User Pass
Home Sign Up Contact Log In
Forum > Europe West BBB Leagues > Europe West BBB #15 > ZETA Playoff Predictions - Post Week 12
Gorm
offline
Link
 
ZETA Playoff Projection time....same methodology as Alpha projections, although no CPU owned teams means much more chaos...

Several upsets in the middle of the pack results in a logjam for the 6-8 spots...this could get ugly down the stretch...

Only one team has mathematically clinched at this time:
Biloxi Voodoo
Record: 11-1
Assumed Safe Wins: 3 ( Cleethorpes, Milan, Madrid)
Questionable Games: 1 (Westminster 14)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 14.5-1.5
Best Case: 15-1
Worst Case: 14-2
Odds of making playoffs: 100%

Two more teams join the list of the mathematically eliminated:
Turin Dogs: 7-9 won't make it
Essen Verivalta: Ditto
They join the:
Metalshop Axes - best possible record of 6-10 has no shot,
brining us to three teams out of it.

However, 4 teams are on major life support:

Cleethorpes Dock Wallopers - 7 losses and a game against Biloxi to go...need to run the rest and hope 8-8 makes it...

Barcelona Badasses - 7 losses already and games against Chutaba and Taranto...need an upset, clean wins in the rest, and some help

Milan Shock - 8 losses already, games against Taranto and Biloxi...need to run the table and help needed.

Madrid Bulls - Well...okay...now the Nancy Hawk Left-handed Bowls - A loss to the Badasses puts them on the brink of disaster

So...there are 8 teams realistically in the hunt for 7 playoff births. In decreasing order of making it:

Taranto Tarantula:
Record: 9-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 2 (Madrid, Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 2 (Chutaba 14, Rotterdam 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 12-4
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 11-5
Odds of making playoffs: 90%

The Chutaba Clan:
Record: 9-3
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Barcelona)
Questionable Games: 3 (Taranto 14, Rome 15, Berlin J 16)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 11.5-4.5
Best Case: 13-3
Worst Case: 10-6
Odds of making playoffs: 85%

Westminster Patriots:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 3 (Berlin J 13, Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 85%

Rome Bucks:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Milan)
Questionable Games: 3 (Madrid, Chutaba, Rotterdam)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 70%

Zamora Tizonas
Record: 7-5
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Turin)
Questionable Games: 4 (Cleethorpes, Westminster, Milan)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 9.5-6.5
Best Case: 11-5
Worst Case: 8-8
Odds of making playoffs: 70%

Berlin Eagles:
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Rotterdam, Essen, Barcelona, Turin)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

Berlin Jelly Donuts
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Westminster, Milan, Madrid, Chutaba)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%

Rotterdam Marauders
Record: 6-6
Assumed Safe Wins: 0
Questionable Games: 4 (Berlin E, Barcelona, Taranto, Rome)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 8-8
Best Case: 10-6
Worst Case: 6-10
Odds of making playoffs: 50%
Last edited Dec 4, 2008 17:48:12
 
Gorm
offline
Link
 
Games to Watch:

Week 13:
Westminster Patriots vs Berlin Eagles - Westminster feels comfortable now, but a hiccup here could throw them into chaos. Berlin can't afford a loss.

Rotterdam Maurauders vs. Berlin Eagles - Could be an elimination game...certainly the winner has a leg up on the #8 seed

Week 14:
Would you believe there are *NO* gimme games this week? Even Biloxi has a challenge from Westminster...possibly...Watch em all, they all matter..well...okay...not the Metalshop-Turin game...but the rest all matter.

Week 15:
Westminster Patriots vs Zamora Tizonas - Both teams are feeling good atm, but a battle between the two will put one in jeopardy.

Berlin Eagles vs BArcelona Badasses - if Barcelona runs the table to here, they will still be alive, and could make a serious step up with the defeat of the Eagles.

Week 16:

Rome Bucks vs Rotterdam Maurauders - Rotterdam will be fighting for it's life, if it still has one.


Last edited Dec 4, 2008 17:54:06
 
Sirwin
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Gorm

Westminster Patriots:
Record: 8-4
Assumed Safe Wins: 1 (Metalshop)
Questionable Games: 3 (Berlin J 13, Biloxi 14, Zamora 15)
Assumed Losses: 0
Projected Final Record: 10.5-5.5
Best Case: 12-4
Worst Case: 9-7
Odds of making playoffs: 85%


I know we have only won 2 games now, but I wouldn't assume MetalShop as a "Safe Win". Things look to be on an upswing and I think we could win out but the Westminster game will be a tough one.
 
dudeman3333
offline
Link
 
Thanks for making it
 
OSshane
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Gorm
Games to Watch:

Week 13:
Westminster Patriots vs Berlin Eagles - Westminster feels comfortable now, but a hiccup here could throw them into chaos. Berlin can't afford a loss.

Rotterdam Maurauders vs. Berlin Eagles - Could be an elimination game...certainly the winner has a leg up on the #8 seed

Week 14:
Would you believe there are *NO* gimme games this week? Even Biloxi has a challenge from Westminster...possibly...Watch em all, they all matter..well...okay...not the Metalshop-Turin game...but the rest all matter.

Week 15:
Westminster Patriots vs Zamora Tizonas - Both teams are feeling good atm, but a battle between the two will put one in jeopardy.

Berlin Eagles vs BArcelona Badasses - if Barcelona runs the table to here, they will still be alive, and could make a serious step up with the defeat of the Eagles.

Week 16:

Rome Bucks vs Rotterdam Maurauders - Rotterdam will be fighting for it's life, if it still has one.




Patriots will be way over there heads when they make the trip to Voodoo Valley... Final score Voodoo 76 Patriots 17(and I'm being generous..
 
Robolis
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Gorm
Games to Watch:

Week 13:
Westminster Patriots vs Berlin Eagles - Westminster feels comfortable now, but a hiccup here could throw them into chaos. Berlin can't afford a loss.

Rotterdam Maurauders vs. Berlin Eagles - Could be an elimination game...certainly the winner has a leg up on the #8 seed

Week 14:
Would you believe there are *NO* gimme games this week? Even Biloxi has a challenge from Westminster...possibly...Watch em all, they all matter..well...okay...not the Metalshop-Turin game...but the rest all matter.

Week 15:
Westminster Patriots vs Zamora Tizonas - Both teams are feeling good atm, but a battle between the two will put one in jeopardy.

Berlin Eagles vs BArcelona Badasses - if Barcelona runs the table to here, they will still be alive, and could make a serious step up with the defeat of the Eagles.

Week 16:

Rome Bucks vs Rotterdam Maurauders - Rotterdam will be fighting for it's life, if it still has one.




Westminster plays the Berlin Jelly Donuts week 13 not the Berlin Eagles =] Was wondering why the Eagles had to pull double duty!

Other than that, thanks so much for posting this!!!!
 
Link
 
Thanks

GO BUCKS!!
 


You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.