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Cerneo
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Allen Zephyrs vs. Dallas Horns West 21-14 Horns

Following the win over Sphere you have to like the Horns here today over winless Zephyrs

D.C. Sonics vs. Chicago "MB" Bears West 34-6 Bears

DC will simply be outclassed today. MB was sick in the game with the Roughnecks and its clear they are a strong team.

Tallahassee Seminoles vs. Los Angeles Sharks West 24-7 Tallahassee

Tallahassee should have little trouble getting a fifth win.

Omaha Mavericks vs. K-Town Hates Phil West 24-10 Omaha

Got to like Omaha in this one, they seem to have everyones number for the moment.

Texas Roughnecks vs. The Real Austin Longhorns West 24-10

Roughnecks pick up a win over the seemingly bipolar Real Austin.

Austin Longhorns vs. Dallas Death West 16-7 Death

Death moves to 2-4 today.

Caribbean Sphere vs. San Francisco Stonecutters West 17-10 Sphere

Why damnit why. Sphere wins today or everyone gets cut.

Houston Orangebloods vs. Oklahoma City Outlaws West 26-17 Orangebloods

Orangebloods keep moving today with a win over the sad Outlaws.

French Lick Dirty Whorns vs. West Bend Warlocks East 17-6 Whorns

I like the Whorns here to kill off the rest of the Warlocks season.

Cleveland Greyhounds vs. Miami Sharks East 14-7 Sharks

Quick someone change the channel.

Colorado Storm vs. Columbus Spartans East 27-17 Storm

Bah! These teams are dead to me…oh well go Storm.

Chicago LMG vs. D.C. Warriors East 19-14 LMG

After getting slapped in the battle of the Chicagos LMG needs to wake up with a win over DC today.

New Jersey Vikings vs. Chicago CBMB Bears East 24-7 CBMB

CBMB…duh.

Minnesota Drillers vs. Pennsylvania Lions East 27-14 Drillers

Drillers roll, again…someone good play them please.

Orlando Pirates vs. Care Bears East 21-20 Pirates

Ah game of the day here. I got to lean to the Pirates here, playing at home and they seem to be in control of the East.

NEW YORK STEEL-HEADS vs. Chicago Grizzlies East 26-17 Grizzlies

Grizzlies hand the Steelheads a loss today.

Well there we go…seems like I do this every other day..oh wait.
Last edited May 6, 2008 10:58:02
 
Whatsdafus
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Power rankings?
 
Cerneo
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Originally posted by Whatsdafus
Power rankings?


I hate you.
 
Whatsdafus
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LMAO
 
Whatsdafus
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Come on Cerneo, you beat GTA 4, whatelse you got to do? Here i will even help you out some. i seen this power rankings post and the way it was done... Beautiful!!

Try setting it up like this....
Last edited May 6, 2008 05:21:10
 
bob_tomato
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Not sure that the Sharks will get into the end zone tonight... but I think the kicker will get us a few more points - I'm calling it 24 - 12 Tallahassee
 
Whatsdafus
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http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=175888

do something like this setup for power rankings
Last edited May 6, 2008 06:02:29
 
Cerneo
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Originally posted by Whatsdafus


do something like this setup for power rankings


No, if I am going to do it I am going to do it right. I just have not had time. A poster from a board I go to came up with a math formula to get it all:

Next, using the scaled player ratings, I give each team a separate rating in pass offense, rush offense, pass defense, and rush defense, using weighted averages of the players' relative importance to that aspect of the game. These are the crude formulas I'm using:

Pass Offense: (QB + (WR1 + WR2)/2 + TE/5 + (OL AVG)/2)/2.7
Rush Offense: (HB + FB/5 + (OL AVG))/2.2
Pass Defense: (CB1 + CB2 + (S AVG) + (DE AVG)*.75 + (LB AVG)/2)/4.25
Rush Defense: ((DT AVG) + (DE AVG)/2 + (LB AVG))/2.5

Then, I average the pass and run numbers together to get overall Offense and Defense rankings, and finally I average these numbers together to give the team its final Overall Power Ranking.

Adjustments: The power ranking is obviously not perfect. It will change each week as rosters change and players level up, but it also has systematic flaws that will get exposed when teams are "upset" by lower rated teams. To adjust for these upsets, any team that defeats a higher rated team (based on roster ratings AT GAME TIME) will receive an "upset bonus" equal to the difference in roster ratings. The higher rated team will receive an equal "upset penalty". These bonuses and penalties will be capped at 5-10, I'm not sure yet. Teams that are overrated in the roster ratings (because they lack depth, or their starters are poorly built and perform below their level, or because of poor game planning and tactics, or whatever other reason) will see their ranking drop, even as their roster rating remains high, as they lose games they "shouldn't" have. Underrated teams, with positive intangibles, will similarly see their ranking rise.

Power Ranking Formula.


Problem is it would take at least and hour or two to punch it all into a spread sheet. But if someone wants to go for it, its all yours. I asked and got the ok to use the system.
Last edited May 6, 2008 05:58:50
 
Coriantumr
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I think Cerneo is doing good enough with the predictions, but would be cool to see.
 
Whatsdafus
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If i had Excel on this pc i would but thats tight.
 
Whatsdafus
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Last edited May 6, 2008 06:25:50
 
bob_tomato
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Originally posted by Cerneo


--SNIPPED: Power Rankings formulas and comments.


Question: Am I correct in assuming that the numbers to be plugged into the formulas are simply each player's current Level?

 
Whatsdafus
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Originally posted by bob_tomato
Originally posted by Cerneo



--SNIPPED: Power Rankings formulas and comments.


Question: Am I correct in assuming that the numbers to be plugged into the formulas are simply each player's current Level?



thats what i believe. i looked up the guy who uses this formula and he is almost 80% dead on with his predictions using it.

Pass Offense: (QB + (WR1 + WR2)/2 + TE/5 + (OL AVG)/2)/2.7
- Pass Offense: (13 + (13 + 13)/2 + 12/5 + (12.6)/2)/2.7
Rush Offense: (HB + FB/5 + (OL AVG))/2.2
- Rush Offense: (12 + 12/5 + (12.6))/2.2
Pass Defense: (CB1 + CB2 + (S AVG) + (DE AVG)*.75 + (LB AVG)/2)/4.25
- Pass Defense: (12 + 12 + (12.5) + (12)*.75 + (12.33)/2)/4.25
Rush Defense: ((DT AVG) + (DE AVG)/2 + (LB AVG))/2.5
- Rush Defense: ((12) + (12)/2 + (12.33))/2.5
Last edited May 6, 2008 07:30:31
 
Whatsdafus
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dont have excel or a sci calc on me to do the math pen and paper it is.... lol
 
Whatsdafus
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Pass offense is rated 12.85
Rush Offense is rated 12.27
Pass Defense is rated 12.15
Rush Defense is rated 12.13

and that is the ratings he would use for a team

so then he combines the #'s

Pass offense + Rush Offense = Offensive rank.
Pass Defense + Rush Defense = Defensive rank.

12.85 + 12.27 = 25.12 offensive rank.
12.15 + 12.13 = 24.28 defensive rank.

Then to get a teams final ranking you do

Offensive rank + Defensive rank = Overall ranking.

25.12 + 24.28 = 49.4

Now im not 100% im correct, but i think this is the jist of the system. Only issue i have with this formula is that it only ranks you on your starters. maybe if we had a math guy who does stats come in and factor depth... maybe make their worth 50% since they tend to play less. would make the rankings more real instead of based on your starters.
Last edited May 6, 2008 07:42:18
 
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