Warrior General Games

Originally posted by Absolut Zero
Oooo, ballsy call Mr. High Scoring Extravaganza. Going with a 2-2 Tie. We both get safeties.

GG, was fun to watch, and you had a lot more offense than you got credit for

Originally posted by AirMcMVP
Statistically speaking, 5 interceptions over 15 games is a statistical anomaly. It was bound to "catch up with her."

That's not how probability works. A streak of "good luck" does not make a streak of "bad luck" more probable. No matter what happened in the past, the distribution of outcomes for remaining games remains the same.

The fact that Candice had a good start to the season does not influence the rest of her season at all. She should perform averagely no matter what. In fact, a lucky start means she should finish the season with better than expected numbers, because those games are in the bank and you should still expect average games going forward.

That said, TDiddy should take from this that the recent performance indicates that Candice was "lucky" early on, rather than performing to potential early and suddenly sucking. Also, the fact that Candice is doing relatively badly at the moment means nothing for the next game. TDiddy should still expect an average performance from her.

The human instinct to look for patterns won't help him accept that though.

Originally posted by Cuivienen
That's not how probability works. A streak of "good luck" does not make a streak of "bad luck" more probable. No matter what happened in the past, the distribution of outcomes for remaining games remains the same.

This is correct. What may be the case for Candice is that her distribution range is larger than Saul's for example. So while the point above is correct, understanding it fully requires an understanding of distributions. It's a significance thing. As such her normal mean for INTs was much higher than her experienced number early this season, it's just that TDiddy didn't recognize that and thus is surprised at her current results. Not a knock, no one would think that with the data sample that existed early this season.

Belgarath just had a 4 INT game. I'd like to think it was a severe aberration but if you include last season's Vet, he's now had several 3+ pick games. So going forward there's going to be 2-3 games a season where I should expect a 3-5 pick game. The data is in.

Originally posted by Cuivienen
That's not how probability works. A streak of "good luck" does not make a streak of "bad luck" more probable. No matter what happened in the past, the distribution of outcomes for remaining games remains the same.

I put it in quotes to point out that it wasn't a causal relationship, but instead anecdotal. That is especially true in an environment like this where the environment isn't controlled.

As bhall pointed out, she hadn't thrown many picks early on so maybe future teams decided to do something different than those who were doing stuff that didn't work. Adjustments affect statistical projections and, in this case, that "caught up with" her.

NAH NAH NAH NAH NAH NAH NAW GETTIN' DIDDY WIT IT

Originally posted by Xars
This is correct. What may be the case for Candice is that her distribution range is larger than Saul's for example. So while the point above is correct, understanding it fully requires an understanding of distributions. It's a significance thing. As such her normal mean for INTs was much higher than her experienced number early this season, it's just that TDiddy didn't recognize that and thus is surprised at her current results. Not a knock, no one would think that with the data sample that existed early this season.

Belgarath just had a 4 INT game. I'd like to think it was a severe aberration but if you include last season's Vet, he's now had several 3+ pick games. So going forward there's going to be 2-3 games a season where I should expect a 3-5 pick game. The data is in.

I wonder how Pass Con stacks up between those three builds.

Originally posted by Cuivienen
I wonder how Pass Con stacks up between those three builds.


Rich is sitting at 80

Belgarath at 85

Originally posted by Cuivienen
I wonder how Pass Con stacks up between those three builds.


Saul and Candice both at 70 I believe

Originally posted by TDiddy8701
Yea, it really now looks like the winner of Hydrogen will finish #1 (unless it's Whoville).

-GA losing to Southside pretty much knocked them out of #1 contention
-BME has a shot at #1 if they beat Madison in ladder, AND Whoville wins Hydro

welp, looks like BME is out of #1 contention

pretty much only comes down to the winner of Hydro at this point, assuming no CRAZY upsets in ladder

So we've seen that a QB can excel with 70 pass con. We've seen another QB excel with a mere 30 pass awr. 50-60 seems to be the ideal range for power. Now let's build a QB that can hit those marks and just dump the rest of our points into pass tech, pass acc, heart and leadership.

Hmm, pass con probably doesn't effect it then. Maybe acc.

fwiw Candices pocket awareness is 22, so that doesn't have much impact either I don't think.

pass tech/acc for candice are both 90+

if I'm playing GLB2 long enough to make another S* QB, my next QB will finish with 100 acc/tech

Originally posted by TDiddy8701


if I'm playing GLB2 long enough to make another S* QB, my next QB will finish with 100 acc/tech

I plan on playing at least another 10 years or when another NCAA Football game comes out.

A decent round of games:

DA vs Richmond (Round 2)
MEM vs FSM
GA vs Hub City
Logzilla vs Bronx