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Forum > Oceania AA Leagues > Oceania AA #2 > Zeta Playoff Picture, Season 5:Pre-Week 12
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Sin City
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Originally posted by
3. El Fuego: 3rd, 8-3
Now this is where the playoff picture really starts cooking, as there are six teams within just one game of each other in the Zeta Playoff Picture. The first of these teams is El Fuego, who have absolutely flipped a switch on offense as of late, and that has shown up this past week in a 58-31 pasting of the playoff-contending Mauna Kea Chenabogs. This week, Fuego travels to meet the Brisbane Brown Bears; in all likelihood, Fuego will put up a high triple-digit number is dismantling the relegation-bound Brown Bears. In Week 13, Fuego hosts the Cimmerian Barbarians; though Cimmerian was the playoff crasher last season, there will be no such magic this season, as I foresee nothing but a lopsided Fuego victory in this one. The following week, Fuego travels to Coney Island to take on the Warriors; even though the Warriors are clinging to playoff life, I look for Fuego to douse any flame that remains there, winning by quite a healthy margin here. Fuego closes its Zeta slate in Week 15 against the Tasmania Devils; though the Devils have done quite well this season in being promoted from the A Leagues, I see Fuego pulling away two a two-score victory over the upstart Devils. In quite possibly the oddest scheduling quirk in GLB history, Fuego draws the Tasmanian Devils for a back-to-back home game in Week 16; even crazier, these two teams played to a tie in the preseason; however, I foresee the Devils getting the better of Fuego here, as the strength of the Devils roster may be one score too much for Fuego to overcome. I think 4-1 is the most likely end to Fuego’s season, which would deny Fuego a home-field 1st round game due to their 41-27 loss to the Horsemen back in Week 9; however, an entirely possible defeat of the Alpha Devils in Week 16 could mean the difference between Christchurch and Tonga in the second round!
Predicted finish: 12-4, 5th


Different team we have on El Fuego than we did at the beginning of the season and in preseason than we have now. I am confident El Fuego will pull out all stops to go undefeated for the remaining schedule.


 
Lamoix
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Excellent write up Chase! Always a good read, even for those of us over the fence.

I especially liked this part: "However, for the Week 16 Alpha Draw, you get the Easter Island Moai as a gift; this game has some upset potential, but I cannot choose against the strong, established Moai team who look to be about a touchdown favorite in my eyes." As we have a tough fight to stay in the playoff picture on our side, it's good to hear that someone has faith in us.
 
Sarg01
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Originally posted by Lamoix
As we have a tough fight to stay in the playoff picture on our side, it's good to hear that someone has faith in us.


Like anyone can pick against the vorpal bunny.
 
JCJayhawk
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Originally posted by Sin City
Originally posted by

3. El Fuego: 3rd, 8-3
Now this is where the playoff picture really starts cooking, as there are six teams within just one game of each other in the Zeta Playoff Picture. The first of these teams is El Fuego, who have absolutely flipped a switch on offense as of late, and that has shown up this past week in a 58-31 pasting of the playoff-contending Mauna Kea Chenabogs. This week, Fuego travels to meet the Brisbane Brown Bears; in all likelihood, Fuego will put up a high triple-digit number is dismantling the relegation-bound Brown Bears. In Week 13, Fuego hosts the Cimmerian Barbarians; though Cimmerian was the playoff crasher last season, there will be no such magic this season, as I foresee nothing but a lopsided Fuego victory in this one. The following week, Fuego travels to Coney Island to take on the Warriors; even though the Warriors are clinging to playoff life, I look for Fuego to douse any flame that remains there, winning by quite a healthy margin here. Fuego closes its Zeta slate in Week 15 against the Tasmania Devils; though the Devils have done quite well this season in being promoted from the A Leagues, I see Fuego pulling away two a two-score victory over the upstart Devils. In quite possibly the oddest scheduling quirk in GLB history, Fuego draws the Tasmanian Devils for a back-to-back home game in Week 16; even crazier, these two teams played to a tie in the preseason; however, I foresee the Devils getting the better of Fuego here, as the strength of the Devils roster may be one score too much for Fuego to overcome. I think 4-1 is the most likely end to Fuego’s season, which would deny Fuego a home-field 1st round game due to their 41-27 loss to the Horsemen back in Week 9; however, an entirely possible defeat of the Alpha Devils in Week 16 could mean the difference between Christchurch and Tonga in the second round!
Predicted finish: 12-4, 5th


Different team we have on El Fuego than we did at the beginning of the season and in preseason than we have now. I am confident El Fuego will pull out all stops to go undefeated for the remaining schedule.




yeah but do you have any financial confidence in that assertion?
 
Sarg01
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Hmm, it now appears there is a very solid chance Zeta will promote two teams due to the presence of a CPU team in AAA1 Zeta that isn't in the automatic relegation territory.

It'll come down to whether AA1 Zeta's conference championship runner-up wins or loses their Day 39 scrimmage or who won their playoff games by bigger margins.
 
Sin City
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Originally posted by JCJayhawk
Originally posted by Sin City

Originally posted by


3. El Fuego: 3rd, 8-3
Now this is where the playoff picture really starts cooking, as there are six teams within just one game of each other in the Zeta Playoff Picture. The first of these teams is El Fuego, who have absolutely flipped a switch on offense as of late, and that has shown up this past week in a 58-31 pasting of the playoff-contending Mauna Kea Chenabogs. This week, Fuego travels to meet the Brisbane Brown Bears; in all likelihood, Fuego will put up a high triple-digit number is dismantling the relegation-bound Brown Bears. In Week 13, Fuego hosts the Cimmerian Barbarians; though Cimmerian was the playoff crasher last season, there will be no such magic this season, as I foresee nothing but a lopsided Fuego victory in this one. The following week, Fuego travels to Coney Island to take on the Warriors; even though the Warriors are clinging to playoff life, I look for Fuego to douse any flame that remains there, winning by quite a healthy margin here. Fuego closes its Zeta slate in Week 15 against the Tasmania Devils; though the Devils have done quite well this season in being promoted from the A Leagues, I see Fuego pulling away two a two-score victory over the upstart Devils. In quite possibly the oddest scheduling quirk in GLB history, Fuego draws the Tasmanian Devils for a back-to-back home game in Week 16; even crazier, these two teams played to a tie in the preseason; however, I foresee the Devils getting the better of Fuego here, as the strength of the Devils roster may be one score too much for Fuego to overcome. I think 4-1 is the most likely end to Fuego’s season, which would deny Fuego a home-field 1st round game due to their 41-27 loss to the Horsemen back in Week 9; however, an entirely possible defeat of the Alpha Devils in Week 16 could mean the difference between Christchurch and Tonga in the second round!
Predicted finish: 12-4, 5th


Different team we have on El Fuego than we did at the beginning of the season and in preseason than we have now. I am confident El Fuego will pull out all stops to go undefeated for the remaining schedule.




yeah but do you have any financial confidence in that assertion?


Yes I do as a matter of fact, my boys/girls won't let me down.
 
SWVAHoo
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Originally posted by Sarg01
Hmm, it now appears there is a very solid chance Zeta will promote two teams due to the presence of a CPU team in AAA1 Zeta that isn't in the automatic relegation territory.

It'll come down to whether AA1 Zeta's conference championship runner-up wins or loses their Day 39 scrimmage or who won their playoff games by bigger margins.


This a a big development for Zeta, indeed.

However, what about Rule #2: "Number of Playoff Games Participated In". This seems to imply that the Zeta Conference title game loser will also get promoted, regardless of whehter the runner-up wins/loses their scrimmage.
 
Sarg01
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Originally posted by cdcollins

This a a big development for Zeta, indeed.

However, what about Rule #2: "Number of Playoff Games Participated In". This seems to imply that the Zeta Conference title game loser will also get promoted, regardless of whehter the runner-up wins/loses their scrimmage.


All conference runner-ups will have participated in the same number of games ... since the AA#1 runner-ups play each other, one of them has to win, and therefore would get the nod over an AA#2 loser. I'm assuming conference is preserved, so if Zeta wins in both leagues it probably goes to the playoff margin tiebreaker.

 
SWVAHoo
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Originally posted by Sarg01
Originally posted by cdcollins


This a a big development for Zeta, indeed.

However, what about Rule #2: "Number of Playoff Games Participated In". This seems to imply that the Zeta Conference title game loser will also get promoted, regardless of whehter the runner-up wins/loses their scrimmage.


All conference runner-ups will have participated in the same number of games ... since the AA#1 runner-ups play each other, one of them has to win, and therefore would get the nod over an AA#2 loser. I'm assuming conference is preserved, so if Zeta wins in both leagues it probably goes to the playoff margin tiebreaker.



Thanks for that clarification there. Let me see if I have this right, now.

Either the AA#1 Zeta runner-up or the AA#2 Zeta runner-up will be moving on to AAA#1 Zeta, since the 14th-place team is now a CPU team. If one wins the final scrimmage and one loses the final scrimmage, the winner will move up. HOWEVER, if both AA#1 and AA#2 Zeta runners-up win, it will go down to average playoff game points differential. I think I've got it.

Eh, I'm not a big fan of that. I wish we could have the AA#1 and AA#2 Zeta runners-up play sometime to settle that, but alas, it isn't.

All-in-all, at least another team's going to be coming up with the conference winner. Perhaps two from this conference!
Last edited Oct 15, 2008 23:13:36
 
KevinM
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Originally posted by cdcollins
Originally posted by Sarg01

Originally posted by cdcollins



This a a big development for Zeta, indeed.

However, what about Rule #2: "Number of Playoff Games Participated In". This seems to imply that the Zeta Conference title game loser will also get promoted, regardless of whehter the runner-up wins/loses their scrimmage.


All conference runner-ups will have participated in the same number of games ... since the AA#1 runner-ups play each other, one of them has to win, and therefore would get the nod over an AA#2 loser. I'm assuming conference is preserved, so if Zeta wins in both leagues it probably goes to the playoff margin tiebreaker.



Thanks for that clarification there. Let me see if I have this right, now.

Either the AA#1 Zeta runner-up or the AA#2 Zeta runner-up will be moving on to AAA#1 Zeta, since the 14th-place team is now a CPU team. If one wins the final scrimmage and one loses the final scrimmage, the winner will move up. HOWEVER, if both AA#1 and AA#2 Zeta runners-up win, it will go down to average playoff game points differential. I think I've got it.

Eh, I'm not a big fan of that. I wish we could have the AA#1 and AA#2 Zeta runners-up play sometime to settle that, but alas, it isn't.

All-in-all, at least another team's going to be coming up with the conference winner. Perhaps two from this conference!


Weak. This essentially guarantees that OAA2 will be without your expert analysis and prognostication next year.
 
SWVAHoo
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Originally posted by KevinM
Weak. This essentially guarantees that OAA2 will be without your expert analysis and prognostication next year.


LOL, don't jinx us!

I've seen a LOT of crazy stuff happen at playoff time. Heck, we were as close as a team could be to upsetting Bikini Atoll last year and perhaps moving up had we beaten Fuego in the finals. I've also been a part of a 16-0 team that lost its conference final before, so I know how easily it can happen. That's a feeling I hope I don't have to go through again, especially not with Tonga. And there are some great teams here who could feasibly pull that stunt off, including your own!

And boy, does this give a TON of for teams to try to blow other teams out in Round 1 rather than just going for the win. Tonga won't fall into that trap, but the incentive's certainly there.

But in the end, one of AA#1's or AA#2'sconference runners-up will be making the leap. Hopefully its us. Man, I'm ready to get them kicked off!
Last edited Oct 16, 2008 00:42:09
 
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Have we checked to see how many CPU teams there are north of us? Someone should do that. I guess I could do that actually...

edit: Um, exactly 1. Which means what? The winner and runner up will advance as always and then some tiebreaker will occur between the teams in the conference championships here and in Oceania AA #1?
Last edited Oct 16, 2008 09:39:13
 
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Originally posted by cdcollins
Originally posted by KevinM

Weak. This essentially guarantees that OAA2 will be without your expert analysis and prognostication next year.


LOL, don't jinx us!

I've seen a LOT of crazy stuff happen at playoff time. Heck, we were as close as a team could be to upsetting Bikini Atoll last year and perhaps moving up had we beaten Fuego in the finals. I've also been a part of a 16-0 team that lost its conference final before, so I know how easily it can happen. That's a feeling I hope I don't have to go through again, especially not with Tonga. And there are some great teams here who could feasibly pull that stunt off, including your own!

And boy, does this give a TON of for teams to try to blow other teams out in Round 1 rather than just going for the win. Tonga won't fall into that trap, but the incentive's certainly there.

But in the end, one of AA#1's or AA#2'sconference runners-up will be making the leap. Hopefully its us. Man, I'm ready to get them kicked off!


Crazy does happen! Look what happened to us last year with El Fuego........Damn Fuego.......
 
SWVAHoo
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Originally posted by Brian the Stunt Bum
Have we checked to see how many CPU teams there are north of us? Someone should do that. I guess I could do that actually...

edit: Um, exactly 1. Which means what? The winner and runner up will advance as always and then some tiebreaker will occur between the teams in the conference championships here and in Oceania AA #1?


For Alpha, this is true.

For Zeta, we get a little luckier. I have indeed checked, and 3 teams will be demoted from Zeta AAA#1 next season.
 
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