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wsdp
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I should state that I have a player on the Blaze... that said, nobody is touching Valhalla. That may be the most dominant team I've seen on GLB (don't look at our lolscrim, they ran some goofy test AI and still beat us)
 
sckbleh
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Originally posted by g-bay-be
you do realize thats not actually how you calculate the odds and statistics. and even if it was the house would never have a 100% payout rate...


STFU about things you're clueless about.

Yes, that's exactly how you calculate the odds and statistics.

He didn't say he was listing betting lines, he said he was listing the teams' odds of winning. Obviously if he was listing vegas-style betting lines they would add up to over 100% so there would be a house edge.

 
xcoach2
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I'll take the team with the only two WL titles over a pile of "paper champions." Hali in the playoffs imo.
Edited by xcoach2 on Dec 31, 2009 19:42:10
 
bhall43
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Originally posted by w_alloy
MoD 29%
Blaze 17%
Valhalla 14%
MPHD 12%
Hali 12%
TKW 11%
Lincoln 5%

I don't think previous guesses have factored in MoD's conference advantage enough.


I think if I factored in the degree of difficulty between conferences...mine would look something like this...

MoD 28%
Blaze 22%
Valhalla 18%
Hali 13%
TKW 12%
Lincoln 10%
MPHD 7%
 
w_alloy
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Originally posted by wsdp
I should state that I have a player on the Blaze... that said, nobody is touching Valhalla. That may be the most dominant team I've seen on GLB (don't look at our lolscrim, they ran some goofy test AI and still beat us)


Thanks, I wish I agreed with you For the record, we played EBK the game before that scrim and I forgot to change the blowout AI. It is an ugly AI in a real game.

I do think we are higher than the 14% I gave us above, but I was trying to be objective. We have a few things going for us that people might not notice. First, we still will get better before the postseason. We have over 60 mil of lvl 64 upgrades we are going to buy before playoffs plus a number of players will level up before then. Combine this with the decline that some teams are facing and we should gain significant ground between now and day 40. Second, I think we are one of the better balanced teams going right now. There are some other great balanced teams also, so we aren't alone in this, but I think that in this current sim it's a pretty big advantage.
 
Dpride59
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Originally posted by w_alloy


I don't think previous guesses have factored in MoD's conference advantage enough.

I don't think mod is good enough for 4th place in the other conference

Edited by David Stern on Dec 31, 2009 20:36:36
 
head1
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Blaze vs MoD in the final. Super Mergers ftw. Hali didnt have anyone to merge with them this season so they dont get the hat trick.
 
HEY YOU GUYS
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Originally posted by sckbleh
STFU about things you're clueless about.

Yes, that's exactly how you calculate the odds and statistics.

He didn't say he was listing betting lines, he said he was listing the teams' odds of winning. Obviously if he was listing vegas-style betting lines they would add up to over 100% so there would be a house edge.



You are an idiot if you think I wasn't doing betting lines.
 
HEY YOU GUYS
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Originally posted by wsdp
I should state that I have a player on the Blaze... that said, nobody is touching Valhalla. That may be the most dominant team I've seen on GLB (don't look at our lolscrim, they ran some goofy test AI and still beat us)


Next season is Valhalla's
 
crazy454
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Originally posted by Phil Jackson
Next season is Valhalla's


TBH MoD will be hitting their peak at the same time.
 
VietCampo
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Originally posted by Gart888
50% chance Halifax win the league ship. either we do, or we don't.


I like these numbers.

They make the most sense.
 
StoutOne
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Originally posted by sckbleh
Originally posted by g-bay-be

you do realize thats not actually how you calculate the odds and statistics. and even if it was the house would never have a 100% payout rate...


STFU about things you're clueless about.

Yes, that's exactly how you calculate the odds and statistics.

He didn't say he was listing betting lines, he said he was listing the teams' odds of winning. Obviously if he was listing vegas-style betting lines they would add up to over 100% so there would be a house edge.



Going over 100% wouldn't be a house edge, wtf are you talking about?

Learn the game laddie.
 
maizenhops
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Originally posted by David Stern
Originally posted by w_alloy



I don't think previous guesses have factored in MoD's conference advantage enough.

I don't think mod is good enough for 4th place in the other conference



 
crazy454
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Originally posted by kalkmanc


I typed and edited around 5 responses to that.
 
MC_Hammer
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Originally posted by MC_Hammer
my gut is telling me Valhalla, but the smart money is still on Hali


Original prediction still looking good, even though it is still lolregularseason
 
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