Returning WL Teams
Nairobi Warthogs -
One of the older rosters in DS, and they seem to be going with the "ain't broke - don't fix" approach, but that will depend heavily on the passing game staying at its currently ridiculous level of effectiveness. They also benefited from being in the "easy" conference this past season, so there's no way they'll get close to 14 wins again. I imagine they'll be back to their usual 10 to 8 win range right on the cusp of playoff contention depending upon conference alignment.
Odessa Mojo -
DS chose not to make many changes here either, but the roster is younger and seems to be more flexible. Odessa wasn't as explosive as Nairobi in terms of big plays and putting points on the board, but was also more consistent defensively. I think that gives them a leg up on expected sim changes for s30. Seeing them come into the season with full chemistry will be interesting, but there are no cares here until playoff time. Autopilot still gets them 10 to 12 wins.
Excel Spreadsheets -
Hays builds high EL dots, but for whatever reason they just weren't particularly impressive. The defense is sound, but the offense struggled to put up points against top opponents. Given that they were already in plateau at the start of last season, it's not like they're going to get any better. Maybe the sim is more suited to the roster next season, but I think 9 to 11 wins and playoff irrelevance is probable.
Oslofjorden Seagulls -
First returnee with significant turnover, as they appear to be replacing about a third of their roster. The ones they're keeping are pretty old. Oslo made a nice run in the second half and it wasn't because the schedule got easier, but their wins against top teams were of the 3 and 7 point variety. That kind of luck can swing the other way, so if they get stuck in a particularly tough conference then they'll be kept out of the playoffs. It's still a solid squad, so if a hefty portion of those new dots are studs then I'm underestimating their potential.
Richey Royals -
I don't know anything about this team's ownership or affiliation, but the agent list is familiar. Richey lives and dies by the defense, which was one of the best in the WL last season, but this is not a defense-friendly sim. I'm skeptical of how much improvement they can make in that area given that they don't appear to be adding a quarterback, but maybe some of the new receivers will add some punch. A strong, consistent defense will keep them in playoff contention regardless of the conferences, but they're still irrelevant once they get there unless the sim changes dramatically.
Venom Dotball Academy -
Same shit, different season with a good defense undermined by a terrible offense. With the QB, rTEs, and most of the WRs staying the same I don't see any real change.
C-Town MF'n Hood -
Made a nice run to the CCG, but it would concern me that their results are so random. You should be able to crush weak teams even with 0 cares. They can still win when they try, but I'll go out on a limb and predict demotion unless they land in the easy conference again.
Alpine -
Very few changes to the roster, which I think is a mistake since their offense was good but definitely not great. Holding Nairobi to 21 points in the first round was impressive, especially since the defense was fairly weak during the season. They just don't have playmakers on that side of the ball and rely on vanilla schemes hoping to force a punt rather than dictating the action. They won't get demoted, though, as they were pretty unlucky in their close games this past season.
Cincinnati Shockers -
Not many changes here, which makes sense. No one did a better job in s29 of combining an explosive offense with turnover avoidance. Brantley's pass attempts per interception mark led the WL by a huge margin, and Cincy had the fakes firing constantly. Getting a lead against them wasn't hard, but keeping it definitely was. Having a nice mix of defensive playmakers kept OCs guessing as to how they'd be attacked, and should serve them well with any sim changes. Another season of domination is in the offing, especially since Cincy has never won gold and knows they should have last season.
Machu Picchu Hidden Dragons -
I wonder who the one new dot will be. The dot quality here is elite, but not overwhelming. The AIs also had plenty of holes on both sides of the ball, and I'm not sure that tautology cares at this point. They're a safe bet to make the playoffs and then lose in the second round.
Asau Golden Eagles -
Snakes worked harder than anyone to understand the s29 sim, and exploited it well, so I'm sure they'll adjust to whatever s30 brings. But while they deserved the gold, I don't think anyone was ever scared of playing Asau, nor will they be next season. The high roster turnover suggests a strong amount of cares despite winning the title, which should mean another 10 to 12 wins.
One Foot Out the Door -
Recycled AIs are generally not a recipe for success, but the dots will be even better and the team won't start in such a massive chemistry hole again. More regular season wins are likely, but playoff success will depend on avoiding teams like Cincy.
Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers -
Fourteen new choads incoming and it looks like they're transitioning from Fizzles to speedy-fakey WRs. I don't think it will matter much since the defense isn't there. Nine or ten wins will be followed by a first or second round playoff exit.
Moose Jaw Roughriders -
MadCow did a nice job efforting his way into the playoffs by the skin of his ass, but unless they get the easy conference next season I don't see them staying up. They can't shut people down defensively when it matters because their defensive line is garbage. Maybe the new dots will change that, but I doubt it. 7-9, demoted.
Wuków Kung Fu Kryptonite Cult -
Good for these guys to make the playoffs once, but that's all they'll get. They needed a nice Week 1 draw and squeaker victories against the weaker teams in Zeta, and that luck won't repeat. Turning over so much of the roster is a damned if you do, damned if you don't proposition since they weren't talented enough to compete but the chemistry penalty will outweigh the upgrades unless they get a fortuitous early season schedule. Five to seven victories, then demotion.
Red Hot Chile Peppers -
Another team to be applauded for their s29 effort, but neither the roster or the coordinators are good enough to compete against the top teams in the regular season, much less when it matters. Looks like they're one of the few bringing in a new quarterback, so that should be interesting. Still, it's six to eight wins, followed by demotion.