Originally posted by Thul
Well...Zeta's playoff field is set...however, the seeding is extremely up in the air.
Current standings and situation...
1. Taiwan Demons (14-1) Currently has a one game lead, but plays SUFC in the finale. If they can win it, the title is theirs. If they lose, they can still win the title should MMJ lose to ABAC. If MMJ wins, they will most likely end in third.
2. Himalayan Raging Yetis (13-2) Can win the conference if they win against Kyoto, Taiwan loses to SUFC, and Myanmar bests ABAC. Conventional thinking has that combination occurring in the final week. They actually can finish anywhere from first to fourth depending on how things shake out though.
3. Myanmar Military Junta (13-2) Can win the conference if they win against ABAC, HRY loses to Kyoto, and Taiwan loses to SUFC. Not very likely. They will be second if Taiwan loses, HRY wins, and they score more against ABAC than Taiwan scores in their game. Cannot be lower than fourth.
4. Blood Gulch Chupathingies (12-3) Face the Katanas in the final game...an unfortunate draw for them when fighting for a home playoff game. If they win big, they could technically be as high as second with loses by HRY and MMJ. If they lose and Guam loses, they are fourth. If they lose, Guam wins, and Idaho wins, it'll come down to the points tie-breaker, which they currently hold a 43 point lead in...which might evaporate quickly against the Katanas. Cannot finish lower than sixth...but the odds of that happening are extremely remote.
5. Idaho HurriCats (11-4) Their close loss to MMJ makes a home playoff game a little harder to attain. They need BGC to lose and Guam to win to force a three way tiebreaker for fourth that will go to points scored. They currently have 12 more points than Guam, but are 43 points behind BGC. They are going to have to put up a big number against a tough Taiwan Dragons team to accomplish that...and the Dragons have only allowed more than 30 points once this season. If they lose and Guam loses, they are fifth. Cannot finish lower than sixth.
6. Guam Carabao (11-4) They have a better chance to land last home playoff game than the HurriCats, as they have a slightly easier opponent and they hold the tie-breaker over BGC. First things first, they'll need to win. If they win, BGC loses, and Idaho loses, Guam will sneak into the #4 slot. If BGC loses, Idaho wins, and Guam wins, they could still be the #4 by outscoring Idaho's score by 12 and BGC's by 55...the latter being a very tall order against the Sylvans. If they lose, they are sixth.
7. Fort Worth Thunder (8-7) If they win, they are the #7 seed. If they lose and Davao finds a way to beat the Fighting Sura, they would drop to #8.
8. Davao Diablos (8-7) Has a tough game against the Fighting Suras. If they win and Fort Worth loses, they are #7. If they lose, they are #8.
For the heck of it, I'll lay down my prediction of how it'll turn out...
1. Himalayan Raging Yetis
2. Myanmar Military Junta
3. Taiwan Demons
4. Guam Carabaos
5. Blood Gulch Chupathingies
6. Idaho HurriCats
7. Forth Worth Thunder
8. Davao Diablos
Take that with a grain of salt though, as you've seen all the possibilities.
Good predictions/explanations
However, you made one mistake for the 4-6 spots.
If there is a 3+ way tie, the tiebreakers are the following:
1. Head-to-Head versus other teams you are tied with
2. Pts scored
In the 4-6 tie, the 1st tiebreaker would be:
4. Blood Gulch (2-0 against Idaho, Guam)
5. Idaho (1-1)
6. Guam (0-2)
So basically, Guam will finish in 6th no matter what, and Blood Gulch will still grab a 4th seed
lol I fixed it up a bit more so you could root for us all the way through.
