(Wow, this is a mess at the bottom...)
Clinched Top Seed:
D-Town
Clinched 2nd Seed:
Munchen
Clinched 1st Round Home Game:
Austrian (controls tiebreak for #3 seed)
Milano
Clinched #5 seed:
London
Now it gets interesting....
Five teams are mathematically alive for the final three spots, Dubuque, Lisbon, Glasgow, Camelot, and Dinwiddie
Dubuque and Lisbon have it easy, win and they are in. Glasgow, Camelot, and Dinwiddie are fighting for one spot unless they choke.
The Head to Head matrix is set, other than the Dinwiddie vs Glasgow tussle. The loser of that match is totally out of the running.
There are 16 potential scenarios (discounting ties).
Dubuque is almost certainly in. The only scenario that can even give them potential heartburn is for them to lose, and Lisbon, Camelot, and Dinwiddie to win. In that case, there would be a three way tie for two spots between Dubuque, Camelot and Dinwiddie, and all three teams woudl be 1-1 in games between themselves, so we'd be down to offensive points for a tiebreaker (Currently Dinwiddie has 651, Dubuque 623, and Camelot 522)
Lisbon is almost certainly in. The only heartbreaker scenarios are if they lose, and Camelot and Glasgow both win, in which case it's a 3 into 2 between Lisbon, Camelot, and Glasgow, again with 1-1 interrecords all around. (current points: Lisbon 845, Glasgow 701, Camelot 522)
Camelot is rooting for Dinwiddie this week. 3 scenarios allow them to clinch with a win, and they all require Dinwiddie to defeat Glasgow. If Dinwiddie and Camelot both win, Camelot is in the playoffs, unless Dubuque loses, in which case there is a 3 way tie between Dubuque, Camelot and Dinwiddie for 2 spots (Din 651, Dub 623, Cam 522). If Glasgow and Camelot win, Camelot's requires either Dubuque or Lisbon to lose, and hope for help in the tiebreaker.
If Glasgow wins over Dinwiddie, they are in unless Lisbon loses and Camelot wins, in which case they are in a 3-way tie for 2 spots with Lisbon and Camelot with 1-1 interrecords (Lisb 845,Glas 701, Cam 522)
If Dinwiddie wins over Glasgow, they are eliminated if Dubuque, Lisbon, and Camelot all win, they are in if Camelot loses, and they are in tiebreakers if Camelot wins, but either Dubuque or Lisbon loses. Strangely though, if both Dubque and Lisbon loses, Dinwiddie is out on head to head, so they need one, but not both, to win.
Clear as mud? GOOD!
Clinched Top Seed:
D-Town
Clinched 2nd Seed:
Munchen
Clinched 1st Round Home Game:
Austrian (controls tiebreak for #3 seed)
Milano
Clinched #5 seed:
London
Now it gets interesting....
Five teams are mathematically alive for the final three spots, Dubuque, Lisbon, Glasgow, Camelot, and Dinwiddie
Dubuque and Lisbon have it easy, win and they are in. Glasgow, Camelot, and Dinwiddie are fighting for one spot unless they choke.
The Head to Head matrix is set, other than the Dinwiddie vs Glasgow tussle. The loser of that match is totally out of the running.
There are 16 potential scenarios (discounting ties).
Dubuque is almost certainly in. The only scenario that can even give them potential heartburn is for them to lose, and Lisbon, Camelot, and Dinwiddie to win. In that case, there would be a three way tie for two spots between Dubuque, Camelot and Dinwiddie, and all three teams woudl be 1-1 in games between themselves, so we'd be down to offensive points for a tiebreaker (Currently Dinwiddie has 651, Dubuque 623, and Camelot 522)
Lisbon is almost certainly in. The only heartbreaker scenarios are if they lose, and Camelot and Glasgow both win, in which case it's a 3 into 2 between Lisbon, Camelot, and Glasgow, again with 1-1 interrecords all around. (current points: Lisbon 845, Glasgow 701, Camelot 522)
Camelot is rooting for Dinwiddie this week. 3 scenarios allow them to clinch with a win, and they all require Dinwiddie to defeat Glasgow. If Dinwiddie and Camelot both win, Camelot is in the playoffs, unless Dubuque loses, in which case there is a 3 way tie between Dubuque, Camelot and Dinwiddie for 2 spots (Din 651, Dub 623, Cam 522). If Glasgow and Camelot win, Camelot's requires either Dubuque or Lisbon to lose, and hope for help in the tiebreaker.
If Glasgow wins over Dinwiddie, they are in unless Lisbon loses and Camelot wins, in which case they are in a 3-way tie for 2 spots with Lisbon and Camelot with 1-1 interrecords (Lisb 845,Glas 701, Cam 522)
If Dinwiddie wins over Glasgow, they are eliminated if Dubuque, Lisbon, and Camelot all win, they are in if Camelot loses, and they are in tiebreakers if Camelot wins, but either Dubuque or Lisbon loses. Strangely though, if both Dubque and Lisbon loses, Dinwiddie is out on head to head, so they need one, but not both, to win.
Clear as mud? GOOD!
