Originally posted by excalibur143
GG Air Raid
GG, ya'lls defense toughened up after the initial onslaught for sure.
GG Air Raid
GG, ya'lls defense toughened up after the initial onslaught for sure.
Galithor
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Pretty fantastic that there's 5 teams still in contention for a wildcard spot. Xav, we need you to do the math and break this down for us. What's each team need to happen make the playoffs?
Xavori
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Originally posted by Galithor
Pretty fantastic that there's 5 teams still in contention for a wildcard spot. Xav, we need you to do the math and break this down for us. What's each team need to happen make the playoffs?
This isn't really math so much as just going through what if's with the last two games for each team.
Let's start with the division winners all of whom are locked in. To get the #1 seed:
Air Raid - win both.
Lost Lounge - win both remaining games and Air Raid(+1) loses one.
Glasgow - win both remaining games, Air Raid(+1) and Lost Lounge(+1) lose one
Air Raid has total control as long as they win. However, since they've lost their league games to both Lost Lounge and Glasgow, things get dicey if they lose a game. Glasgow has the worst league record of the three division winners, but holds league victories over both others giving them some leeway with Glasgow but Lost Lounge's tie nearly eliminates that chance of using that tie breaker with them. It's possible for Glasgow to win one and tie one, Air Raid to lose both, and Lost Lounge to lose one for them to get in, but that's a pretty unlikely scenario.
For the wildcard teams, let's start with the easiest and work to hardest:
D2.0 - win their last two games. They split with Detroit, but have the better score differential at 17 to 13.
Detroit - win their last two, D2.0 loses one.
----(Lost Lounge plays both these teams to finish giving us a great deal of influence on who makes it)
Rapper's - win last two. Detroit(-1) loses last two. D2.0 (+1), DADDY (+1), and Twintown (-1) loses at least one.
DADDY - win last two. Detroit(-1), D2.0(-1), and Rapper's(-1) lose both. Twintown(+1) loses one.
Twintown - win last two. Detroit(-1), D2.0(-1), DADDY (-1) lose both. Rapper's lose one.
Technically, D2.0 and Detroit can lose a game and still make it but either of them would need everything else to fall perfectly at that point including having every other wildcard lose at least one as well. D2.0 is the only wildcard team totally in control of its own destiny. If they win their last two, they are in. Twintown and DADDY have no other chance than two win both their games and see three of the four other potential wildcards lose both. Strangely enough, that is possible given that none of the potential wildcards play each other again.
Pretty fantastic that there's 5 teams still in contention for a wildcard spot. Xav, we need you to do the math and break this down for us. What's each team need to happen make the playoffs?
This isn't really math so much as just going through what if's with the last two games for each team.
Let's start with the division winners all of whom are locked in. To get the #1 seed:
Air Raid - win both.
Lost Lounge - win both remaining games and Air Raid(+1) loses one.
Glasgow - win both remaining games, Air Raid(+1) and Lost Lounge(+1) lose one
Air Raid has total control as long as they win. However, since they've lost their league games to both Lost Lounge and Glasgow, things get dicey if they lose a game. Glasgow has the worst league record of the three division winners, but holds league victories over both others giving them some leeway with Glasgow but Lost Lounge's tie nearly eliminates that chance of using that tie breaker with them. It's possible for Glasgow to win one and tie one, Air Raid to lose both, and Lost Lounge to lose one for them to get in, but that's a pretty unlikely scenario.
For the wildcard teams, let's start with the easiest and work to hardest:
D2.0 - win their last two games. They split with Detroit, but have the better score differential at 17 to 13.
Detroit - win their last two, D2.0 loses one.
----(Lost Lounge plays both these teams to finish giving us a great deal of influence on who makes it)
Rapper's - win last two. Detroit(-1) loses last two. D2.0 (+1), DADDY (+1), and Twintown (-1) loses at least one.
DADDY - win last two. Detroit(-1), D2.0(-1), and Rapper's(-1) lose both. Twintown(+1) loses one.
Twintown - win last two. Detroit(-1), D2.0(-1), DADDY (-1) lose both. Rapper's lose one.
Technically, D2.0 and Detroit can lose a game and still make it but either of them would need everything else to fall perfectly at that point including having every other wildcard lose at least one as well. D2.0 is the only wildcard team totally in control of its own destiny. If they win their last two, they are in. Twintown and DADDY have no other chance than two win both their games and see three of the four other potential wildcards lose both. Strangely enough, that is possible given that none of the potential wildcards play each other again.
stareagle
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It's amazing that, as brutal as the Alpha Division is, not only will it produce the wild card, but all four teams are still alive for the playoffs going into week 14.
Galithor
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Originally posted by stareagle
It's amazing that, as brutal as the Alpha Division is, not only will it produce the wild card, but all four teams are still alive for the playoffs going into week 14.
Will be curious to see if we lose any teams other than whichever team folds to merge in the DADDY/Rapper's deal. And as such, who else might Oberon gain in the process next season.
Perhaps with Mars losing Zorp!, they'll lose a few other teams, and we can snag Harrisonburg and Hawaii if Mars folds.
It's amazing that, as brutal as the Alpha Division is, not only will it produce the wild card, but all four teams are still alive for the playoffs going into week 14.
Will be curious to see if we lose any teams other than whichever team folds to merge in the DADDY/Rapper's deal. And as such, who else might Oberon gain in the process next season.
Perhaps with Mars losing Zorp!, they'll lose a few other teams, and we can snag Harrisonburg and Hawaii if Mars folds.
Edited by Galithor on Apr 30, 2014 07:09:34
bhall43
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Originally posted by Galithor
Will be curious to see if we lose any teams other than whichever team folds to merge in the DADDY/Rapper's deal. And as such, who else might Oberon gain in the process next season.
Perhaps with Mars losing Zorp!, they'll lose a few other teams, and we can snag Harrisonburg and Hawaii if Mars folds.
Rappers will be folding so that Alpha Division is stayin legit.
Will be curious to see if we lose any teams other than whichever team folds to merge in the DADDY/Rapper's deal. And as such, who else might Oberon gain in the process next season.
Perhaps with Mars losing Zorp!, they'll lose a few other teams, and we can snag Harrisonburg and Hawaii if Mars folds.
Rappers will be folding so that Alpha Division is stayin legit.
Sardonik00
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Originally posted by Galithor
Will be curious to see if we lose any teams other than whichever team folds to merge in the DADDY/Rapper's deal. And as such, who else might Oberon gain in the process next season.
Perhaps with Mars losing Zorp!, they'll lose a few other teams, and we can snag Harrisonburg and Hawaii if Mars folds.
If that happened, I'd rather that they got split (for purely selfish reasons) one folded into Eris League and one into Oberon. Then you'd have Tampa, Winterfell, Dakside, and Harrisonburg. Oberon would have Lounge, DD, Air Raid, Glasgow, and Hawaii.
Will be curious to see if we lose any teams other than whichever team folds to merge in the DADDY/Rapper's deal. And as such, who else might Oberon gain in the process next season.
Perhaps with Mars losing Zorp!, they'll lose a few other teams, and we can snag Harrisonburg and Hawaii if Mars folds.
If that happened, I'd rather that they got split (for purely selfish reasons) one folded into Eris League and one into Oberon. Then you'd have Tampa, Winterfell, Dakside, and Harrisonburg. Oberon would have Lounge, DD, Air Raid, Glasgow, and Hawaii.
Galithor
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Originally posted by Sardonik00
If that happened, I'd rather that they got split (for purely selfish reasons) one folded into Eris League and one into Oberon. Then you'd have Tampa, Winterfell, Dakside, and Harrisonburg. Oberon would have Lounge, DD, Air Raid, Glasgow, and Hawaii.
Eris should fold too, and also bring good teams to Oberon. Assuming we lose teams to accomodate it all.
If that happened, I'd rather that they got split (for purely selfish reasons) one folded into Eris League and one into Oberon. Then you'd have Tampa, Winterfell, Dakside, and Harrisonburg. Oberon would have Lounge, DD, Air Raid, Glasgow, and Hawaii.
Eris should fold too, and also bring good teams to Oberon. Assuming we lose teams to accomodate it all.
Xavori
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I would haz sad if Vasebreakers came to Oberon. I get great joy watching y'all trying to stop Sieg's offense. It wouldn't be anywhere near as fun if I had to try as well 
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