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Forum > USA A Leagues > USA A #8 > Spreadsheet Predictor for A #8
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Derkin
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Yea I really don't expect to only lose 2 games in the East. To many tough teams we still got to play and it starts against the Icestorm.
 
onepeat
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boo...
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 12:59:08
 
Fish.SR
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Oh reading...
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 14:31:55
 
tomcollins
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Updated after Week 4:

Still pretty messed up with a lot of gutted teams throwing off results.


Western Conference

1. Lima 14-1
2. Florida 13-2
3. Austin 13-2
4. Putnam Co. 11-4
5. Waller 10-5
6. Las Vegas 10-5
7. Death Valley 10-5
8. Orlando 9-6
9. Tucson 8-7
10. Los Angeles 6-9
11. Seattle 5-10
12. Phoenix 5-10
13. Cleveland 3-12
14. Carlona 2-13
15. West Lawn 1-14
16. Team Winner 0-15

Toughest Schedule So Far:
1) Death Valley
2) Cleveland
3) Waller

Easiest Schedule So Far:
1) Florida
2) Team Winner
3) Orlando


Toughest Remaining Schedule:
1) Seattle
2) Florida
3) Team Winner

Easiest Remaining Schedule:
1) Death Valley
2) Waller
3) Putnam Co.

Toughest Opponents in Victories:
1) Waller
2) Death Valley
3) Putnam Co.

Easiest Opponents in Victories:
1) Florida
2) Carlona
3) Seattle

Toughest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Austin
2) Death Valley
3) Las Vegas

Easiest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Team Winner
2) Florida
3) Orlando

Eastern Conference

1. Nashville 15-0
2. Manhattan 14-1
3. Columbus 13-2
4. Detroit 12-3
5. Vermont 10-5
6. Rhode Island 10-5
7. Crimson 9-6
8. Montana 7-8
9. Bowdoin 7-8
10. New Hampshire 7-8
11. Destin 6-9
12. Boston 4-11
13. Buffalo 3-12
14. Thorndale 2-13
15. Lowcountry 1-14
16. Da NOLA 0-15

Toughest Schedule So Far:
1) New Hampshire
2) Crimson
3) Vermont

Easiest Schedule So Far:
1) Buffalo
2) Lowcountry
3) Da NOLA

Toughest Remaining Schedule:
1) Lowcountry
2) Da NOLA
3) Buffalo

Easiest Remaining Schedule:
1) New Hampshire
2) Crimson
3) Columbus

Toughest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Detroit
2) Manhattan
3) New Hampshire

Easiest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Detroit
2) Manhattan
3) New Hampshire

Toughest Opponents in Victories:
1) Vermont
2) New Hampshire
3) Crimson

Easiest Opponents in Victories:
1) Boston
2) Thorndale
3) Buffalo
 
Veg
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Originally posted by tomcollins

5. Waller 10-5

Toughest Schedule So Far:
1) Death Valley
2) Cleveland
3) Waller

Easiest Remaining Schedule:
1) Death Valley
2) Waller
3) Putnam Co.


Lol doesnt look like this thing knows what it wants to predict.
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 14:58:11
 
tomcollins
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Originally posted by Veg
Originally posted by tomcollins


5. Waller 10-5

Toughest Schedule So Far:
1) Death Valley
2) Cleveland
3) Waller

Easiest Remaining Schedule:
1) Death Valley
2) Waller
3) Putnam Co.


Lol doesnt look like this thing knows what it wants to predict.


What's the problem with that? A lot of teams have tough games out of the way have easy schedules. The non-conference games will switch things slightly.

Ah- Waller. It doesn't look at quality wins or anything, it just uses scores. I have no idea why Waller is ranked so low, that one makes no sense. They even played a gutted team.
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 15:18:15
 
Veg
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That's basically saying we beat the tough teams but will lose to the teams who are not quite as tough.

Even playing a gutted team, put up quite a good number on a really good death valley team as well. Weird how excel calculates things, although im still a rookie to excel in my classes.

I guess the last week of the season the rankings should be pretty correct. -=P
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 15:22:23
 
tomcollins
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Originally posted by Veg
That's basically saying we beat the tough teams but will lose to the teams who are not quite as tough.

Even playing a gutted team, put up quite a good number on a really good death valley team as well. Weird how excel calculates things, although im still a rookie to excel in my classes.

I guess the last week of the season the rankings should be pretty correct. -=P


It will be decent by week 8. Having the toughest schedule doesn't mean you beat the best teams, though. I think what's throwing it off is you were the only team to let West Lawn score any points, so they scored infinite times more than their average against you. I changed that game to 176-0, and now it thinks you should be 16-0.
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 15:31:56
 
Veg
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Ah, minor tweaks have such a major impact at the moment. I have one team thats went undefeated, first season it was started went 16-0 regular season and lost in the division championship, last season went 16-0 regular season, won the championship. Cant say if i want to go 16-0 or not -=x

Atleast i get to pad my CB's stats some more next game.
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 15:46:05
 
tomcollins
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Originally posted by Veg
Ah, minor tweaks have such a major impact at the moment. I have one team thats went undefeated, first season it was started went 16-0 regular season and lost in the division championship, last season went 16-0 regular season, won the championship. Cant say if i want to go 16-0 or not -=x

Atleast i get to pad my CB's stats some more next game.


Yeah, I'd like to design my own projector eventually.

A lot of times, especially at lower levels, teams that went 16-0 were early boosters, and the teams that waited to boost gained enough extra XP to actually be stronger by the end, so that might happen.

Lima definitely looks good, and might give you a run, so who knows. I'd definitely say you are the favorite at this point.
 
Veg
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Yeah but i wouldnt have it any other way, easy wins are nice when you look at the stats but hell if i want to beat up on crappy teams ill go play madden.
 
jkdog855
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Originally posted by tomcollins


Toughest Schedule So Far:
1) New Hampshire
2) Crimson
3) Vermont

Easiest Remaining Schedule:
1) New Hampshire
2) Crimson
3) Columbus

Toughest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Detroit
2) Manhattan
3) New Hampshire

Easiest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Detroit
2) Manhattan
3) New Hampshire

Toughest Opponents in Victories:
1) Vermont
) New Hampshire
3) Crimson


some of these really confuse me like how we lost to the toughest and easiest at the same time.

I do agree that we have had one of the toughest schedules to start the season off with.
Last edited Sep 28, 2008 19:01:46
 
x21times20
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i'm pretty sure it's just an error of some kind since the toughest and easiest opponents in defeats are exactly the same for all 3 spots
 
Veg
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well like he proved earlier, minor minor changes affect this sheet greatly
 
tomcollins
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Originally posted by jkdog855
Originally posted by tomcollins



Toughest Schedule So Far:
1) New Hampshire
2) Crimson
3) Vermont

Easiest Remaining Schedule:
1) New Hampshire
2) Crimson
3) Columbus

Toughest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Detroit
2) Manhattan
3) New Hampshire

Easiest Opponents in Defeats:
1) Detroit
2) Manhattan
3) New Hampshire

Toughest Opponents in Victories:
1) Vermont
) New Hampshire
3) Crimson


some of these really confuse me like how we lost to the toughest and easiest at the same time.

I do agree that we have had one of the toughest schedules to start the season off with.


Easiest Opponents in Defeats should be:
1) Vermont
2) Lowcountry
3) Da NOLA
 
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