There are all sorts of crazy tiebreak scenarios - NO ONE is out.
Look at:
Lincoln, Feebs, Blaze, Krung, MJ, and Cinci all win
#4 blaze, #5 Monowi, #6-#8 is Lincoln/Cinci/MooseJaw based on points against, and #9 is Carthage.
Even if you give Carthage the win instead of the Feebs,
Blaze, Krung, MJ, Cinci (assuming lincoln and carthage too)
#4 blaze, #5 Carthage, #6-#7 Lincoln/Monowi (points allowed), #8-#9 Cinci/MooseJaw (points allowed)
Ugh, Moose Jaw could be out even if they win? Cinci has a decent lead in points allowed.