Warrior General Games

Looks like Cimmeria defeated Uluru. Assuming Uluru does not upset one of their next two opponents, there's going to be a pile-up at 8-8 for the 8th seed and maybe the 7th, too.

Contender 1 - the Chinese Bandits get there by winning 1 of their last 2, Fuego and Moai. Both are close fights, so law of averages says they finish 8-8, but 9-7 or 7-9 are completely possible. Tiebreak+ Coney, Tiebreak- Cimmeria, Uluru

Contender 2 - the Uluru Rockies had control of their destinies and let it slip away. Well, assuming they can't defeat Tonga or Molokai. Fortunately for them, they have favorable tiebreaks and will get in with the most likely matchups. For them to miss out, Coney needs to get in (see below) or the Bandits make 9-7.Tiebreak+ Coney, Chinese, Tiebreak- Cimmeria

Contender 3 - the Cimmerian Barbarians have all but locked up a .500 season, playing a pair of 0-fers in the last two games. Favorable tiebreaks mean they're bound for the post season as long as Uluru and Coney don't pull off big upsets of anyone. Tiebreak+ Uluru, Chinese, Tiebreak- Coney

Contender 4 - Coney Island is in deep, deep trouble. While week 16 is a breeze, week 15 is against title contender Christchurch. Coney simply must win both games. Even that isn't necessarily enough. Poor head to head tiebreaks leave them on the outside looking in regardless of a 2 or 4-way tie at 8-8. Their sole mathematical chance is for the Chinese to win both or lose both (thus preventing a 4-way tie) and tie it up with Uluru and Cimmeria at 8-8. The round robin tiebreak nullifies their poor head to head performance and nabs them the last spot on the basis of points scored (assuming Cimmeria can't make up 100 points of ground in 2 games against gutted teams). Now how's that for slim hopes?

Wow that is a mess. I remember all to well being in that part of the standing last year.

I don't know what was harding figuring out the tie breakers and point scored or coming up with a game plan to get us in teh playoffs.

So good luck to all the teams involved. I guess we will see some of you in the playoffs.

ME

That's some great analysis, Sarg. Man, it's a train wreck for spots #7 and #8 now.

Why couldn't Uluru just take care of business and make this as easy as I had in the top of my original predition?

Originally posted by beouf
Originally posted by Lotsa Stickem

yes, good luck to you too! Last yr seems all too familiar at this point...COney beat us, and left our playoff chances in the dust. hopefully we can keep our chances going in a few hours...should be GOTW in my opinion

oooohhhhhhh, hold up. lets not jinx ourselves and call this GOTW. we didn't do to well last time!

no gris gris allowed on our team

Originally posted by cdcollins
That's some great analysis, Sarg. Man, it's a train wreck for spots #7 and #8 now.

Why couldn't Uluru just take care of business and make this as easy as I had in the top of my original predition?

Hey we tried, actually wait.. no we didnt.. we just rolled over and played dead... I think my team were getting nosebleeds for being so high up in the conference standings.

Oh well, we can always go and beat the lavastorm.. hmm...

Originally posted by Sarg01
Looks like Cimmeria defeated Uluru. Assuming Uluru does not upset one of their next two opponents, there's going to be a pile-up at 8-8 for the 8th seed and maybe the 7th, too.

Contender 1 - the Chinese Bandits get there by winning 1 of their last 2, Fuego and Moai. Both are close fights, so law of averages says they finish 8-8, but 9-7 or 7-9 are completely possible. Tiebreak+ Coney, Tiebreak- Cimmeria, Uluru

Contender 2 - the Uluru Rockies had control of their destinies and let it slip away. Well, assuming they can't defeat Tonga or Molokai. Fortunately for them, they have favorable tiebreaks and will get in with the most likely matchups. For them to miss out, Coney needs to get in (see below) or the Bandits make 9-7.Tiebreak+ Coney, Chinese, Tiebreak- Cimmeria

Contender 3 - the Cimmerian Barbarians have all but locked up a .500 season, playing a pair of 0-fers in the last two games. Favorable tiebreaks mean they're bound for the post season as long as Uluru and Coney don't pull off big upsets of anyone. Tiebreak+ Uluru, Chinese, Tiebreak- Coney

Contender 4 - Coney Island is in deep, deep trouble. While week 16 is a breeze, week 15 is against title contender Christchurch. Coney simply must win both games. Even that isn't necessarily enough. Poor head to head tiebreaks leave them on the outside looking in regardless of a 2 or 4-way tie at 8-8. Their sole mathematical chance is for the Chinese to win both or lose both (thus preventing a 4-way tie) and tie it up with Uluru and Cimmeria at 8-8. The round robin tiebreak nullifies their poor head to head performance and nabs them the last spot on the basis of points scored (assuming Cimmeria can't make up 100 points of ground in 2 games against gutted teams). Now how's that for slim hopes?

Hmm. Well we were gonna get some playing time in for some backups, but we gotta make up 100+ points....

Time to go to work.

GG Uluru. I was obsessing on this game ever since Sarg said it was the one we HAD to win in order to get in about three weeks ago.

GG Tonga, a few plays the other direction and we might have had the victory. I was certainly on the edge of my seat most of the game. Looking forward to a rematch in a few weeks, hopefully we can muster another solid game plan....

GG Tonga. If only Scipio could locate his passes better and Dux could make a tackle. Looking forward to next time.