......and so it begins the most meaningful 3 league games of the GLB season, the 2nd time around through the division.
Teams Alive in the Post-Season Race(10): These Guys, Atlantis Golden Hoplites, Black Dragon Fight Club, 16th Gallic Legion, Nassau Jolly Rogers, Utah Dogs, Los Angeles Bears, The Ville Gators, Huntsville SoulSteelers, Oakland Minors. Wow that's alot mostly due to the conflaguration that is Gamma.
Playoff Scenarios: I'm going to start with Gamma, all 4 teams are alive in the Divison Race. All Control their own destiny, it's 3 wins and in which would be more wins than any of the 4 teams has to this point. Biggest Game on the Slate: Week 13 The Vill Gators vs. The Bears. These two tied the first time around giving them a .5 game lead on the rest. Whoever wins this needs just 1 other win in their other games and that may get it done.
Other Scenarios:
These Guys. Clinch a Playoff Berth with a win against the Inactive Denver Dream. Clinch the Division with a win in either week 12 or 13 and a victory over the Hoplites in Week 14. Clinch the division with wins against Denver and BDFC and a loss to Atlantis with better points allowed over Atlantis (they hold a huge lead) basically they can't lose the division unless they drop a game to BDFC.
Atlantis. Holds the Keys to the Wild Card race by virtue of record. Clinches at least a wild card with wins over BDFC (Week 12) and Denver Dream (Week 13) -AND- a 16th Gallic Legion victory in week 14, otherwise they could lose the tiebreak in the playoff race to Gallic Legion if Gallic Legion wins 2 but losses to Nassau and Atlantis losses 2 of the last 3. Clinhes Division with three wins and two losses by These Guys or 3 wins (including These Guys Week 14) two wins by these Guys and besting These Guys in points allowed.
Black Dragon Fight Club(BDFC) Cannot win the division. Still alive for wild card, all scenarios involve winning 3 straight. Then taking out Atlantis (assuming Atlantis beats Denver) on points allowed having then split the division series. Other paths involve inducing a 4 way tie for the wild card, with These Guys, Atlantis, and either Nassau or Gallic Legion. (That's a mess I'm not breaking it down and GLB is somewhat inconsistent with resolving ties across divisions).
16th Gallic Legion Controls own destiny, claims divsion with 3 stragiht wins. Could become the wild card if they win 2 and lose to Nassau week 14 with Atlantis losing to either BDFC or Denver - AND - holding the points allowed lead for what then almost certianly becomes a 3 way tie-break (currently leads league in points allowed by a healthy margin.)
Nassau Jolly Rogers Controls own destiny, claims division with 3 straight wins. Only Remaining team that can eliminate these guys from the post-season by virtue of head-to-head tiebreaker. Losses head to head tiebreaker with Atlantis if the Hoplites win in either week 12 or week 13. Can also get in on odd 4 and 3 way tie scenarios if the league goes to bedlam.
Utah Dogs Mathematically alive inactive team - only gets in on weird tiebreaks with 3 straight wins not worth covering.
Teams Alive in the Post-Season Race(10): These Guys, Atlantis Golden Hoplites, Black Dragon Fight Club, 16th Gallic Legion, Nassau Jolly Rogers, Utah Dogs, Los Angeles Bears, The Ville Gators, Huntsville SoulSteelers, Oakland Minors. Wow that's alot mostly due to the conflaguration that is Gamma.
Playoff Scenarios: I'm going to start with Gamma, all 4 teams are alive in the Divison Race. All Control their own destiny, it's 3 wins and in which would be more wins than any of the 4 teams has to this point. Biggest Game on the Slate: Week 13 The Vill Gators vs. The Bears. These two tied the first time around giving them a .5 game lead on the rest. Whoever wins this needs just 1 other win in their other games and that may get it done.
Other Scenarios:
These Guys. Clinch a Playoff Berth with a win against the Inactive Denver Dream. Clinch the Division with a win in either week 12 or 13 and a victory over the Hoplites in Week 14. Clinch the division with wins against Denver and BDFC and a loss to Atlantis with better points allowed over Atlantis (they hold a huge lead) basically they can't lose the division unless they drop a game to BDFC.
Atlantis. Holds the Keys to the Wild Card race by virtue of record. Clinches at least a wild card with wins over BDFC (Week 12) and Denver Dream (Week 13) -AND- a 16th Gallic Legion victory in week 14, otherwise they could lose the tiebreak in the playoff race to Gallic Legion if Gallic Legion wins 2 but losses to Nassau and Atlantis losses 2 of the last 3. Clinhes Division with three wins and two losses by These Guys or 3 wins (including These Guys Week 14) two wins by these Guys and besting These Guys in points allowed.
Black Dragon Fight Club(BDFC) Cannot win the division. Still alive for wild card, all scenarios involve winning 3 straight. Then taking out Atlantis (assuming Atlantis beats Denver) on points allowed having then split the division series. Other paths involve inducing a 4 way tie for the wild card, with These Guys, Atlantis, and either Nassau or Gallic Legion. (That's a mess I'm not breaking it down and GLB is somewhat inconsistent with resolving ties across divisions).
16th Gallic Legion Controls own destiny, claims divsion with 3 stragiht wins. Could become the wild card if they win 2 and lose to Nassau week 14 with Atlantis losing to either BDFC or Denver - AND - holding the points allowed lead for what then almost certianly becomes a 3 way tie-break (currently leads league in points allowed by a healthy margin.)
Nassau Jolly Rogers Controls own destiny, claims division with 3 straight wins. Only Remaining team that can eliminate these guys from the post-season by virtue of head-to-head tiebreaker. Losses head to head tiebreaker with Atlantis if the Hoplites win in either week 12 or week 13. Can also get in on odd 4 and 3 way tie scenarios if the league goes to bedlam.
Utah Dogs Mathematically alive inactive team - only gets in on weird tiebreaks with 3 straight wins not worth covering.
Edited by william78 on Mar 9, 2021 09:05:07
