Originally posted by NiborRis
Caveat: I put these together while putting the kids to bed, there could be horrific errors.
Alpha:
Week 15 Update: Jebs in with win over Korb.
Zeta:
Week 15 Update: Coming later tonight. Not much resolved.
Short version: Anyone with 9 wins - win and you're in. Lose and you're going to either be out cold or in the tiebreaker mess, depending.
Indy - Hope for miracle tiebreakers.
Assuming D9/Syracuse/Mentone/RIRW/Cop/WWR don't beat any playoff hopefuls (big assumption, they've stolen some wins) here's how it shakes out:
MJ: 12-4, in
Osaka: 10-5, game against ESL
Buda: 9-5, games against Blaze/Navigators
Navs: 9-6, game against Buda
Blaze: 9-6, game against Buda
Hali: 9-6, game against MPHD
Indy: 9-7
so Osaka, Buda, Navs, Blaze, Hali, Indi playing for 4 spots. Osaka beating Syracuse and getting to 10 wins locks them in.
If everyone wins out, then how the Buda games play out determine who goes home.
Navs win, Blaze lose: Blaze/Indy go home
Navs win, Blaze win: Buda/Indy go home
Navs lose, Blaze lose: Indy/Blaze go home
Navs lose, Blaze win: Navs/Indy go home
If Hali loses, then they are in the 9-7 tie. Same Buda game scenarios as above:
Navs win, Blaze lose: Blaze/Indy/Hali points against leader makes it, other two go home
Navs win, Blaze win: Indy/Hali go home
Navs lose, Blaze lose: Navs make it, Blaze/Indy/hali points against leader makes it
Navs lose, Blaze win: Indy/Hali go home
Prediction: I only see Indianapolis making it if they gain about 70 points in the points allowed column. Looks like probably Hali/Indy both going to miss, but if Hali can beat MPHD they can stay. Bottom line: Hali/Indy are out.
Blaze won, so those are the 4 scenarios I think.