ZETA Playoff Projection time....same methodology as Alpha projections, although no CPU owned teams means much more chaos...
Several Clinches this week have sewn up the 1-5 spots:
Only one team has mathematically clinched at this time:
Biloxi Voodoo
Record: 12-1
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 ( Milan, Madrid)
Questionable Games: 1 (Westminster 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 14.5-1.5
Best Case: 15-1
Worst Case: 14-2
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Taranto Tarantula:
Record: 10-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Rotterdam, Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 2 (Chutaba 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 12.5-3.5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 12-4
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
The Chutaba Clan:
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 3 (Taranto 14, Rome 15, Berlin J 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Westminster Patriots:
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 2 (Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11-5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Rome Bucks:
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Nancy)
Questionable Games: 2 ( Chutaba, Rotterdam)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11-5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
One more team joins the list of the mathematically eliminated:
Milan Shock: 7-9 can't make it
Joining the:
Turin Dogs: 6-10 won't make it
Essen Verivalta: Ditto
Metalshop Axes - best possible record of 6-10 has no shot, late run is impressive, but too late to help
brining us to four teams out of it.
However, 2 teams are on major life support:
Cleethorpes Dock Wallopers - 8 losses...need to run the rest and hope 8-8 makes it...
Nancy Hawk Left-handed Bowls - 8 losses and two probable losses left means they need help
So...there are 5 teams realistically in the hunt for 3 playoff births. In decreasing order of making it:
Zamora Tizonas
Record: 8-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Milan)
Questionable Games: 2 (Cleethorpes, Westminster)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10-6
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 90%. Win over Cleethorpes or Westminster will clinch
Berlin Eagles:
Record: 7-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Essen, Turin)
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam, Barcelona)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record:9.5-6.5
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 80%. Win the games they're supposed to and have a really good shot
Berlin Jelly Donuts
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 3 ( Milan, Nancy, Chutaba)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 7.5-8.5
Best Case: 9-7
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30% Need some wins
Rotterdam Marauders
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 2 ( Barcelona,Rome)
Assumed Losses: 1 (Taranto)
Projected Final Record: 7-9
Best Case: 8-8
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30%. Need Help
Barcelona Badasses
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 2 (Rotterdam, Berlin E)
Assumed Losses: 1 (Taranto)
Projected Final Record: 7-9
Best Case: 8-8
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30%. Got the upset, and some of the help, but needs the rest to climb back into real contention
Several Clinches this week have sewn up the 1-5 spots:
Only one team has mathematically clinched at this time:
Biloxi Voodoo
Record: 12-1
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 ( Milan, Madrid)
Questionable Games: 1 (Westminster 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 14.5-1.5
Best Case: 15-1
Worst Case: 14-2
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Taranto Tarantula:
Record: 10-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Rotterdam, Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 2 (Chutaba 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 12.5-3.5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 12-4
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
The Chutaba Clan:
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 3 (Taranto 14, Rome 15, Berlin J 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Westminster Patriots:
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 2 (Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11-5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Rome Bucks:
Record: 9-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Nancy)
Questionable Games: 2 ( Chutaba, Rotterdam)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11-5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
One more team joins the list of the mathematically eliminated:
Milan Shock: 7-9 can't make it
Joining the:
Turin Dogs: 6-10 won't make it
Essen Verivalta: Ditto
Metalshop Axes - best possible record of 6-10 has no shot, late run is impressive, but too late to help
brining us to four teams out of it.
However, 2 teams are on major life support:
Cleethorpes Dock Wallopers - 8 losses...need to run the rest and hope 8-8 makes it...
Nancy Hawk Left-handed Bowls - 8 losses and two probable losses left means they need help
So...there are 5 teams realistically in the hunt for 3 playoff births. In decreasing order of making it:
Zamora Tizonas
Record: 8-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Milan)
Questionable Games: 2 (Cleethorpes, Westminster)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10-6
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 90%. Win over Cleethorpes or Westminster will clinch
Berlin Eagles:
Record: 7-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Essen, Turin)
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam, Barcelona)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record:9.5-6.5
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 80%. Win the games they're supposed to and have a really good shot
Berlin Jelly Donuts
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 3 ( Milan, Nancy, Chutaba)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 7.5-8.5
Best Case: 9-7
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30% Need some wins
Rotterdam Marauders
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 2 ( Barcelona,Rome)
Assumed Losses: 1 (Taranto)
Projected Final Record: 7-9
Best Case: 8-8
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30%. Need Help
Barcelona Badasses
Record: 6-7
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 2 (Rotterdam, Berlin E)
Assumed Losses: 1 (Taranto)
Projected Final Record: 7-9
Best Case: 8-8
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 30%. Got the upset, and some of the help, but needs the rest to climb back into real contention