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Forum > USA A Leagues > USA A #6 > Season 4 League Projector Projected Standings
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opspearhead
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Originally posted by Albert Harrison
I don't see Arlington going undefeated. I think either the Slashers will maim them, or they'll fall to a boosted Barbarian Horde team in week 16. Perhaps both.

The Celtics are a better team than 8-8, at least from what I've observed. No offense to LLLL, but I don't see them with only two losses over the remainder of the season. PT Villagers are at least a .500 team.

The Hedgehogs certainly have been impressive over in the West this season. We played them twice during the offseason. Though both teams were experimenting, I can say they definitely have a good team. I just don't see 16-0 for them either. Maybe 15-1 or 14-2. I could see Demolition running the table, as they are dominating their opponents this season. If I were a betting man, I'd put money on them.


It just goes to show how impressive that run by Richey was last season. Going undefeated is a big achievement in either conference.

I agree with you about the Celtics. They are obviously a much improved team this season. The League Projector doesn't really hit its stride until past mid season from what I remember in Season 3. By that time maybe we will have more of an idea. It is fun to play "what if" though.

 
Mstr_October
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It had us similarly projected last season after our first 6 games. We were 3-3 after losses to Washington, Washington, and Tennessee...of course we then went on to a 13-3 record . I dunno, maybe this will be the season that we lose all the close ones...kinda like the overtime game we lost to PTT last game after losing 4 fumbles, ack!
 
kurieg
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Originally posted by Mstr_October
It had us similarly projected last season after our first 6 games. We were 3-3 after losses to Washington, Washington, and Tennessee...of course we then went on to a 13-3 record . I dunno, maybe this will be the season that we lose all the close ones...kinda like the overtime game we lost to PTT last game after losing 4 fumbles, ack!


PTT's a tough team.

Like Flower!

I kill me!

(They are a tough team... that name and avatar crack me up for some reason)
Last edited Aug 11, 2008 06:47:09
 
tyante
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I'd love to finish with a 13-3 record. I don't see that happening though, maybe 12-4 if things fall into place for us. That would take some work though. Last season, this thing was pretty good at predicting our league as well. It isn't spot on, but gives a good idea. Thanks for posting it.
 
AirMcMVP
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Originally posted by tyante
I'd love to finish with a 13-3 record. I don't see that happening though, maybe 12-4 if things fall into place for us. That would take some work though. Last season, this thing was pretty good at predicting our league as well. It isn't spot on, but gives a good idea. Thanks for posting it.


I'll keep it up, maybe after every 2-4 games. If anyone wants an update, ask and I'll post it.
 
AirMcMVP
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Revised after Week 8

East

Arlington Avengers 16-0
Washington Slashers 15-1
Tennessee Fury 14-2
Memphis River Rats 12-4
New Orleans Fanboys 12-4
Lizard Lick Lizard Lickers 9-7
Philadelphia Wolves 9-7
Sconnie Badgers 9-7
PTT Villagers 9-7
New England Red Celtics 6-10
Dearborn Bullitt 6-10
Viridian Vanguards 5-11
Buffalo Daggers 4-12
Seabrook Energy 2-14
Full Moon Blue Wolf 1-15
Tecmo All Stars 0-16

West
Chicago Hedgehogs 16-0
Tana River Ewoks 14-2
Huskers Illustrated Bugeaters 14-2
San Diego Demolition 13-3
Barbarian Horde 12-4
Mentone Beach Assault 11-5
Oklahoma City Strikers 10-6
Albuquerque Isotopes 10-6
Death Valley Grave Diggers 8-8
Cleveland Elves 5-11
Austin Beavers 5-11
Lake Placid Predators 5-11
Denver Shockers 4-12
Brooklyn Beastmen 2-14
Hellas Longhorns 1-15
Big Bear Avalanche 0-16

Keep in mind, the projector does not handle the interleague game well, so all predictions are +/- one win, especially for teams with evenly matched interleague games.

 
Sting
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Originally posted by AirMcMVP
Revised after Week 8

West
Tana River Ewoks 14-2



They've already lost 4 :oP
 
AirMcMVP
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Hmm...I'll have to see what's up with that. Probably my fault.
 
kurieg
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It's just a comparative analysis spreadsheet and doesn't know anything about real scoring in football...

Let me get my 5 year old to explain it to you....
















She says "The spreadsheet's fucked up, Dad."

 
mpowell
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I don't see the Horde losing 4. We'd have to lose to Chicago, HI and the Avengers. I think the better bet is that we pull out at least one of those and the only other game to worry about on our schedule is the Ewoks. I think we'll probably win that one, too. One problem with this is that we try to avoid big blowouts so our score differential against weaker opponents is a little lower than it could be.
 
morid
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Originally posted by kurieg
It's just a comparative analysis spreadsheet and doesn't know anything about real scoring in football...

Let me get my 5 year old to explain it to you....
















She says "The spreadsheet's fucked up, Dad."



Don't start this debate again! Actually if it has the wrong W/L's it is normally a data entry error.
 
AirMcMVP
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I messed up one score for the Ewoks and (somehow) forgot to update the West before posting projections.

I'll get the west updated tonight and repost.
 
kurieg
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Thanks for posting this stuff this season, Air, btw.

Originally posted by
One problem with this is that we try to avoid big blowouts so our score differential against weaker opponents is a little lower than it could be.


Yes.
 
ghost247
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Originally posted by mpowell
One problem with this is that we try to avoid big blowouts so our score differential against weaker opponents is a little lower than it could be.


Our team does that a bit as well. I think in about 3 of our wins we ended the game deep in their side of the field.
Last edited Aug 18, 2008 15:02:17
 
morid
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Originally posted by mpowell

One problem with this is that we try to avoid big blowouts so our score differential against weaker opponents is a little lower than it could be.



I think this new change will affect the formula for the projections. I think it will cause an issue with the "Perfect" Spreadheet!
 
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