Originally posted by Parab00n
That midseason excuse should be long gone, last season wins/losses barely even matter at this point.Sadly, you don't understand the actual problem with the midseason team ratings, which had absolutely nothing to do with playing fewer games, even if Bort thinks it did, because frankly Bort doesn't properly understand his rating system either.
The problem was that the midseason teams were given a starting rating *lower* than every other team that was currently in the game, including winless teams. Basically, the assumption was that every midseason team was worse than every other team currently in existence, which was clearly a terrible assumption. It takes a while for the # of games to overcome a weird starting rating like that, and we're *just now* starting to reach that point.
They should have started at the same value that other teams started at. Which Bort keeps telling Corndog they did, except they didn't. We could all see the rankings pages, and we all saw exactly where they were ranked the first few weeks (not just the first week, so it wasn't some ranking anomaly).
We don't have information on what the starting rating for D0 teams was, or what the rating was that was given to the midseason teams (that information may be impossible to know now), or what the k-value is, so of course no one can say for certain how long it takes to overcome having the wrong starting rating. I'd say it's getting close now, just based on watching Osprey play in ladder play (which is really unscientific but it's about the best I've got). You can follow along here:
http://glb2.warriorgeneral.com/game/forum/thread/5148603but I was out of town last weekend and didn't get the last game week in.
