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Forum > Europe East A Leagues > Europe East A #8 > WEEK 12 PREDICTIONS - LEAGUE PROJECTOR - POWER RANKINGS
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IggyWH
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GAME OF THE WEEK

Belgrade Blaze vs Drăgăşani Dragons

This week's GotW puts up the two worst teams in Zeta against each other. Both come into the game 0-11, but only one will come out with a new, shiny 1 in the win column. The Blaze have played some decent games this year, but nothing has come from it. The Dragons have been blown out every game, except the game against New Jersey, where they almost came away with a W. The Blaze are hurting chem wise, but I think for the most part, they have a good team and their record doesn't reflect the talent they have. I expect them to win this one in style... there's something I bet you wouldn't hear this season

Blaze -17


ALPHA

Barcs Rangers vs Zheleznovodsk Chubby Wizards
Chubby Wizards

Bluegrass Hitmen vs Grodno Titans
Hitmen ~ They've burned me in the past picking them though

Budapest Buddhas vs Moscow Meat Whistles
Meat Whistles

Buffalo Reverends vs Smashing Skulls
Skulls

Kharkiv Thrashers vs Sevastopol Seamen
Thrashers

Lisbon Crows vs Sacramento Storm
Crows

Mildenhall Grim Reapers vs Sofia Dogs
Grim Reapers

Saratov Jokers vs Swedish Stackers
Stackers


ZETA

Draguignan Dragons 83 vs Rome Raiders
Raiders

Istanbul Anatolian Guard Dawgs vs Stalingrad Loyalists
Loyalists

Macedonia Marauders vs Athens Ferrymen
Ferrymen

Monty Pythons vs Pisa Pizzas
Pythons

New Jersey Mafia vs The Cape Town Cubicles
Cubicles

San Antonio Natives vs Sevastopol Wolverines
Wolverines

Serbian Head Hunters vs Springfield Isotopes
Isotopes

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LEAGUE PROJECTOR


ALPHA

Rk__Team______________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Swedish Stackers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,304 . . 157
..2 . . Moscow Meat Whistles. . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . ...507 . . 250
..3 . . Sacramento Storm. . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . ...480 . . 206
..4 . . Lisbon Crows. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . ...629 . . 394
..5 . . Kharkiv Thrashers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...534 . . 341
..6 . . Grodno Titans. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . ...9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...411 . . 330
..7 . . Smashing Skulls . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...441 . . 403
..8 . . Sevastopol Seamen. . . . . . . .. . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...603 . . 436
..9 . . Zheleznovodsk Chubby Wizards.. ...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . ...471 . . 387
10 . . Bluegrass Hitmen. . . . . . . . . . . . . ....6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...440 . . 524
11 . . Mildenhall Grim Reapers. . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...475 . . 511
12 . . Budapest Buddhas . . . . . . . . . . . ....6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...411 . . 485
13 . . Saratov Jokers. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . ...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...389 . . 437
14 . . Sofia Dogs. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . ...2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...335 . . 810
15 . . Buffalo Reverends . . . . . . . . . . .. . ...1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...174 . . 831
16 . . Barcs Rangers. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ...117 . . 974


ZETA

Rk__Team_______________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Sevastopol Wolverines. . .. . . . . . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 804 . . 181
..2 . . Athens Ferrymen. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 725 . . 167
..3 . . The Cape Town Cubicles. . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 549 . . 272
..4 . . Rome Raiders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 502 . . 267
..5 . . San Antonio Natives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 545 . . 311
..6 . . Macedonia Marauders. . . . . . . .. ... . .11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 432 . . 302
..7 . . Monty Pythons . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 361 . . 297
..8 . . Springfield Isotopes . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 510 . . 309
..9 . . Istanbul Anatolian Guard Dawgs… ...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 399 . . 402
10 . . Pisa Pizzas . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . ...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . 220 . . 439
11 . . Stalingrad Loyalists. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . 316 . . 466
12 . . Draguignan Dragons 83 . . . . . . . . . ...4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 377 . . 562
13 . . Serbian Head Hunters . . . . . . . . . . . ..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 255 . . 577
14 . . New Jersey Mafia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . 233 . . 618
15 . . Belgrade Blaze . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . 233 . . 682
16 . . Drăgăşani Dragons . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..94 . . 583

-----------------------------

POWER RANKINGS


ALPHA

Swedish Stackers 94.1
Moscow Meat Whistles 86.8
Lisbon Crows 83.1
Bluegrass Hitmen 80.3
Sacramento Storm 78.7
Budapest Buddhas 76.1
Zheleznovodsk Chubby Wizards 75.6
Kharkiv Thrashers (Rename) 74.7
Smashing Skulls 74.6
Grodno Titans (Rename) 69.9
Sevastopol Seamen 67.1
Buffalo Reverends 63.6
Mildenhall Grim Reapers 61.4
Sofia Dogs (Rename) 55.3
Saratov Jokers 53.8
Barcs Rangers 31.8


ZETA

Athens Ferrymen 89.1
Sevastopol Wolverines (Rename) 88.3
Rome Raiders 84.9
Macedonia Marauders 80.8
The Cape Town Cubicles 80.1
Monty Pythons 78.6
San Antonio Natives 77.6
Istanbul Anatolian Guard Dawgs 77.4
Springfield Isotopes 77.1
Stalingrad Loyalists 73.7
New Jersey Mafia 72.5
Pisa Pizzas 66.3
Draguignan Dragons 83 65.9
Serbian Head Hunters 65.8
Belgrade Blaze 65.3
Drăgăşani Dragons 55.8

============================

You might see a change in the power rankings, and a significant one in Zeta that puts my team ahead of Sevastopol. I found an error that was screwing up a few things. The power rankings takes into account all your players on your team and their level, and then part of your power ranking score is how your player levels at each position compare to the rest of the league.

My team was taking a significant hit in special teams, because for some reason, it wasn't recognizing our punter. The same goes with the Chubby Wizards, but it wasn't recognizing their punter because he has the same name of their kicker and that was throwing the Excel macro off.
 
VietCampo
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So Iggy, predictions aside, from your own thoughts, do you think i can win 3/5 games?
 
IggyWH
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Sorry, you're going to miss the playoffs. The only shot you have is if MAYBE you can squeak a win against The Cape Town Cubicles, but even so, they would have to go 1-4 for you two to have the same record and you win the tiebreaker.
 
VietCampo
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Guess i'll have to go undefeated now til then.
 
josh2otter
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3 of 4 teams ahead of us in the POWER RANKINGS we've beat?!? Good formula
 
IggyWH
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Originally posted by josh2otter
3 of 4 teams ahead of us in the POWER RANKINGS we've beat?!? Good formula


It's not perfect and it has some errors, but it gets the job done. For instance, your team only has 4 LB's, but the Power Rankings take into consideration the top 5 LB's on a team. Therefore, you get a 0 for your 5th LB. If I put a 12 in there, your score becomes 77.7.

There's also a 2 point adjustment to do to each team that I don't bother doing because it's too much of a pain in the ass and takes too long to do. If I did that, you'd probably be better than Cape Town also. So just consider that every score is +/- 2.
 
josh2otter
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Originally posted by IggyWH
Originally posted by josh2otter

3 of 4 teams ahead of us in the POWER RANKINGS we've beat?!? Good formula


It's not perfect and it has some errors, but it gets the job done. For instance, your team only has 4 LB's, but the Power Rankings take into consideration the top 5 LB's on a team. Therefore, you get a 0 for your 5th LB. If I put a 12 in there, your score becomes 77.7.

There's also a 2 point adjustment to do to each team that I don't bother doing because it's too much of a pain in the ass and takes too long to do. If I did that, you'd probably be better than Cape Town also. So just consider that every score is +/- 2.


Yeah I'm just busting your balls, I appreciate what you do and love the threads for every week. You'll be missed.

Still, Go 'topes!
OTTER
 
nawlinsvike
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question, how can the both the wolverines and the stackers be projected at 16-0 when they play each other the last day of the regular season?
 
IggyWH
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Originally posted by nawlinsvike
question, how can the both the wolverines and the stackers be projected at 16-0 when they play each other the last day of the regular season?


I addressed this a few weeks ago that it's an error in the league projector. There's no comparison between the two leagues since they only play one game, and that's at the end of the season. The league projector just has the Wolverines/Stackers team's success to go by, so it sees that both will win the game. It can't compare the two for that game.

Here's it's current predictions, so you can see that there's nothing related to the final game for the 2 teams. It has some games with both teams losing too :

http://www.savefile.com/files/1746198
Last edited Aug 22, 2008 20:42:09
 
VietCampo
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hey Iggy, if you don't mind, i might do my own set of Zeta Predictions for this next game or the next.
 
nawlinsvike
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no problem iggy, it was just a question. we appreciate what you do. so, since its not gonna predict it........WHO DO YOU THINK WILL WIN??
 
IggyWH
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Originally posted by nawlinsvike
no problem iggy, it was just a question. we appreciate what you do. so, since its not gonna predict it........WHO DO YOU THINK WILL WIN??


Stackers, they're easily the favorite to win it all.
 
IggyWH
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Originally posted by Viet
hey Iggy, if you don't mind, i might do my own set of Zeta Predictions for this next game or the next.


Be my guest
 
Billsman
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Go Crows!
 
ress5609
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Originally posted by
16 . . Drăgăşani Dragons . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . ..94 . . 583


LIES!!!
 
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