Warrior General Games

5 wins????

We are already on 2 and theres 11 games left and we play 4 0-5 teams.

I can see us with AT LEAST 6 wins.

The Snipers BTW.

chuckle...

The Werewolves still have to play the top two teams in our division... Not exactly sure the rest of our schedule would be the easiest in the Lion.

I'd have to think that something might be not quite kosher there.

PinTBC

Yeah I don't see any way Rwanda goes 12-4. And yes, I'm on that team so bias is in my play here.

Originally posted by awalker
Yeah I don't see any way Rwanda goes 12-4. And yes, I'm on that team so bias is in my play here.

LOL...

really... rwanda 12-4?

Nice read.

The Black Mambas ALREADY have more wins than projected. lawls.

I hope this was one of our losses in the predicted 14-2.

Rwanda with ANOTHER shutout!

Nice work TMan.

Nice work

Updated for week 5.

Some of you have been complaining about the projections. Problem is you see, we actually have to play the games. This projection program is in a perfect mathematical world, but as the old adage goes (edited for the younger viewers) Stuff happens! There were a couple of upsets this week that changed the landscape, but not as much as one would have thought! Sorry seorang, it had you predicted to win 34-7 (Yes, it even gives predicted outcomes of games) fortunately, it now thinks you will squeek out a win vs Durban so still has you at 14-2. This system does not take into account luck, or game planning, it is not perfect (for those of you complaining still, come up with a better system. I dare you!) But here is the newest projections.

Lion Conference

Toughest Remaining Schedule
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1.Djibouti Black Mambas 37 22 1 63% 1,384 681
2 Mogadishu On Khat 37 22 1 63% 1,264 703
3 Rwanda Royal Knights 33 25 2 57% 1,180 777
4 Botswana Bugeaters 33 25 2 57% 1,162 740
5 Cape Town White Sharks 34 26 0 57% 1,084 772
6 Dar Es Salaam Warrior Kings 31 27 2 53% 1,082 1,095
7 Sun City Undertakers 31 28 1 53% 1,157 958
8 Bamako Bite 29 31 0 48% 945 1,099
9 Angola Spider Monkeys 28 31 1 48% 824 1,165
10 Sudan Snipers 27 31 2 47% 957 1,113
11 Gold Coast Raiders 27 32 1 46% 861 998
12 Cameroon Outlaws 26 32 2 45% 1,016 1,156
13 Congo Gorillas 25 33 2 43% 927 1,116
14 Barbary Coast Pirates 25 33 2 43% 890 1,201
15 Wolfenstein Werewolves 24 36 0 40% 799 1,386
16 Burundi Scorpions 23 36 1 39% 678 1,250


Projected Standings
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Wolfenstein Werewolves 15 0 1 97% 1,893 125
2 Cape Town White Sharks 15 0 1 97% 725 49
3 Botswana Bugeaters 14 2 0 88% 504 125
4 Rwanda Royal Knights 13 3 0 81% 466 127
5 Barbary Coast Pirates 12 4 0 75% 757 193
6 Mogadishu On Khat 10 6 0 63% 396 180
7 Dar Es Salaam Warrior Kings 9 7 0 56% 314 286
8 Bamako Bite 8 8 0 50% 376 335
9 Angola Spider Monkeys 6 10 0 38% 258 337
10 Cameroon Outlaws 5 11 0 31% 218 482
11 Sudan Snipers 5 11 0 31% 148 526
12 Sun City Undertakers 5 11 0 31% 195 294
13 Congo Gorillas 5 11 0 31% 84 506
14 Djibouti Black Mambas 3 13 0 19% 115 666
15 Gold Coast Raiders 1 15 0 6% 79 1,186
16 Burundi Scorpions 0 16 0 0% 37 809

Elephant Conference

Toughest Remaining Schedule
Rk Team L T % PF PA
1 Hounds of Anubis 36 24 0 60% 1,141 758
2 USAORG Legionnaires 35 25 0 58% 1,005 882
3 Lake M'Zumba Cannibals 34 26 0 57% 1,094 871
4 Togo Party 32 28 0 53% 1,126 822
5 Nambia Slugs 32 28 0 53% 977 919
6 Angola Blood Diamonds 31 29 0 52% 949 966
7 Tangiers Cape Buffalo 31 29 0 52% 928 886
8 Conarky Coyotes 30 30 0 50% 1,035 909
9 Cairo Emperors 30 30 0 50% 944 918
10 Zambia Hungry Hungry Hippos 29 31 0 48% 936 1,020
11 West Coast Warriors 29 31 0 48% 811 1,076
12 Durban Donkeys 28 32 0 47% 981 987
13 Liberia Cornhuskers 28 32 0 47% 872 1,027
14 Babylon Bombshells 26 34 0 43% 882 1,052
15 Mali Mirage 25 35 0 42% 817 1,129
16 Tsavo Man Eaters 24 36 0 40% 882 1,158

Projected Standings
Rk Team W L T % PF PA
1 Conarky Coyotes 16 0 0 100% 525 20
2 Cairo Emperors 14 2 0 88% 373 110
3 USAORG Legionnaires 14 2 0 88% 481 127
4 Mali Mirage 12 4 0 75% 405 192
5 Angola Blood Diamonds 11 5 0 69% 358 254
6 Durban Donkeys 11 5 0 69% 329 116
7 Zambia Hungry Hungry Hippos 11 5 0 69% 203 155
8 Tsavo Man Eaters 9 7 0 56% 247 274
9 Babylon Bombshells 8 8 0 50% 280 270
10 Togo Party 7 9 0 44% 232 317
11 Tangiers Cape Buffalo 4 12 0 25% 241 335
12 Nambia Slugs 4 12 0 25% 220 365
13 Liberia Cornhuskers 3 13 0 19% 148 408
14 West Coast Warriors 3 13 0 19% 137 356
15 Hounds of Anubis 2 14 0 13% 134 369
16 Lake M'Zumba Cannibals 0 16 0 0% 27 684

As you can see, a few changes here and there, and it will continue to change as we play the games (Again, luck, game planning, player signings, etc are not taken into account, it is strictly wins, losses, and points for and against calculated in head to head matchups) In South American AA last year, this program had it dead on by week 13 (would have been earlier, but there were 2 upsets in week 11 that messed it up), so I think it'll be close to that this year.

We appreciate the work TMan. We're not really complaining, just pumping up our teams and pointing out where we think the system has it wrong at this point. Like it was said before, it's just like the BCS and it becomes more accurate over time as the games are played. I think everyone knew last year that USF, South Carolina, and company didn't belong in the top 10.

It'll work itself out, but it's fun to pump up our teams and try to point out where we think the formula may have it wrong at this point. There will always be upsets and we as humans can look at the teams and figure it out much easier than a formula can early in the season.

Originally posted by awalker
We appreciate the work TMan. We're not really complaining, just pumping up our teams and pointing out where we think the system has it wrong at this point. Like it was said before, it's just like the BCS and it becomes more accurate over time as the games are played. I think everyone knew last year that USF, South Carolina, and company didn't belong in the top 10.

It'll work itself out, but it's fun to pump up our teams and try to point out where we think the formula may have it wrong at this point. There will always be upsets and we as humans can look at the teams and figure it out much easier than a formula can early in the season.

It's all good man, I should have added smilies and such, the "Dare" was tongue in cheek. I do this because I found it fun last year to pick it apart too, so I understand totally . I am ok with the criticism, but if someone can come up with a more accurate predictor, go nuts! I enjoy seeing what the projector has lined up and what changes it makes week to week. It gives us something to talk about as the season goes on besides the usual trash talk.

Nice, except, my crystal ball AND magic 8 ball tells me Zambia Hungry Hungry Hippos not only make the playoffs but kick their butt!