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Forum > Europe East A Leagues > Europe East A #3 > Week 3 Bold Predictions...
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Liltee8869
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Current record is 28-4.

Alpha:

Chernobyl Toxic Avengers over Warsaw Wrath (Still think Chernobyl is hiding something)

Greece Lightning over SPANDAU BULLDOGS

Texas Red Dragons over Stary Oskol Black Belts

Helsinki Demons over New Brunswick Davidsons

Krakow Hares over Budapest Bullets

Prague Warriors over Helsinki Hellrazors

Business Time over Prague Beersteins

GAME OF THE WEEK: (Can the SoL beat the #1 team in back to back weeks?)(Most weeks I'd give this to Chernobyl and Warsaw)

Sons of Liberty over Gotland Islanders



Zeta:

Morgantown Biscuits over Belarus Death Machine

Vilnius Iron Wolves over Mombasa Wombats

WhatsaMatta U Fighting Elk over Rostov-on-Don Squad

Chester Romans over Maribor Triforce

Katowice Legion over Kharkiv Lo Pans

Bratislava Stachstachers over Saratov Slashers

Booty Bay Blue Rogues over Jefferson City Bucks

GAME OF THE WEEK: (Morgantown vs Belarus should be GREAT too)

Minoan Minotaurs over Tallinn Tigers
 
TheLight
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Originally posted by Liltee8869
Current record is 28-4.

WhatsaMatta U Fighting Elk over Rostov-on-Don Squad



I thought we discussed this yesterday :-P

 
Iamoop
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Originally posted by TheLight
Originally posted by Liltee8869

Current record is 28-4.

WhatsaMatta U Fighting Elk over Rostov-on-Don Squad



I thought we discussed this yesterday :-P



yea.. no fair.....
 
mw54finest
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Thanks liltee for the predictions. It is definitely bold this week, to pick us over Warsaw. Once again, we are not hiding anything. We are just chugging along like everybody else. In my opinion Warsaw is the best D in the league right now, it would be difficult to win tomorrow. << Yes, that is my bold statement.
 
glwarriors
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Originally posted by mw54finest
Thanks liltee for the predictions. It is definitely bold this week, to pick us over Warsaw. Once again, we are not hiding anything. We are just chugging along like everybody else. In my opinion Warsaw is the best D in the league right now, it would be difficult to win tomorrow. << Yes, that is my bold statement.


I'd probably feel better if we had a win over someone who wasn't in the bottom half of the league right now. We will learn a bit more about what kind of team we are after tomorrow's game. I think anyone who has seen the Toxic Avenger will realize what we are up against here. I may have to break out THE Vince Lombardi speech.
 
Liltee8869
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Looking over yesterday's game tape, that CB issue really cost us in that game. They have slower WR's and we have really fast CB's. They ran curls like crazy. I wish Bort had fixed this bug before yesterday cuz I think they may have cost us that game! Have you guys heard about this yet?
 
mw54finest
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Originally posted by Bort
Just wanted to post letting everybody know I haven't been around posting much today because I've been running tons of tests and modifying stuff to try and address this. I did a dump of the whole live database, so I'm able to test with any currently live teams (well, at least as they existed a day ago).

I've found a few things so far:

Fast CB's back up too fast compared to slow WR's on streak routes, due to the fact their their acceleration is a constant. I've made them match acceleration in this case and it seems to work so far. I've put a 20 speed 20 agility guy against a 70 speed 50 agility CB and the CB is all over him in general.

Agile WR's don't have a way to fake out equally agile CB's and get open. I'm increasing the effect of the head fake and juke SA's, and adding some reduced reaction time for defenders based on vision and agility and coverage distance. The result is that on some plays the CB will stay with the WR and on others he will not make the turn with the receiver until a split second too late.

CB's were basically getting an immediate jump on the ball when thrown. I'm adding a delay on the jump based on vision agility and coverage distance. The result is that sometimes the CB gets a great jump on the ball and knocks it down while other times he waits a split second too long and doesn't get there in time. Combined with the above = botched coverage, basically.

Fast CB's with poor agility playing on close vs Fast WR's often dash forward at the snap to get within the "close" cushion and are then unable to turn around quick enough to keep up with the speedy WR. I've made them back up a little at the snap instead and wait for the WR to make his move.

QB's with decent vision hardly ever miss an open man on a checkdown, which means they will ALWAYS take advantage of the situation. I'm making them slightly more likely to miss the open guy unless they have really high vision.

Risk calculations did not take the catching ability of the receiver into account as a very big part of the calculation. Being open is the major part. I'm tweaking that a little to be willing to pass to a guy if he's just way better than his defender, even if he's not wide open.

Anyway, just an update because I know people are waiting on this and I wanted to let everybody know I'm working on it. I want to make sure it's right before pushing it out there, though!


 
mw54finest
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Just in case anybody missed it.
 
Liltee8869
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Nice, lol!
 
IamJack
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Good picks Liltee, thanks for the predictions.
 
Mark Taylor
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Helsinki Hellrazors will get their first win this week. That's my bold prediction.
 
Liltee8869
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Probably....I had a tough time with that game. I call them bold cuz usually I'll try and pick a couple upsets! I think you guys are probably the favorites, but it seemed like it had upset potential.
 
BaconboyG12
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Out of curiosity, did you call any other upsets besides the Prague Warriors over the Helsinki Hellrazors?

As far as the CB issue, it cut both ways that game - our secondary isn't too shabby in the speed department either. Then again, this is all a "what if" game - even if you left the CB issue in there and just re-simmed the game, the score would've been different, so there's no way of knowing.

We'll just have to play each other again is all. Good luck to everyone this week!
 
backfliptim
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Originally posted by Mark Taylor
Helsinki Hellrazors will get their first win this week. That's my bold prediction.


I disagree, which is an even bolder prediction.
 
jehampto
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Originally posted by Liltee8869
Looking over yesterday's game tape, that CB issue really cost us in that game. They have slower WR's and we have really fast CB's. They ran curls like crazy. I wish Bort had fixed this bug before yesterday cuz I think they may have cost us that game! Have you guys heard about this yet?


A win is a win, no excuses. You'll have to play better to beat us if there is a next time, not complain about the sim code.
 
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