Warrior General Games

Originally posted by KellerFox
Just curious, do the predictions take into account losing streaks (and hence the loss of morale)?

Nope, just scores and win/loss records. Bonus tokens, losing streaks, chemistry, teams gutting mid-season, sim changes -- all those will throw off the predictions somewhat.

I've thought about other modifications to handle things like gutting better but my version of the spreadsheet is hacked up enough already. Maybe I'll get around to a complete rewrite after I retire from GM duties. In the meantime it works well enough to be fun and keep people talking.

Originally posted by Doc_Nilla
Originally posted by KellerFox

Just curious, do the predictions take into account losing streaks (and hence the loss of morale)?

Nope, just scores and win/loss records. Bonus tokens, losing streaks, chemistry, teams gutting mid-season, sim changes -- all those will throw off the predictions somewhat.

I've thought about other modifications to handle things like gutting better but my version of the spreadsheet is hacked up enough already. Maybe I'll get around to a complete rewrite after I retire from GM duties. In the meantime it works well enough to be fun and keep people talking.


Oh yeah, definately... wasnt trying to complain at all. Was just curious if it adapted to losing streaks and shotty morale as the season progresses. I love reading these, you do a great job!

Originally posted by KellerFox
Originally posted by Doc_Nilla

Originally posted by KellerFox


Just curious, do the predictions take into account losing streaks (and hence the loss of morale)?

Nope, just scores and win/loss records. Bonus tokens, losing streaks, chemistry, teams gutting mid-season, sim changes -- all those will throw off the predictions somewhat.

I've thought about other modifications to handle things like gutting better but my version of the spreadsheet is hacked up enough already. Maybe I'll get around to a complete rewrite after I retire from GM duties. In the meantime it works well enough to be fun and keep people talking.


Oh yeah, definately... wasnt trying to complain at all. Was just curious if it adapted to losing streaks and shotty morale as the season progresses. I love reading these, you do a great job!

I agree with Keller. I guess it would be awesome to have one that factored in losing/winning streaks and one that didn't, but then again, I guess the Coaches Poll kinda covers that.

I dont even know how you could factor morale in now that I think about it, because its not a consistant loss even amoungst a team... nor is the actual factor measurable (even though its noticable).

Originally posted by KellerFox
I dont even know how you could factor morale in now that I think about it, because its not a consistant loss even amoungst a team... nor is the actual factor measurable (even though its noticable).

I took morale more like the momentum swing due to winning/losing streaks. I didn't realize you actually meant the morale bar.

Originally posted by Dinien
Originally posted by jdawg011

Originally posted by Dinien


(Ridgebacks) that just flat out hurts.

I dont expect to see that kinda score, you guys are a much better team than that. GL today

I think we've surprised a few teams that thought they'd walk on us, I'm pretty sure we at least scare shadowchasers, rhinos and Spidermonkeys. He'll watching those games, there were parts in all of them up until the 4th quarter that I thought we might pull it out.

Good luck today.

Nice game, I set a D that I thought would contain that damn back of yours. People were in the right places, but he made them look like a wack a mole game they way they popped up and down. Very good HB.

Spreadsheet vs. game results... (predictions in parentheses)

Lion

Seychelles Island Sea Wolves vs South African Ridgebacks
Results: W 62-31 (73-19) / Spread: 31 (54) -23 / Total: 93 (92) +1

Dar es Salaam Warrior Kings vs Zambia Lions
Results: W 322-0 (77-9) / Spread: 322 (68) +254 / Total: 322 (86) +236

Red Sea Wave vs Windhoek White Rhinos
Results: W 19-104 (15-70) / Spread: 85 (55) +30 / Total: 123 (85) +38

Nigeria Nightmares vs Angola Dream
Results: W 17-105 (29-60) / Spread: 88 (31) +57 / Total: 122 (89) +33

Angola Spider Monkeez vs Sahara ShadowChasers
Results: W 17-53 (27-32) / Spread: 36 (5) +31 / Total: 70 (59) +11

Casablanca Sultans vs Nairobi Warthogs
Results: W 14-76 (22-64) / Spread: 62 (42) +20 / Total: 90 (86) +4

Rwanda Royal Knights vs Pangani Peckerwoods
Results: W 91-34 (69-25) / Spread: 57 (44) +13 / Total: 125 (94) +31

Ethiopian Starvin' Marvins vs Ethiopia Devils
Results: W 24-25 (27-38) / Spread: 1 (11) -10 / Total: 49 (65) -16

Elephant

Lake Opeta Legionnaires vs Sierra Leone Stallions
Results: L 17-26 (37-14) / Spread: -9 (23) -32 / Total: 43 (51) -8

Doinitin Djibouti vs Zimbabwe Hyenas
Results: W 97-0 (54-13) / Spread: 97 (41) +56 / Total: 97 (67) +30

Congo Cripplers vs Sons of Anubis
Results: W 31-19 (45-24) / Spread: 12 (21) -9 / Total: 50 (69) -19

Angola Dragons vs TORO'S TEXANS
Results: W 3-203 (5-125) / Spread: 200 (120) +80 / Total: 206 (130) +76

The Last Gunfighters of Texas vs Angola Blood Diamonds
Results: W 30-19 (42-26) / Spread: 11 (16) -5 / Total: 49 (68) -19

Durban Donkeys vs Cairo Emperors
Results: W 0-289 (1-248) / Spread: 289 (247) +42 / Total: 289 (249) +40

UN Peacekeepers vs Ghana Buffalos
Results: W 22-33 (20-60) / Spread: 11 (40) -29 / Total: 55 (80) -25

Mogadishu Malice vs Somalia Pirates
Results: W 3-22 (16-45) / Spread: 19 (29) -10 / Total: 25 (61) -36

LOL blew the predictions being 16-0

Originally posted by kalkmanc
LOL blew the predictions being 16-0

SLS has busted the prediction machine quite a few times this season

Originally posted by Dinien
Originally posted by Dinien

Originally posted by jdawg011


Originally posted by Dinien



(Ridgebacks) that just flat out hurts.

I dont expect to see that kinda score, you guys are a much better team than that. GL today

I think we've surprised a few teams that thought they'd walk on us, I'm pretty sure we at least scare shadowchasers, rhinos and Spidermonkeys. He'll watching those games, there were parts in all of them up until the 4th quarter that I thought we might pull it out.

Good luck today.

Nice game, I set a D that I thought would contain that damn back of yours. People were in the right places, but he made them look like a wack a mole game they way they popped up and down. Very good HB.

I just LOLed at the whack a mole reference.

Originally posted by palmer_garnett_95
Originally posted by Dinien

Originally posted by Dinien


Originally posted by jdawg011



Originally posted by Dinien




(Ridgebacks) that just flat out hurts.

I dont expect to see that kinda score, you guys are a much better team than that. GL today

I think we've surprised a few teams that thought they'd walk on us, I'm pretty sure we at least scare shadowchasers, rhinos and Spidermonkeys. He'll watching those games, there were parts in all of them up until the 4th quarter that I thought we might pull it out.

Good luck today.

Nice game, I set a D that I thought would contain that damn back of yours. People were in the right places, but he made them look like a wack a mole game they way they popped up and down. Very good HB.

I just LOLed at the whack a mole reference.

This is what I mean, I had 4 guys sitting on that play.
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=494821&pbp_id=15243941