Is this going to turn into another statistics thread?
Forum > Pro Leagues > Official WL Champion Prediction Thread
ijg
offline
offline
Originally posted by Wrath Of Conor
Is this going to turn into another statistics thread?
ha, no, I hope not. I was on the FO site just before coming here and saw they had Colts at <20% to win so taut's 20% guesstimate reminded me of that.
Odds of winning anything go down faster than people realize as the number of legit contenders increases. It's really a crapshoot trying to guess who will win this year. Whole bunch of teams with ~10% shot, imo.
Is this going to turn into another statistics thread?
ha, no, I hope not. I was on the FO site just before coming here and saw they had Colts at <20% to win so taut's 20% guesstimate reminded me of that.
Odds of winning anything go down faster than people realize as the number of legit contenders increases. It's really a crapshoot trying to guess who will win this year. Whole bunch of teams with ~10% shot, imo.
RandomBeast
offline
offline
where is the bookie with the gambling thread/odds for this. I want to lay some bets down.
bhall43
offline
offline
Originally posted by GMathiasf
MoD is probably the best bet as they are the most likely team to be in the LC.
i woudnt say thats a for sure deal by any means.
MoD is probably the best bet as they are the most likely team to be in the LC.
i woudnt say thats a for sure deal by any means.
Originally posted by GMathiasf
MoD is probably the best bet as they are the most likely team to be in the LC.
Good point. There are 6 standout teams in the league. If you put any of them in a conference by themselves, of course they're going to have a better chance than the ones that have to face at least 2 of them to get to the championship.
MoD is probably the best bet as they are the most likely team to be in the LC.
Good point. There are 6 standout teams in the league. If you put any of them in a conference by themselves, of course they're going to have a better chance than the ones that have to face at least 2 of them to get to the championship.
MonkeyMan
offline
offline
Originally posted by PierreThomas
Actually we run out of them every time they get to 8.
Actually we run out of them every time they get to 8.
Originally posted by MonkeyMan
Originally posted by PierreThomas
Actually we run out of them every time they get to 8.
I am using the BT's at this point since I have da uber gear fully upgraded
Originally posted by PierreThomas
Actually we run out of them every time they get to 8.
I am using the BT's at this point since I have da uber gear fully upgraded
Originally posted by bhall43
i woudnt say thats a for sure deal by any means.
lolgp?
i woudnt say thats a for sure deal by any means.
lolgp?
blln4lyf
offline
offline
Originally posted by Gart888
Originally posted by GMathiasf
MoD is probably the best bet as they are the most likely team to be in the LC.
Good point. There are 6 standout teams in the league. If you put any of them in a conference by themselves, of course they're going to have a better chance than the ones that have to face at least 2 of them to get to the championship.
Well I don't think MoD stands alone, but still a good point.
Originally posted by GMathiasf
MoD is probably the best bet as they are the most likely team to be in the LC.
Good point. There are 6 standout teams in the league. If you put any of them in a conference by themselves, of course they're going to have a better chance than the ones that have to face at least 2 of them to get to the championship.
Well I don't think MoD stands alone, but still a good point.
Originally posted by blln4lyf
Well I don't think MoD stands alone, but still a good point.
I would say there are three other teams that can beat us on any given day.
Well I don't think MoD stands alone, but still a good point.
I would say there are three other teams that can beat us on any given day.
blln4lyf
offline
offline
Originally posted by crazy454
Originally posted by blln4lyf
Well I don't think MoD stands alone, but still a good point.
I would say there are three other teams that can beat us on any given day.
Lincoln and DD, doubt there is anyone else. Also consider where they stand against the top 5 in Alpha..honesty, idk.
Originally posted by blln4lyf
Well I don't think MoD stands alone, but still a good point.
I would say there are three other teams that can beat us on any given day.
Lincoln and DD, doubt there is anyone else. Also consider where they stand against the top 5 in Alpha..honesty, idk.
tautology
offline
offline
Originally posted by ijg
no offense taut, but that's too high. If you assume it's roughly 50/50 you win the title game, that means it's 40% you're winning the conference and with 4 other legit threats, I don't think anyone in Alpha should be pegged at 40% to take the conference.
Interesting side note: football outsiders has its Super Bowl odds up based on DVOA and Indy is only 18% so even a clearly dominant WL team wouldn't likely be 20%.
Agreed, though I think the Alpha winner has a better than 50% shot at the title.
no offense taut, but that's too high. If you assume it's roughly 50/50 you win the title game, that means it's 40% you're winning the conference and with 4 other legit threats, I don't think anyone in Alpha should be pegged at 40% to take the conference.
Interesting side note: football outsiders has its Super Bowl odds up based on DVOA and Indy is only 18% so even a clearly dominant WL team wouldn't likely be 20%.
Agreed, though I think the Alpha winner has a better than 50% shot at the title.
Originally posted by tautology
Agreed, though I think the Alpha winner has a better than 50% shot at the title.
Or maybe they have to pull out all the stops to get there. Quite frankly I agree alpha seems to have the better teams this season. With Stobie Ocing in the playoffs we will lose early anyways.
Trying to come up with some sort of 16-0 excuse after tonight.
Agreed, though I think the Alpha winner has a better than 50% shot at the title.
Or maybe they have to pull out all the stops to get there. Quite frankly I agree alpha seems to have the better teams this season. With Stobie Ocing in the playoffs we will lose early anyways.
Trying to come up with some sort of 16-0 excuse after tonight.
You are not logged in. Please log in if you want to post a reply.
