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Forum > USA A Leagues > USA A #6 > Projected Standings!
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morid
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Originally posted by WiSeIVIaN
Originally posted by germains

Grave Diggers are projected to win out... Let's see how that fairs.


So are the hedgehogs...should be an interesting game week 15 to say the least, lol.


I will get this looked at. It is suppose to account for H2H unless it is too close to call.
 
mpowell
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So how does this model project future games? Is it just doing a power ranking or does it take into account the relative strength of your remaining schedule? Seems to me the model could use some improving if it has 2 teams winning out that still have to play each other.
 
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Originally posted by mpowell
So how does this model project future games? Is it just doing a power ranking or does it take into account the relative strength of your remaining schedule? Seems to me the model could use some improving if it has 2 teams winning out that still have to play each other.


Yea i think its solely based on points for and against but not real sure
 
kurieg
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Mattman is correct. It's based purely on the points scored throughout the league. It does a comparative analysis based on that data and makes projections.

So far it's been pretty good (not perfect, though). It cannot account for things like big roster changes or an entire team boosting (*cough*Wolfpackatplayofftime*cough).
 
mpowell
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Originally posted by kurieg
Mattman is correct. It's based purely on the points scored throughout the league. It does a comparative analysis based on that data and makes projections.

So far it's been pretty good (not perfect, though). It cannot account for things like big roster changes or an entire team boosting (*cough*Wolfpackatplayofftime*cough).


Hmm. Well, it could do a lot better if it looked at your schedule opponents, past and present. I wouldn't expect it to take boosting into account at all, of course.
 
kurieg
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Originally posted by mpowell
Originally posted by kurieg

Mattman is correct. It's based purely on the points scored throughout the league. It does a comparative analysis based on that data and makes projections.

So far it's been pretty good (not perfect, though). It cannot account for things like big roster changes or an entire team boosting (*cough*Wolfpackatplayofftime*cough).


Hmm. Well, it could do a lot better if it looked at your schedule opponents, past and present. I wouldn't expect it to take boosting into account at all, of course.


Not sure what you mean. It does account for all the points scored in every game this season. I've entered the PF and PA for every game played in USA A6 by team.
 
Painmaker
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Originally posted by kurieg
(*cough*Wolfpackatplayofftime*cough).


What? What?

*whistles and looks innocent*


 
mpowell
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Originally posted by kurieg
Originally posted by mpowell

Originally posted by kurieg


Mattman is correct. It's based purely on the points scored throughout the league. It does a comparative analysis based on that data and makes projections.

So far it's been pretty good (not perfect, though). It cannot account for things like big roster changes or an entire team boosting (*cough*Wolfpackatplayofftime*cough).


Hmm. Well, it could do a lot better if it looked at your schedule opponents, past and present. I wouldn't expect it to take boosting into account at all, of course.


Not sure what you mean. It does account for all the points scored in every game this season. I've entered the PF and PA for every game played in USA A6 by team.


The thing is, does it just looks at total points scored and points allowed, or do you get extra credit for doing better against tougher opponents? I don't know anything about how your evaluator works, but there are a lot of options... certainly, you need to know the strength of your remaining schedule to make a reasonable forecast...
 
morid
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Originally posted by mpowell
Originally posted by kurieg

Originally posted by mpowell


Originally posted by kurieg



Mattman is correct. It's based purely on the points scored throughout the league. It does a comparative analysis based on that data and makes projections.

So far it's been pretty good (not perfect, though). It cannot account for things like big roster changes or an entire team boosting (*cough*Wolfpackatplayofftime*cough).


Hmm. Well, it could do a lot better if it looked at your schedule opponents, past and present. I wouldn't expect it to take boosting into account at all, of course.


Not sure what you mean. It does account for all the points scored in every game this season. I've entered the PF and PA for every game played in USA A6 by team.


The thing is, does it just looks at total points scored and points allowed, or do you get extra credit for doing better against tougher opponents? I don't know anything about how your evaluator works, but there are a lot of options... certainly, you need to know the strength of your remaining schedule to make a reasonable forecast...


It looks at PF/PA, STR of SCH, it seems to take it all into account. Where it has issues are real close games and inter conference games.
 
Willyard
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Man I have missed out by not seeing this thread until now... Darn me...
 
TheFinalHero
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We gonna get an update?
 
cbarge
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EDIT: Nevermind.
Last edited Jul 3, 2008 21:55:49
 
kurieg
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Originally posted by TheFinalHero
We gonna get an update?


Unfortunately, I left my updated copy of the spreadsheet at work. Maybe Morid has his.
 
morid
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Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Washington Wolfpack. . . . . .. . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 725 . . 131
..2 . . Washington Slashers . . ....... . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 514 . . 141
..3 . . Memphis River Rats. . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 498 . . 193
..4 . . Tennessee Fury . . …... . .….. . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 535 . . 179
..5 . . PTT Villagers. . . . …… . .... . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 357 . . 184
..6 . . Sconnie Badgers . . .. ..… … .. . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 395 . . 181
..7 . . Philadelphia Wolves . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 331 . . 252
..8 . . Buffalo Daggers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 407 . . 250
..9 . . New Orleans Fanboys . . ... . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 303 . . 189
10 . . Lizard Lick Lizard Lickers . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 391 . . 183
11 . . New England Red Celtics . . .. . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 237 . . 382
12 . . Dearborn Bullitt. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 250 . . 412
13 . . Viridian Vanguards . . …..…... . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . 170 . . 435
14 . . Langley Raptors . . . . . . .. . .. . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ..92 . . 786
15 . . Seabrook Energy . . …... ….... . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . 180 . . 532
16 . . Jacksonville Demon Sweat. .... . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..74 . . 989



Rk__Team_________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Richey Royals . . ……….…... . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 756 . . ...103
..2 . . San Diego Demolition . . . . .. . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 517 . . ...171
..3 . . Huskers Illustrated Bugeaters.. . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 663 . . ...198
..4 . . Death Valley Grave Diggers. ... . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 642 . . ...244
..5 . . Mentone Beach Assault. . . .. . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 493 . . ...357
..6 . . Chicago Hedgehogs . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 381 . . ...204
..7 . . Barbarian Horde . . . . . ..... . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 399 . . ...167
..8 . . Oklahoma City Strikers . .. .. .. . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 391 . . ...334
..9 . . Cleveland Elves. . ………. . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 295 . . ...313
10 . . New Brunswick Scarlet Knights. . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 335 . . ...275
11 . . Denver Shockers. . . . …….. . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 288 . . ...392
12 . . Spokane Dream . . …. . .... .. . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 279 . . ...345
13 . . Austin Beavers. . . . . . … . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . 204 . . ...324
14 . . Coos Bay Black Chickens. . .. .. ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 217 . . ...513
15 . . Aurora Seminoles . . …..…. ... . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . 110 . . ...582
16 . . Colorado Ice . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..39 . . 1,453

 
im317
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oh, who are we going to beat?
 
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