ZETA Playoff Projection time....same methodology as Alpha projections, although no CPU owned teams means much more chaos...
Several upsets in the middle of the pack results in a logjam for the 6-8 spots...this could get ugly down the stretch...
Only one team has mathematically clinched at this time:
Biloxi Voodoo
Record: 11-1
Assumed Safe Wins: 3 ( Cleethorpes, Milan, Madrid)
Questionable Games: 1 (Westminster 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 14.5-1.5
Best Case: 15-1
Worst Case: 14-2
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Two more teams join the list of the mathematically eliminated:
Turin Dogs: 7-9 won't make it
Essen Verivalta: Ditto
They join the:
Metalshop Axes - best possible record of 6-10 has no shot,
brining us to three teams out of it.
However, 4 teams are on major life support:
Cleethorpes Dock Wallopers - 7 losses and a game against Biloxi to go...need to run the rest and hope 8-8 makes it...
Barcelona Badasses - 7 losses already and games against Chutaba and Taranto...need an upset, clean wins in the rest, and some help
Milan Shock - 8 losses already, games against Taranto and Biloxi...need to run the table and help needed.
Madrid Bulls - Well...okay...now the Nancy Hawk Left-handed Bowls - A loss to the Badasses puts them on the brink of disaster
So...there are 8 teams realistically in the hunt for 7 playoff births. In decreasing order of making it:
Taranto Tarantula:
Record: 9-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Madrid, Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 2 (Chutaba 14, Rotterdam 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 12-4
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 11-5
Odds of making playoffs: 90%
The Chutaba Clan:
Record: 9-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 3 (Taranto 14, Rome 15, Berlin J 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11.5-4.5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 85%
Westminster Patriots:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 3 (Berlin J 13, Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 85%
Rome Bucks:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Milan)
Questionable Games: 3 (Madrid, Chutaba, Rotterdam)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 70%
Zamora Tizonas
Record: 7-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Turin)
Questionable Games: 4 (Cleethorpes, Westminster, Milan)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 9.5-6.5
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 8-8
Odds of making playoffs: 70%
Berlin Eagles:
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam, Essen, Barcelona, Turin)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Berlin Jelly Donuts
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Westminster, Milan, Madrid, Chutaba)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Rotterdam Marauders
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Berlin E, Barcelona, Taranto, Rome)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Several upsets in the middle of the pack results in a logjam for the 6-8 spots...this could get ugly down the stretch...
Only one team has mathematically clinched at this time:
Biloxi Voodoo
Record: 11-1
Assumed Safe Wins: 3 ( Cleethorpes, Milan, Madrid)
Questionable Games: 1 (Westminster 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 14.5-1.5
Best Case: 15-1
Worst Case: 14-2
Odds of making playoffs: 100%
Two more teams join the list of the mathematically eliminated:
Turin Dogs: 7-9 won't make it
Essen Verivalta: Ditto
They join the:
Metalshop Axes - best possible record of 6-10 has no shot,
brining us to three teams out of it.
However, 4 teams are on major life support:
Cleethorpes Dock Wallopers - 7 losses and a game against Biloxi to go...need to run the rest and hope 8-8 makes it...
Barcelona Badasses - 7 losses already and games against Chutaba and Taranto...need an upset, clean wins in the rest, and some help
Milan Shock - 8 losses already, games against Taranto and Biloxi...need to run the table and help needed.
Madrid Bulls - Well...okay...now the Nancy Hawk Left-handed Bowls - A loss to the Badasses puts them on the brink of disaster
So...there are 8 teams realistically in the hunt for 7 playoff births. In decreasing order of making it:
Taranto Tarantula:
Record: 9-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Madrid, Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 2 (Chutaba 14, Rotterdam 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 12-4
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 11-5
Odds of making playoffs: 90%
The Chutaba Clan:
Record: 9-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 3 (Taranto 14, Rome 15, Berlin J 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11.5-4.5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 85%
Westminster Patriots:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 3 (Berlin J 13, Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 85%
Rome Bucks:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Milan)
Questionable Games: 3 (Madrid, Chutaba, Rotterdam)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 70%
Zamora Tizonas
Record: 7-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Turin)
Questionable Games: 4 (Cleethorpes, Westminster, Milan)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 9.5-6.5
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 8-8
Odds of making playoffs: 70%
Berlin Eagles:
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam, Essen, Barcelona, Turin)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Berlin Jelly Donuts
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Westminster, Milan, Madrid, Chutaba)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Rotterdam Marauders
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Berlin E, Barcelona, Taranto, Rome)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Last edited Dec 4, 2008 17:48:12