Here are the current standings and remaining opponents:
1 Bonn Dynamo 12-0-0 W12 - Oslo, Coventry, Armagh, Paris
2 Manchester Mob 11-1-0 W10 - Boston, PGL, West Country, Brighton
3 Eurotrash Rabid Bats 9-2-1 W4 - Coventry, Armagh, Endzone, Dungannon
4 Boston Punks 8-3-1 W3 - Manchester, Helmsdale, Southampton, Dallas
5 Oslo Ice Robots 8-4-0 L1 - Bonn, Whitechapel, Wolverhampton, Montreal
6 Whitechapel Rippers 7-5-0 W2 - Massillon, Oslo, Coventry, Edinburgh
7 Massillon Grizzlies 7-5-0 L2 - Whitechapel, Wolverhampton, Whitchurch, Birmingham
8 Southampton Stags 6-6-0 L1 - Helmsdale, Whitchurch, Boston, Douai
9 PGL Gamers 6-6-0 W3 - Endzone, Manchester, Helmsdale, Italian
10 Coventry Owls 5-7-0 W1 - Eurotrash, Bonn, Whitechapel, Inverness
11 West Country Wyverns 5-7-0 L3 - Armagh, Endzone, Manchester, Dublin
12 Whitchurch Mouseketeers 4-8-0 W1 - Wolverhampton, Southampton, Massillon, Stockholm
My projected seedings:
#1 Bonn: The planets would have to align for us to miss out. We own the tie breaker on Manchester, so we'd have to lose 2 to lower competition and Manch win out against some tough competition. We'll likely be 16-0
#2 Manchester: They have one of the toughest final stretches out there, but they just need to go 3-1 down the stretch to secure #2.
#3 Eurotrash: They should coast to 4-0 down the stretch with the only challenge coming from recent upstart Dungannon in Zeta.
#4 is going to be close between Boston and Oslo. Boston has two top opponents in Manchester and Dallas and a 3rd game vs playoff contender Southampton. To get the all important #4 seed Boston needs to go 3-1 or better which means they have to beat Manchester or Dallas to do so, assuming they can beat Helmsdale and Southie. The game that could decide this all however is Oslo v Whitechapel. If Whitechapel wins that one then I see Boston getting #4. So, I say chances are we'll see Boston at #4, but I'll say the chances are 51%.
#5 Likely Oslo, see above.
#6-8 We have 4 teams competing for 3 spots. Whitechapel, Massillon, Southampton & PGL. Tie breakers could play a big part too. I see Southampton going 3-1 and PGL going 2-2 to finish which would put them at 9-7 and 8-8 respectively. Whitechapel easily has the toughest remaining schedule. Massillon has at a minimum 2 wins left and that puts them at 9-7 at worst and 10-6 if they can beat Whitechapel, they lose the tie breaker to Oslo so if they end up tied at 10-6 then Oslo still gets the nod. The biggest game is tomorrow's Whitechapel vs Massillon game. If Massillon wins then they're #6 and it actually puts Whitechapel in danger of finishing 9th and out of the playoffs since they could easily end up 8-8 and tied with PGL and PGL owns the tie breaker. So, if Massillon wins then I see it Mass at 6, Southampton at 7 and PGL at 8. If Whitechapel wins then I see Mass, White, and South tied at 9-7. The tie breaker would go to Whitechapel since they would be 2-0 vs the other teams, Massillon would next and Southampton last.
So, to conclude...
If Massillon beats Whitechapel tomorrow: 6 Massillon, 7 Southampton, 8 PGL, 9 Whitechapel (though Whitechapel could still make it if they beat Oslo)
If Whitechapel wins, then I think it would mean 6 Whitechapel, 7 Massillon, 8 Southampton, 9 PGL
The rest: Though mathematically alive the remaining schedules for West Country, Coventry and Whitchurch are not to their benefit. I see WCW going 7-9, Coventry is getting slammed at the end of the season and will likely finish 5-11 and same for Whitchurch 5-11.
1 Bonn Dynamo 12-0-0 W12 - Oslo, Coventry, Armagh, Paris
2 Manchester Mob 11-1-0 W10 - Boston, PGL, West Country, Brighton
3 Eurotrash Rabid Bats 9-2-1 W4 - Coventry, Armagh, Endzone, Dungannon
4 Boston Punks 8-3-1 W3 - Manchester, Helmsdale, Southampton, Dallas
5 Oslo Ice Robots 8-4-0 L1 - Bonn, Whitechapel, Wolverhampton, Montreal
6 Whitechapel Rippers 7-5-0 W2 - Massillon, Oslo, Coventry, Edinburgh
7 Massillon Grizzlies 7-5-0 L2 - Whitechapel, Wolverhampton, Whitchurch, Birmingham
8 Southampton Stags 6-6-0 L1 - Helmsdale, Whitchurch, Boston, Douai
9 PGL Gamers 6-6-0 W3 - Endzone, Manchester, Helmsdale, Italian
10 Coventry Owls 5-7-0 W1 - Eurotrash, Bonn, Whitechapel, Inverness
11 West Country Wyverns 5-7-0 L3 - Armagh, Endzone, Manchester, Dublin
12 Whitchurch Mouseketeers 4-8-0 W1 - Wolverhampton, Southampton, Massillon, Stockholm
My projected seedings:
#1 Bonn: The planets would have to align for us to miss out. We own the tie breaker on Manchester, so we'd have to lose 2 to lower competition and Manch win out against some tough competition. We'll likely be 16-0
#2 Manchester: They have one of the toughest final stretches out there, but they just need to go 3-1 down the stretch to secure #2.
#3 Eurotrash: They should coast to 4-0 down the stretch with the only challenge coming from recent upstart Dungannon in Zeta.
#4 is going to be close between Boston and Oslo. Boston has two top opponents in Manchester and Dallas and a 3rd game vs playoff contender Southampton. To get the all important #4 seed Boston needs to go 3-1 or better which means they have to beat Manchester or Dallas to do so, assuming they can beat Helmsdale and Southie. The game that could decide this all however is Oslo v Whitechapel. If Whitechapel wins that one then I see Boston getting #4. So, I say chances are we'll see Boston at #4, but I'll say the chances are 51%.
#5 Likely Oslo, see above.
#6-8 We have 4 teams competing for 3 spots. Whitechapel, Massillon, Southampton & PGL. Tie breakers could play a big part too. I see Southampton going 3-1 and PGL going 2-2 to finish which would put them at 9-7 and 8-8 respectively. Whitechapel easily has the toughest remaining schedule. Massillon has at a minimum 2 wins left and that puts them at 9-7 at worst and 10-6 if they can beat Whitechapel, they lose the tie breaker to Oslo so if they end up tied at 10-6 then Oslo still gets the nod. The biggest game is tomorrow's Whitechapel vs Massillon game. If Massillon wins then they're #6 and it actually puts Whitechapel in danger of finishing 9th and out of the playoffs since they could easily end up 8-8 and tied with PGL and PGL owns the tie breaker. So, if Massillon wins then I see it Mass at 6, Southampton at 7 and PGL at 8. If Whitechapel wins then I see Mass, White, and South tied at 9-7. The tie breaker would go to Whitechapel since they would be 2-0 vs the other teams, Massillon would next and Southampton last.
So, to conclude...
If Massillon beats Whitechapel tomorrow: 6 Massillon, 7 Southampton, 8 PGL, 9 Whitechapel (though Whitechapel could still make it if they beat Oslo)
If Whitechapel wins, then I think it would mean 6 Whitechapel, 7 Massillon, 8 Southampton, 9 PGL
The rest: Though mathematically alive the remaining schedules for West Country, Coventry and Whitchurch are not to their benefit. I see WCW going 7-9, Coventry is getting slammed at the end of the season and will likely finish 5-11 and same for Whitchurch 5-11.
