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lukin83
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Originally posted by Rodhands
Originally posted by Ballbright

For cryinf out loud do none of you read???????


The "95%" NUMBER YOU ALL KEEP BANDYING ABOUT IS NOT YOU CHANCES OF LOSING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


It is how confident I am in the numbers out to the thrid standard deviation from the mean. Your team boosted after I made the projections rendering the numbers rather pointless anyway. If you hadn't boosted, you would've been beat. Even with the boosting, and a huge talent advantage you still barely won...

congrats on that...


^ did u not read what i just posted? oopsey daisy


You are failing to realize what the numbers would have looked like if he had waited until after seeing your boosts. Maybe Scranton still would have been the underdog, but I am certain that Ballbright's confidence level would have taken a hit.
 
Rodhands
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Originally posted by Havoc
Originally posted by Ballbright

you guys have a massive talent gap on Fiji,


??


yeah Havoc apparently your game plan was appalling and we should of destroyed Fiji by 40 points :O

but then that 66% chance of Fiji winning backed up by a confidence level of 95% sure didnt seem to think so
 
Ballbright
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Originally posted by lukin83

You are failing to realize what the numbers would have looked like if he had waited until after seeing your boosts. Maybe Scranton still would have been the underdog, but I am certain that Ballbright's confidence level would have taken a hit.


It would have..a huge one...especially since GLB wide Bort has said that teams rated 3 points below another team have about a 10% chance of being able to win.
 
Ballbright
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Originally posted by Rodhands

yeah Havoc apparently your game plan was appalling and we should of destroyed Fiji by 40 points :O

but then that 66% chance of Fiji winning backed up by a confidence level of 95% sure didnt seem to think so


No, but reference my above post about talent gaps in over all teams
 
Rodhands
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Originally posted by Ballbright
Originally posted by lukin83


You are failing to realize what the numbers would have looked like if he had waited until after seeing your boosts. Maybe Scranton still would have been the underdog, but I am certain that Ballbright's confidence level would have taken a hit.


It would have..a huge one...especially since GLB wide Bort has said that teams rated 3 points below another team have about a 10% chance of being able to win.


by that token we have a 90% chance of winning our next game...
 
Chetro
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Originally posted by Ballbright
For cryinf out loud do none of you read???????


The "95%" NUMBER YOU ALL KEEP BANDYING ABOUT IS NOT YOU CHANCES OF LOSING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


It is how confident I am in the numbers out to the thrid standard deviation from the mean. Your team boosted after I made the projections rendering the numbers rather pointless anyway. If you hadn't boosted, you would've been beat. Even with the boosting, and a huge talent advantage you still barely won...

congrats on that...



I think the point that they're tyring to make though is that you're walking around here trying to smash Scranton (or doing in inadvertently) by saying we should have beaten them by more than 4. That just makes you look like a jackass though because a day ago (or whenever it was posted) you said you were 95% confident we would lose. Now you're bashing us because we didn't blow them out?
 
Ballbright
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Originally posted by Rodhands
Originally posted by Ballbright

Originally posted by lukin83



You are failing to realize what the numbers would have looked like if he had waited until after seeing your boosts. Maybe Scranton still would have been the underdog, but I am certain that Ballbright's confidence level would have taken a hit.


It would have..a huge one...especially since GLB wide Bort has said that teams rated 3 points below another team have about a 10% chance of being able to win.


by that token we have a 90% chance of winning our next game...


Yes, you do...
 
Ballbright
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Originally posted by Chetro
Originally posted by Ballbright

For cryinf out loud do none of you read???????


The "95%" NUMBER YOU ALL KEEP BANDYING ABOUT IS NOT YOU CHANCES OF LOSING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


It is how confident I am in the numbers out to the thrid standard deviation from the mean. Your team boosted after I made the projections rendering the numbers rather pointless anyway. If you hadn't boosted, you would've been beat. Even with the boosting, and a huge talent advantage you still barely won...

congrats on that...



I think the point that they're tyring to make though is that you're walking around here trying to smash Scranton (or doing in inadvertently) by saying we should have beaten them by more than 4. That just makes you look like a jackass though because a day ago (or whenever it was posted) you said you were 95% confident we would lose. Now you're bashing us because we didn't blow them out?


Again, read first before responding...you'd note that I said my numbers were moot anyway because Scranton boosted AFTER I made the predictions. Goes to show what trying to get a jump on things can do...

I'm not trying to "bash" Scranton. I';m just setting the record straight for a few misguided fools.
 
Rodhands
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Originally posted by Ballbright
Originally posted by Rodhands

Originally posted by Ballbright


Originally posted by lukin83




You are failing to realize what the numbers would have looked like if he had waited until after seeing your boosts. Maybe Scranton still would have been the underdog, but I am certain that Ballbright's confidence level would have taken a hit.


It would have..a huge one...especially since GLB wide Bort has said that teams rated 3 points below another team have about a 10% chance of being able to win.


by that token we have a 90% chance of winning our next game...


Yes, you do...


thats rubbish... we played last year and consistently beat teams with higher numbers than us... i dont believe that for a second
 
Chetro
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And to tack on to my last post... Yes, I realize you did it before we boosted. I don't care. Only about half (and that's being generous) of our team had boosts left. Even before boosts we had Fiji outleveled. And like I said in the other thread, we also had them beat in terms of activity. They have a couple of long inactives.
Last edited Jul 15, 2008 18:02:51
 
iowastylee
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What I find amusing is these Scranton dumbasses have never been heard from before now.
 
Rodhands
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Originally posted by Ballbright
Originally posted by Chetro

Originally posted by Ballbright


For cryinf out loud do none of you read???????


The "95%" NUMBER YOU ALL KEEP BANDYING ABOUT IS NOT YOU CHANCES OF LOSING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


It is how confident I am in the numbers out to the thrid standard deviation from the mean. Your team boosted after I made the projections rendering the numbers rather pointless anyway. If you hadn't boosted, you would've been beat. Even with the boosting, and a huge talent advantage you still barely won...

congrats on that...



I think the point that they're tyring to make though is that you're walking around here trying to smash Scranton (or doing in inadvertently) by saying we should have beaten them by more than 4. That just makes you look like a jackass though because a day ago (or whenever it was posted) you said you were 95% confident we would lose. Now you're bashing us because we didn't blow them out?


Again, read first before responding...you'd note that I said my numbers were moot anyway because Scranton boosted AFTER I made the predictions. Goes to show what trying to get a jump on things can do...

I'm not trying to "bash" Scranton. I';m just setting the record straight for a few misguided fools.


says the misguided fool who posted he was 95% sure we were going to lose BEFORE having the decency to check us out properly

you underestimated us...admit it and move on

if you do i will
 
Rodhands
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Originally posted by iowastylee
What I find amusing is these Scranton dumbasses have never been heard from before now.


yeah i know... swimming in under the radar and all that

dont worry ill be back to eat crow the first time we lose
 
Chetro
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Originally posted by iowastylee
What I find amusing is these Scranton dumbasses have never been heard from before now.


Wow. You're really upset about losing aren't you?
 
Rodhands
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Originally posted by iowastylee
What I find amusing is these Scranton dumbasses have never been heard from before now.


and if you must know ive been inactive due to a dispute i had "in team" which has hindered my enjoyment in GLB

that has now been resolved so im here to talk talk talk talk

oh and

talk
 
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