Tech Titans
Vanuatu Kava Sharks hosting Melbourne Thorny Devils
#1 - Gods vs. 'Nites (The Nites have dropped two in a row now, but I can't expect this trend to continue. I think it will be a tight game and this is the best chance the Gods have for an upset.)
BOLD PREDICTION: Nites 24, Gods 10
ACTUAL RESULT: Nites 24, Gods 31 (Honestly, this isn't the first time I've chosen the Nites to win and basically nailed their score, but their opponent blows the result out of the water...maybe I should stop predicting them to win?)
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#2 - Crimson Auha vs. Titans (The Titans are riding high after a big upset over the Nites, but the Crimson Auha really need a win here as they lose the tiebreaker to Fiji.)
BOLD PREDICTION: Titans 37, Crimson Auha 34
ACTUAL RESULT: Titans 45, Crimson Auha 10 (RTT is on cruise control with a whooping of the Tongan crew.)
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#3 - Growas vs. Heat (The Heat are scoring the most and allowing the least in Zeta. The Growas are playing better and fighting for their playoff lives, but its too little, too late)
BOLD PREDICTION: Heat 56, Growas 16
ACTUAL RESULT: Heat 51, Growas 20 (Well, at least I got one score pretty much right )
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Toughest Remaining Schedules
Brisbane Gods (14-1)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 TIT's
Melbourne Thorny Devils (13-2)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Invaders
Big Island Growas (10-5)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Mustangs
Tongan Crimson Auha (10-5)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Burning Pride
Fiji Stingers (9-6)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Fighting Squirrels
Vanuatu Kava Sharks (8-7)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Sea Turtles
Easiest Remaining Schedules
Brisbane Heat (0-15)
- Key Matchups: None
Banzai Pipeline 'Nites (3-12)
- Key Matchups: None
Rawle Tech Titans (6-9)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Strike
IC Incinerators (7-8)
- Key Matchups: Week 16 Pioneers
Eliminated
- Big Island Growas (Heat win officially ends their slim hopes in week 15)
- Co-op City Blitz (loss in week 14 officially sends them to the links)
- Nauru Tiger Sharks (loss in week 13 officially sends them down the pipe)
- Saipan Fighters (1-5 vs. the teams they can catch with a 4-0 finish. With only 1 meaningful conference game left, they can't even play the role of spoiler this season)
- Jakarta Men O'War (Can't catch any current playoff teams, looking to next season)
- Cleveland Dawg Pound (Can't catch any current playoff teams, looking to next season)
- Great Barrier Reef Sharks (Relegation pending to AAA)
Key Week 16 Matchups
#1 - Stingers vs. Fighting Squirrels (While there are some matches that could affect position (discussed below), the only two matchups I'm listing affect who will get the final seed for Zeta. The Stingers have their hands full with Wagga Wagga)
BOLD PREDICTION: Fighting Squirrels 30, Stingers 24
#2 - Crimson Auha vs. Burning Pride (The other match that will decide Zeta's 8th seed should be another good one. The Crimson Auha have their hands full with New Zealand, and I'm actually happy both teams have a tough match and noone is getting a "bye".)
BOLD PREDICTION: Burning Pride 41, Crimson Auha 23
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BOLDER PREDICTION:
Zeta Conference Final Regular Season Standings
1. *Brisbane Heat (15-1)
2. *Vanuatu Kava Sharks (15-1)
3. *IC Incinerators (13-3)
4. *Banzai Pipeline 'Nites (12-4)
5. *Brisbane Gods (11-5)
6. *Rawle Tech Titans (11-5)
7. *Melbourne Thorny Devils (10-6)
8. Fiji Stingers (8-8)
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9. Tongan Crimson Auha (8-8)
10. Big Island Growas (6-10)
11. Saipan Fighters (6-10)
12. Co-op City Blitz (5-11)
13. Nauru Tiger Sharks (3-13)
14. Jakarta Men O' War (3-13)
15. Cleveland Dawg Pound (1-15)
16. Great Barrier Reef Sharks (0-16)
*clinched playoff spot
Eliminated
What teams need to get in
Fiji Stingers - A win over Wagga Wagga, and Fiji is in without worry due to the tiebreaker over the Crimson Auha. A loss, and they have to hope New Zealand takes out the Tongan men.
Tongan Crimson Auha - Its simple: Win. Anything less, and these guys are on the outside looking in. The sad thing is, even a win doesn't guarantee anything due to a loss to Fiji earlier in the season. Only a win + Fiji loss gets these guys to the big postseason show.
Position battles to watch
1st place: Brisbane drew the 0-15 Warriors. 1st place is all but assured.
2nd place: Regardless of the outcome, the Kava Sharks have locked up 2nd place.
3rd place: Regardless of the outcome, the Incinerators have locked up 3rd place.
4th place: If the Gods win, 4th place is theirs. If they lose, it goes to the Nites who should have no issue beating Perth.
5th place: If the Gods and Nites win, 5th place goes to the Nites. If the Gods lose, the take 5th place. Regardless, this is a 1st round matchup for Zeta.
6th place: If Melbourne can upset the Invaders, 6th place is theirs along with a matchup vs. the Incinerators. If they lose and Rawle Tech wins, the Titans get 6th place and the aforementioned matchup. If both teams lose, Melbourne gets 6th place.
7th place: As mentioned above, this will go to either Melbourne or Rawle Tech. Not taking matchups into account, Rawle Tech has a 67% chance to finish here and Melbourne has a 33% chance. Yes, there is always the possibility of a tie, but I'm not doing that math tonight!
8th place: As mentioned in the key matchups, a Fiji win or a Tongan loss and the Stingers make the playoffs. A Fiji loss and a Tongan win, and the Crimson Auha sneak into the last spot.
Projected 1st Round Matchups
Brisbane Heat hosting Fiji Stingers
Banzai Pipeline 'Nites hosting Brisbane Gods
IC Incinerators hosting Rawle Tech Titans
Vanuatu Kava Sharks hosting Melbourne Thorny Devils
Last edited Oct 20, 2008 20:49:18