User Pass
Home Sign Up Contact Log In
Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #4 > Joc's Totally Right Predictions - Pre-Ranking
Page:
 
po
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by merk
Originally posted by Ahoda

Originally posted by po


Why do you love Josh so much and hate me?

He is fucking 22-9 in one run games and +3 pyth and I am -4 pyth.

Wang was a great pick up eh?

Fuck me. Just gotta make the playoffs though.



you do realize that no one but me has any idea what you just posted?


I understand... pyth = runs scored / ( (runs scored)^2 + (runs allowed)^2) )^-1/2...it is supposed to predict the fraction of games you win....so if you multiply pyth by the number of games played, you can see if your team has been lucky or not...At some point a couple years ago, I wrote my own baseball sim (much of the effort going into a smart cpu) that kept track pyth and a number of other relevant stats...

Also, winning or losing in 1 run games is supposed to be a matter of luck...


Nice. Very nice.

I have never seen Pyth explained like that but very nice. Its been calculated thought that using 1.83 instead of 2 for the exponent gives a little more accurate of a result. So it looks like this:

(Runs Scored)^1.83
---------------------------------------------------------
(Runs Scored)^1.83 + (Runs Allowed)^1.83


But what Ahoda was refering to is we were talking about our OOTP league in which he runs, and is currently trying to run my team out of the playoffs.

I do love me some sabermetricians though.
Last edited Sep 16, 2008 12:16:51
 
merk
offline
Link
 
Nice to see another OOTP player...although I've never had an online league...Several years ago, I did hack up my own baseball sim...totally a gm type of thing....

I didn't know 1.83 was more accurate...The scientist in me wonders how much data that is based on...what the error bars are, etc
 
po
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by merk
Nice to see another OOTP player...although I've never had an online league...Several years ago, I did hack up my own baseball sim...totally a gm type of thing....

I didn't know 1.83 was more accurate...The scientist in me wonders how much data that is based on...what the error bars are, etc


I can probably look it up on THT. I may sometime today for you.

I have never played OOTP offline. In fact alot of the Berlin Divine Right team is from our OOTP league.
 
Primarch
offline
Link
 
Ok, i'm a sucker. Do you guys run your league year round? One season ends, short offseason, new ones begins?


I might have to look into this...


Clay
 
po
offline
Link
 
Yeah. each season takes about 5 weeks. Generally 3 sims a week each is 2 weeks.

The offseason lasts about 10 days. 4 FA periods, then a ST sim.

Its roughly 6 weeks to go a calender year. Sometimes things get slowed down like if the draft takes longer than we would like, but its on a pretty tight schedule.

One league we have is finishing up 2015 and another we have is just starting 2014.

I like em but they are a lot of work for the commishes.
 
ThatboyB
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Klase
After beating FFF in the playoffs I'm interested to see how the troyfins do in season 5.


The only reason we lost is cause we threw a scrimmage with the league champs and we didnt switch our settings back. So you barely won with our settings set the complete opposite of how we play so dont feel too special.
 
trojansb
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by ThatboyB
Originally posted by Klase

After beating FFF in the playoffs I'm interested to see how the troyfins do in season 5.


The only reason we lost is cause we threw a scrimmage with the league champs and we didnt switch our settings back. So you barely won with our settings set the complete opposite of how we play so dont feel too special.


This post really ticks me off. First of all Klase is not even a troyfin he is just an interested observer, and you attack him with your whiny little rant. I love when someone posts all the excuses after losing a game, I don't care you lost and we won. Give credit to the team that beat you and take it like a man. It makes your whole team look bad. How can a team with 16 GM's forget to change the settings before the biggest game of the season. This may explain why FFF is one of the great regular season teams in Oceania AA4 history.
 
Modok
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by ThatboyB
Originally posted by Klase

After beating FFF in the playoffs I'm interested to see how the troyfins do in season 5.


The only reason we lost is cause we threw a scrimmage with the league champs and we didnt switch our settings back. So you barely won with our settings set the complete opposite of how we play so dont feel too special.


Threw a scrimmage huh? lol.
 
po
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by trojansb
This may explain why FFF is one of the great regular season teams in Oceania AA4 history.


This made me chuckle. Not becuase of what was said about FFF but because of the in AA4 history.... all 2 seasons of it.

I dont know why its just funny.
 
Page:
 


You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.