Originally posted by Xars
There are a lot of changes that need to be made.
For instance, compare Slot Machine with First Step for WRs. Galithor is a huge proponent of First Step. I keep toying with taking Slot Machine for my S* WR Belgarion, but the math just isn't in its favor.
I'll compare Gold First Step vs. Gold Slot Machine.
First Step can fire more than once per play. Since the WR is standing still at the start of the play, FS can fire. Additionally, anytime the WR comes to a stop and then moves, FS can fire again. So FS can easily fire more than once per play.
Let's assume that FS can fire 1.2x per play on average. My all-pass team is averaging 65 plays per game. So that's 78 potential firings per game. FS can fire up to 50% of the time and it's powered by Quickness. Let's assume the WR gets to 70 Quickness at end build. FS will probably fire about 35% of the time; we'll call it one-third. If FS fires on one-third of the time, then it will fire 26 times per game.
Slot Machine fires on 3rd or 4th down for a WR in the WR3 position.
My all-pass team is averaging 12 third down plays per game. Slot Machine can fire up to 60% of the time. My WR Belgarion will hit 86 Receiving Consistency. Let's assume Slot Machine fires on 50% of the third downs. Since my WR Belgarion is always in WR3 and no other WR ever is, he'll generate 12 potential firings and therefore about 6 actual firings.
As nice as Slot Machine is, I can't justify going to Gold SA on Slot Machine over First Step and that is the choice.
My S* already has GOLD Prime Time planned, as he should with 86 Rec Consist, and GOLD Head Fake, as he should with 90+ Route Tech and 90+ Route Elusive planned. The final Gold SA choice is between Slot Machine and First Step.
Even with my projection of having higher Rec Consistency than Quickness in his final build, First Step is the SA to take. Even with much lower Quickness than the 70 I used in the above example, First Step is still the choice. That's the problem.
So I hope that Corndog looks not only at the value of a SA, but also the firing rate in terms of plays per game of impact.
Good points, but one thing to consider is the importance in game dynamics of converting 3rd down that a skill point and roll bonus to 3rd down could inherently be more valuable than First Step firing on every play.