User Pass
Home Sign Up Contact Log In
Forum > Pro Leagues > World League Ranking/Prediction (Season 35) (Zeta)
Page:
 
ezra_
You pick
offline
Link
 
Thank you for doing these.
 
tlindsey
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by irresistible_force
THE PITCH IS BACK!!!!!!!!

And we end with New Orleans vs the Red Hawks.
I do not have much to say about this game because the issue here is that Miami is just having a rough season. Kick em' when they are down they tell me. But you guys are a great team and definitely WL class material in my book. The Gurupies do care about the other teams..... but not on the Green. Gotta bring what ya got and take what ya get!!!! And You took it. It was not pretty, but it was straight up fair. Does not look like New Orleans tried any trick plays or running one play over and over again.....they just played great dotball!!!! Gotta give them credit. New Orleans.....first class!!! First class!!! And a special shout out is in order..... It takes a long time to make a player and when you do, you just want that one game that stands out. Well 3 ints in a single WL game.....that has to be a record somewhere. Congrats to player Stickum Callihan. Finally got some rolls!!!! GG.



I don't always check the forums, but when I do.........
Great write ups.!!! WOW!!!
 
ezra_
You pick
offline
Link
 
Miami is screwed by chemistry. It's easy to underestimate it.
 
jdbolick
offline
Link
 
irresistible_force 4 WL mod
 
Phoenixstrike
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by irresistible_force

Then to to the Mice vs Wu Personalities.....
I now refer to you as the Adamantium Killer Rats!!!!! Damn that was brutal!!!! BRU - - - TAL!!!!!!! (With 5 syllables). The mice are Pitchin' when they want to be. What did I tell you? What did I say? I said lardaddy is not to be taken lightly!!!! That is what I said. And what???? You took him lightly and now what? You went from a small problem with a few mice to a full infestation. Just put you out!!!!! You are going to have to change personalities or something. 4 in a row. Not good!!! You can get it back!!! Take it out on Venom next game. Prove that your network is better than this!!!! Don't have your back per se but early predictions are in your favor for game 6.


It's because we take our owner so lightly that we're able to have success. Nice write-up.
Edited by Phoenixstrike on Jun 9, 2013 10:22:44
 
DarkRogue
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Phoenixstrike
It's because we take our owner so lightly that we're able to have success. Nice write-up.


My mistake.... I just thought we ignored the fact that he even posts or exists
 
arscola
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by jdbolick
irresistible_force 4 WL mod


+1
 
Link
 
Originally posted by jdbolick
irresistible_force 4 WL mod


 
lardaddy
p upset
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by DarkRogue
My mistake.... I just thought we ignored the fact that he even posts or exists


this is true.
 
Link
 
Standard Predictions for Game 6.


Rnk ..... Off ..... Def .... SoS ........... W-L-T... Team
1.. ........ 9 ........ 1 ........ 0.360 ........ 5-0...... South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice
2.. ........ 2 ........ 8 ........ 0.320 ........ 5-0...... Odessa Mojo
3.. ........ 6 ...... 12 ........ 0.360 ........ 5-0...... Republic of Benin
4.. ...... 14 ........ 2 ........ 0.400 ........ 4-1...... Brazilian Dirty Sanchez
5.. ........ 4 ........ 4 ........ 0.440 ........ 4-1...... Graz Grizzlies
6.. ........ 8 ........ 6 ........ 0.480 ........ 4-1...... Doofenshmirtz Evil Incorporated
7.. ........ 1 ...... 22 ........ 0.280 ........ 4-1...... Ultimate Fighting Championship
8.. ........ 3 ...... 16 ........ 0.480 ........ 3-2...... Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers
9.. ........ 7 ........ 5 ........ 0.440 ........ 3-2...... The Dogs of War
10 ........ 5 ........ 9 ........ 0.480 ........ 3-2...... South Side Mafia
11 ...... 13 ...... 30 ........ 0.520 ........ 3-2...... Coxsackie HOOD Hugos
11 ...... 23 ...... 27 ........ 0.400 ........ 3-2...... E-City Mercenaries
11 ...... 26 ...... 11 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... STEEL City Mafia
11 ...... 24 ...... 18 ........ 0.480 ........ 2-3...... Definition of Insanity
11 ...... 10 ...... 15 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry
11 ...... 12 ...... 23 ........ 0.640 ........ 2-3...... Cincinnati Shockers
11 ...... 25 ........ 7 ........ 0.360 ........ 3-2...... New Orleans Gurupies
11 ...... 29 ...... 10 ........ 0.560 ........ 3-2...... Orlando Prime Timers
11 ...... 11 ...... 26 ........ 0.480 ........ 3-2...... Sunday Funday
11 ...... 15 ........ 3 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... Fire Breathing Rubber Duckies
11 ...... 19 ...... 14 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... Asau Golden Eagles
11 ...... 21 ...... 24 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... La Flama Blanca
11 ...... 20 ...... 21 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... Nairobi Warthogs
11 ...... 16 ...... 20 ........ 0.520 ........ 2-3...... Carthage Clash
11 ...... 22 ...... 25 ........ 0.600 ........ 2-3...... All The King's Royal Men
11 ...... 18 ...... 13 ........ 0.560 ........ 1-4...... Venom Dotball Academy
27 ...... 27 ...... 17 ........ 0.600 ........ 1-4...... OffTopica Miracle
28 ...... 30 ...... 31 ........ 0.640 ........ 1-4...... The Cult of Personalities, Wu!
29 ...... 28 ...... 19 ........ 0.480 ........ 1-4...... District 9 Prawns
30 ...... 17 ...... 28 ........ 0.600 ........ 0-5...... Moose Jaw Roughriders
31 ...... 31 ...... 29 ........ 0.400 ........ 1-4...... Porto People Eaters
32 ...... 32 ...... 32 ........ 0.520 ........ 0-5...... Miami Red Hawks

NEXT WEEK'S MATCHUPS
Exp Score  Matchup
  25 -     9    Brazilian Dirty Sanchez def. OffTopica Miracle
  29 -   24    Graz Grizzlies def. South Side Mafia
  29 -   16    Doofenshmirtz Evil Incorporated def. Definition of Insanity
  53 -   23    Ultimate Fighting Championship def. E-City Mercenaries
  52 -   27    Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers def. Coxsackie HOOD Hugos
  26 -   13    STEEL City Mafia def. Porto People Eaters
  32 -   27    Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry def. Cincinnati Shockers
  25 -   25    District 9 Prawns ties Moose Jaw Roughriders
  30 -     7    South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice def. Nairobi Warthogs
  32 -   25    Odessa Mojo def. The Dogs of War
  25 -   19    Republic of Benin def. New Orleans Gurupies
  31 -   11    Orlando Prime Timers def. Miami Red Hawks
  28 -   17    Fire Breathing Rubber Duckies def. Sunday Funday
  25 -   21    Asau Golden Eagles def. La Flama Blanca
  28 -   22    Carthage Clash def. All The King's Royal Men
  33 -   16    Venom Dotball Academy def. The Cult of Personalities, Wu!
 
Link
 
The Analysis System by Irresistible Force is complete. (AKA....AS_IF)

This new prediction system includes weights on the actual games by predicting some SIM behavior.
This is an attempt to explain the "randomness" that occurs. For Example: The Hogwarts team uses a strategy to win that assumes the SIM has no flaws. It is these flaws, or randomness, in the SIM that introduces an imbalance in the equation of game planning. In the words of the oracle from the matrix, my system attempts to identify that flaw and re-balance the equation. (Pretty deep huh??? I thought so!!!)

First here are our SIM categories that can affect any particular week.
1. Previous Version - this is where an older version of the SIM gets put in bringing back problems of the past
2. Going Outside - this is where the defense does not respond well to the outside runs (can you say pitch, pitch, pitch!!!)
3. Going In - this is where the defense does not respond well to the inside run. (mostly I-Slams!!!)
4. Going Deep - this is where receivers are catching everything even when double or triple covered for 15+ distance passes
5. Short and Sweet - this is where the defense cannot seem to cover screen passes. Just always out of position.
6. Energy Spike - this is where energy loss really does not seem to matter in the game
7. Energy Drain - this is where energy loss has a much higher impact in the game
8. No Stinkin Morale - this is where morale loss is not a big factor in the game
9. Morale Toilet - this is where morale loss is a huge factor in the game
10. Run down the hill - this is where player age, or decline, is not really a factor
11. Walk down the hill - this is where player age, or decline, is a huge factor in the game
12. Hammer Time - this is where players are more prone to miss tackles
13. Tiny Hammer - this is where players are less prone to miss tackles
14. Clear Chemistry - this is where chemistry is removed as a factor in the game
15. SIM Scrub - this is where the sim is allowed to do strange stuff
16. Play Maker - this is where certain plays are selected to work better


Here are the game schedule for season 35................. (We only go 6 games so it is not so much stuff)
Game 1: Clear Chemistry / Run down the Hill
Game one where chemistry will not be a big deal. NO way!!!! Yes way!!!! Also, player decline and age will be less of a factor.
So the big thing is to have your players in the right positions and tested. Older players will perform like the younger ones.


Game 2: SIM Scrub / Run down the Hill
Game two will be a toss up. The Sim will do what it wants. Expect crazy plays. Also, player decline and age will be less of a factor. Put who you want, where you want, and the chances are better they will do more of some of what you want.


Game 3: Previous Version / Tiny Hammer
Game Three will introduce old issues. Also, the run game will be stopped a bit and players will react better. Low scoring. the big backs will be stopped short.


Game 4: No stinkin Morale
Game four will not really penalize the full morale effect of things like sacks, ints, and special teams. So a little more trickery/chance formations can be done without it affecting the game. Things like CB's on full aggressive for intercepts, etc.


Game 5: Play Maker / Going Deep
Game five will see some particular plays made more effective. Which plays to identify is the trick? Also, passes longer than 15 yards.


Game 6: Hammer Time / Morale Toilet
Power back is back!!!! Also morale loss will be a big factor later on in the game.



Predictions for game 6 based on the new system
Odessa Mojo vs. The Dogs of War
The Mojo are undefeated going into game 6 with a consistent trail of dead bodies that got in the way of the steam rolling rushing machine they have become. With the SIM expectation favoring the power back, it seems dim for the dogs. The standard predictions have the game close though because the dogs never give up. I agree that the dogs fight to the bitter end and have an excellent rush defense. It should be close. however, we do believe that the morale factor will be in favor of the dogs though. The question is....will the mojo roller run out of steam before the dogs are done? My experts predict an upset here. Dogs by 2.


Miami Red Hawks vs. Orlando Prime Timers
I wanted to pick the Hawks here but in the last game, the Dildozer has been unleashed. Brought tears to my eyes last game. The standard prediction has the Red Hawks losing by 20. That is a lot. Sorry Miami but the SIM expectation has you guys continuing this streak into this game starting well but going into a morale spiral in the second half. That SUCKS!!!! Prime Timers by 20. Wish it was different. I really do.


Fire Breathing Rubber Duckies vs. Sunday Funday
These two teams are about even coming into this match. We think it will come down to a morale factor. The standard prediction is the Duckies by 11. We think it will be Sunday by 7....with a rally in the 3rd. It may be less considering Sunday is coming out of a 2 game loss. Three would be bad. We will see if we are right about the SIM expectation factor.


Carthage Clash vs. All The King's Royal Men
Carthage is coming to game 6 off a 2 game win streak...but that was following a 3 game loss streak. The King's Men are ready for a win here to put things back on track. The standard prediction says the Clash will win by 6. I am sad to say that my analysis is in confirmation with that prediction. Clash over the King's Men by 6. And we like the King of Bling!!!! Not fair. Something about this prediction is not fair!!!!!


The Cult of Personalities, Wu! vs. Venom Dotball Academy
The Cult is spending big money on this game. Morale will be up along with fan support from the nachos and beer. Last season the home game curse was in effect all season long. This season, it has seemed to have dissipated some. Both these teams need a break. The standard prediction has Venom over Wu by 17. My predictions have the game a bit closer than that. Like by 2 either way. The difference is going to be whether the home field will actually give an advantage to the home team and which team starts the game off to an early lead. What makes this so hard is the fact that WU has had such a hard schedule so far. Makes it hard to predict. So here it is..... Wu by 2....but it is gonna sting!!!!. Sorry Venom.


Nairobi Warthogs vs. South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice
Or should I say Killer Rats. The Mice have been so impressive this season. But the Warthogs took Funday to the Sunday woodshed school of pass defense last game that was EPIC!!! The standard prediction has the mice by 23. My experts agree but to a lesser extent. Mice by 15.


Republic of Benin vs. New Orleans Gurupies
The New Republic of Benin has been impressive. Definitely has shut me up more than twice. The standard prediction has the Republic over New Orleans by 6. But....ME???...go against New Orleans....Hmmmmmm.....That is a tall order. Not that I am biased or anything.....but....I'm just saying.....this is a tough spot.... The Analysis, no matter how many times I ran the numbers; many different ways; or when I ran the numbers; or which machine; or the re-calculation..... Well, for the record, Benin by 13. But I do not believe it and I hope the Gurupies kick your butts you arrogant bastards!!!!!! But I digress....... Good Luck.


Asau Golden Eagles vs. La Flama Blanca
The standard prediction has this game close. Asau by 4 it says. My analysis is in agreement that the game will be close. The problem is that Asau has not been as consistent as we had expected. We will go with the standard prediction as we cannot get the Asau game 2 "shee-lack-ing" out of our heads. Asau by 6.


Good Luck everyone!!!!!!
Game Face
Edited by irresistible_force on Jun 10, 2013 16:19:29
Edited by irresistible_force on Jun 10, 2013 16:11:05
Edited by irresistible_force on Jun 10, 2013 16:09:08
Edited by irresistible_force on Jun 10, 2013 16:08:21
Edited by irresistible_force on Jun 10, 2013 16:06:59
 
jdbolick
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by Spread-em offense
Originally posted by jdbolick

irresistible_force 4 WL mod




 
foshizzel17
my drizzt
offline
Link
 
that is a lotta words
 
Link
 
Foshizzel!!! Foshizzel!!!
 
JT_HOOD
HOOD
offline
Link
 
Originally posted by jdbolick
Originally posted by Spread-em offense

Originally posted by jdbolick


irresistible_force 4 WL mod






 
Page:
 


You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.