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hays23
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Week 16 Games that Matter

Nairobi Warthogs vs Kickin Djibouti
The African Predators vs Somalia Warlords
Swaziland Dachshunds vs Rhodesia Ratels

The rest of the league's 8 games are either meaningless or non-competitive.


Scenarios


Carthage Clash - clinch #1 seed with a win. can still earn #1 seed if Nairobi loses, but tie-breakers would come into play.

Nairobi Warthogs - have clinched #2 seed regardless of result. can clinch #1 seed with a win and a loss by Carthage.

Pirgos Warlords, Ghost Riders In The Sky, Sons of Anubis, Kickin Djibouti - the finals standings of these four teams depends on the result of the Kickin/Nairobi game.

If Kickin wins...5-way tie between these four and Nairobi. Nairobi holds the tie-breakers. They would finish 2nd. Sons of Anubis would lose all tie-breakers and finish 6th. Pirgos has a 47 point lead over Kickin and 62 over GRITS and would almost certainly lock up the 3rd seed. Kickin would then need to allow no more than 14 points more than GRITS to claim the 4th seed. If Kickin gives up 15+ points more than GRITS, they would end up 5th and GRITS 4th.

If Kickin loses...three-way tie between Pirgos, GRITS and Sons of Anubis.
GRITS is likely too far behind to catch the others in the points allowed tie-breaker as each team is 1-1 vs the other two. GRITS finishes 5th. If Pirgos allows less than 20 more points than Sons, they finish 3rd. If they allow 20+ more points than Sons, they finish 4th with Sons finishing 3rd.

The African Predators - have clinched a playoff spot.

If they lose they hold the tie-breaker over the loser of the Dachshunds/Ratels game and would sneak into the 8th spot.

If they win and Kickin wins...they hold the tie-breaker over the winner of the Dachshunds/Ratels game and would finish 7th.

If they win and Kickin loses...The Predators hold the ultimate tie-breaker in this scenario thanks to a win over Kickin, and they would finish 6th with Kickin finishing 7th thanks to the tie-breaker over the winner of the Dachshunds/Ratels game.

Swaziland Dachshunds and Rhodesia Ratels
This is simple. The loser goes home. If the Predators win, the winner finishes 8th. If the Predators lose, the winner finishes 7th.


Projected Finish

1. Carthage Clash
2. Nairobi Warthogs
3. Pirgos Warlords
4. Sons of Anubis
5. Ghost Riders In The Sky
6. The African Predators
7. Kickin Djibouti
8. Swaziland Dachshunds


 
hays23
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btw...that's fucking complicated...

in case you weren't able to decipher that...

i'm predicting that Nairobi Warthogs, The African Predators, and Swaziland Dachshunds win the three games that have playoff implications...
 
Forbin
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Good job. I've done these in the past, and it's always like a fucking brain teaser.

Thanks.
 
Ocho_CinCo
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Originally posted by Forbin
Good job. I've done these in the past

Thanks.


 
kmm227
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Thanks for figuring this out Hays
 
zyz101z
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Good work Hays. I tried doing the tie breaker math earlier. Gave me a headache.
 
Black Peter
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Originally posted by hays23

The African Predators - have clinched a playoff spot.


Yay! Was looking iffy for a while there this season!

Thanks for the write up and analysis!
 
Howitt
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Great write up. I still don't understand a damn thing, but I'm just slow that way. Good luck everyone, this season has defined "competitive".
 
Salesman
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good job Hays.. I couldn't do this with a helper!!
 
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Thanks hays
 


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